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2013 FanGraphs Staff Predictions

Posted By Dave Cameron On March 29, 2013 @ 12:33 pm In Daily Graphings | 85 Comments

After last year’s rousing success that included tabbing Albert Pujols for AL MVP, Devin Mesoraco for Rookie of the Year, and Arizona as the National League champions, we’ve decided to make fools of ourselves again. Yes, predictions are basically worthless, even ours. Yes, they’re still kind of fun, and provide a useful reminder of what we all thought was true before the season started. So, here’s the FanGraphs Staff predicting 2013.

AL West: Texas
AL Central: Detroit
AL East: Rays
AL Wild Card: Angels
AL Wild Card: Blue Jays

The Rays and Blue Jays actually tied with 15 votes apiece as the AL East winners, but Tampa Bay got more votes as a WC team, so they got stronger playoff support overall, so I used that as the tiebreaker, which pushed Toronto into the second wild card spot.

AL MVP: Evan Longoria
AL CY Young: Justin Verlander
AL ROY: Aaron Hicks

10 different players got AL MVP votes, as there are a number of fine candidates who could plausibly win. Longoria edged out Mike Trout with two extra votes. On the pitching side, only six different hurlers were picked, with Verlander getting one more vote than Yu Darvish. Hicks edges out Jurickson Profar for AL ROY, likely because Hicks has a job and Profar does not. That six people still think Profar will win the award without a clear path to the Majors speaks to how impressive a prospect he really is.

The full grids, in order for you to point and mock later.

Author AL West AL Central AL East AL Wild Card AL Wild Card
Al Skorupa Angels Tigers Blue Jays Rays Rangers
Bill Petti Rangers Tigers Blue Jays Rays Angels
Blake Murphy Rangers Tigers Rays Blue Jays Angels
Bradley Woodrum Rangers Tigers Rays Blue Jays Angels
Brandon Warne Rangers Tigers Blue Jays Rays Angels
Brett Talley Angels Tigers Rays Blue Jays Rangers
Bryan Grosnick Angels Tigers Blue Jays Rangers Rays
Carson Cistulli Angels Tigers Yankees Rangers Blue Jays
Chad Young Angels Tigers Rays Rangers Athletics
Chris Cwik Rangers Tigers Blue Jays Rays Angels
Colin Zarzycki Rangers Tigers Rays Angels Indians
Dan Wade Angels Tigers Rays Blue Jays Rangers
Dave Cameron Rangers Tigers Blue Jays Rays Angels
David Appelman Angels Tigers Blue Jays Rangers Rays
David Laurila Angels Tigers Rays Rangers Indians
David Wiers Rangers Tigers Blue Jays Athletics Rays
Eno Sarris Rangers Tigers Blue Jays Angels Indians
Howard Bender Angels Tigers Rays Rangers Royals
Jack Moore Angels Tigers Blue Jays Rangers Yankees
Jeff Zimmerman Rangers Tigers Rays Angels Yankees
Jeremy Blachman Rangers Tigers Rays Athletics Royals
Jesse Wolfersberger Rangers Tigers Blue Jays Rays Angels
Marc Hulet Rangers Tigers Rays Blue Jays Angels
Michael Barr Angels Tigers Blue Jays Rays Rangers
Mike Petriello Rangers Tigers Blue Jays Angels Rays
Mike Podhorzer Rangers Tigers Blue Jays Rays Angels
Patrick Dubuque Rangers Tigers Rays Blue Jays Athletics
Paul Swydan Rangers Tigers Rays Angels Athletics
Steve Staude. Angels Tigers Blue Jays Rangers Rays
Wendy Thurm Angels Tigers Rays Blue Jays Rangers
Zach Sanders Angels Tigers Rays Blue Jays Rangers

And the award winners.

Author AL MVP AL CY AL ROY
Al Skorupa Evan Longoria Justin Verlander Jackie Bradley, Jr.
Bill Petti Mike Trout Justin Verlander Jurickson Profar
Blake Murphy Evan Longoria Yu Darvish Brandon Maurer
Bradley Woodrum Robinson Cano Justin Verlander Jurickson Profar
Brandon Warne Evan Longoria Yu Darvish Leonys Martin
Brett Talley Jose Bautista David Price Jurickson Profar
Bryan Grosnick Evan Longoria R.A. Dickey Brandon Maurer
Carson Cistulli Mike Trout Yu Darvish Conor Gillaspie
Chad Young Miguel Cabrera Yu Darvish Aaron Hicks
Chris Cwik Evan Longoria Justin Verlander Jurickson Profar
Colin Zarzycki Mike Trout Felix Hernandez Jackie Bradley, Jr.
Dan Wade Evan Longoria Justin Verlander Aaron Hicks
Dave Cameron Jose Bautista Yu Darvish Kevin Gausman
David Appelman Evan Longoria Justin Verlander Aaron Hicks
David Laurila Albert Pujols David Price Kevin Gausman
David Wiers Jose Reyes Justin Verlander Aaron Hicks
Eno Sarris Adrian Beltre Yu Darvish Aaron Hicks
Howard Bender Evan Longoria Yu Darvish Jackie Bradley, Jr.
Jack Moore Robinson Cano Yu Darvish Aaron Hicks
Jeff Zimmerman Prince Fielder Yu Darvish Aaron Hicks
Jeremy Blachman Josh Hamilton David Price Aaron Hicks
Jesse Wolfersberger Jose Bautista Justin Verlander Jurickson Profar
Marc Hulet Robinson Cano Felix Hernandez Aaron Hicks
Michael Barr Albert Pujols Yu Darvish Jurickson Profar
Mike Petriello Mike Trout Justin Verlander Leonys Martin
Mike Podhorzer Evan Longoria Justin Verlander Leonys Martin
Patrick Dubuque Mike Trout Felix Hernandez Aaron Hicks
Paul Swydan Adrian Beltre CC Sabathia Jackie Bradley, Jr.
Steve Staude. Mike Trout Justin Verlander Wil Myers
Wendy Thurm Mike Trout Felix Hernandez Wil Myers
Zach Sanders Miguel Cabrera David Price Aaron Hicks

And now, for the Senior Circuit.

NL West: Giants
NL Central: Reds
NL East: Nationals
NL Wild Card: Braves
NL Wild Card: Cardinals

The division winners were all pretty clear, but the Wild Card was tougher, as the Braves, Cardinals, and Dodgers all got a decent amount of support from our authors. In the end, 25 of the 31 voters had Atlanta making the playoffs, so they secured the first wild card spot, and then the Cardinals edged out the Dodgers for the final playoff spot with a few extra votes.

NL MVP: Joey Votto
NL Cy Young: Stephen Strasburg
NL ROY: Shelby Miller

Votto got 14 of the 31 votes for MVP, while the next highest vote getter was Buster Posey with four. I’d call that a runaway. Strasburg dominated the pitching side of the equation as well, getting 16 votes, while six different pitchers showed up on just one ballot. Shelby Miller rounded out the blowouts, getting 14 of the ROY votes, with Jedd Gyorko finishing a distant second.

Author NL West NL Central NL East NL Wild Card NL Wild Card
Eno Sarris Giants Cardinals Braves Nationals Reds
Al Skorupa Dodgers Reds Nationals Braves Giants
Mike Petriello Dodgers Reds Nationals Braves Cardinals
Steve Staude. Dodgers Reds Nationals Braves Giants
Patrick Dubuque Dodgers Reds Nationals Giants Cardinals
David Wiers Dodgers Cardinals Nationals Braves Reds
Blake Murphy Giants Reds Nationals Cardinals Braves
Howard Bender Giants Reds Braves Nationals Cardinals
David Laurila Dodgers Reds Nationals Braves Giants
Bryan Grosnick Dodgers Cardinals Nationals Reds Diamondbacks
Brett Talley Diamondbacks Reds Nationals Braves Cardinals
Chris Cwik Giants Reds Nationals Braves Cardinals
Chad Young Giants Reds Nationals Braves Dodgers
Carson Cistulli Dodgers Reds Nationals Braves Diamondbacks
Bill Petti Giants Reds Nationals Cardinals Braves
Jesse Wolfersberger Dodgers Cardinals Nationals Reds Giants
Dave Cameron Diamondbacks Cardinals Nationals Giants Reds
Dan Wade Dodgers Cardinals Nationals Braves Reds
Mike Podhorzer Giants Reds Nationals Braves Dodgers
Zach Sanders Giants Cardinals Nationals Braves Reds
Michael Barr Giants Reds Nationals Braves Dodgers
Jeff Zimmerman Giants Cardinals Nationals Braves Dodgers
Wendy Thurm Giants Reds Nationals Dodgers Braves
Paul Swydan Giants Cardinals Nationals Braves Padres
Bradley Woodrum Giants Reds Nationals Cardinals Dodgers
Brandon Warne Dodgers Reds Nationals Giants Braves
Jack Moore Giants Reds Nationals Braves Cardinals
Colin Zarzycki Giants Reds Nationals Braves Dodgers
David Appelman Dodgers Reds Nationals Braves Cardinals
Jeremy Blachman Giants Cardinals Nationals Braves Reds
Marc Hulet Giants Cardinals Nationals Braves Reds

And the awards.

Author NL MVP NL CY NL ROY
Eno Sarris Joey Votto Stephen Strasburg Adam Eaton
Al Skorupa Justin Upton Stephen Strasburg Adam Eaton
Mike Petriello Buster Posey Clayton Kershaw Jedd Gyorko
Steve Staude. Joey Votto Clayton Kershaw Jedd Gyorko
Patrick Dubuque Matt Kemp Clayton Kershaw Jedd Gyorko
David Wiers Justin Upton Jeff Samardzija Jedd Gyorko
Blake Murphy Buster Posey Stephen Strasburg Jedd Gyorko
Howard Bender Jason Heyward Stephen Strasburg Jedd Gyorko
David Laurila Jason Heyward Stephen Strasburg Jedd Gyorko
Bryan Grosnick Joey Votto Stephen Strasburg Jedd Gyorko
Brett Talley Joey Votto Johnny Cueto Julio Teheran
Chris Cwik Bryce Harper Matt Cain Julio Teheran
Chad Young Joey Votto Matt Cain Julio Teheran
Carson Cistulli Troy Tulowitzki Stephen Strasburg Julio Teheran
Bill Petti Joey Votto Stephen Strasburg Oscar Taveras
Jesse Wolfersberger Joey Votto Stephen Strasburg Oscar Taveras
Dave Cameron Bryce Harper Adam Wainwright Shelby Miller
Dan Wade Bryce Harper Clayton Kershaw Shelby Miller
Mike Podhorzer Joey Votto Clayton Kershaw Shelby Miller
Zach Sanders Joey Votto Clayton Kershaw Shelby Miller
Michael Barr Joey Votto Cliff Lee Shelby Miller
Jeff Zimmerman Ryan Zimmerman Jordan Zimmermann Shelby Miller
Wendy Thurm Joey Votto Madison Bumgarner Shelby Miller
Paul Swydan Andrew McCutchen Stephen Strasburg Shelby Miller
Bradley Woodrum Buster Posey Stephen Strasburg Shelby Miller
Brandon Warne Joey Votto Stephen Strasburg Shelby Miller
Jack Moore Joey Votto Stephen Strasburg Shelby Miller
Colin Zarzycki Joey Votto Stephen Strasburg Shelby Miller
David Appelman Ryan Zimmerman Stephen Strasburg Shelby Miller
Jeremy Blachman Ryan Zimmerman Stephen Strasburg Shelby Miller
Marc Hulet Buster Posey Clayton Kershaw Yasiel Puig

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