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2014 ZiPS Projections – Miami Marlins

Posted By Carson Cistulli On December 20, 2013 @ 9:58 am In 2014 ZiPS Projections,Featured,Marlins | 12 Comments

After having typically appeared in the entirely venerable pages of Baseball Think Factory, Dan Szymborski’s ZiPS projections were released at FanGraphs last year. The exercise continues this offseason. Below are the projections for the Miami Marlins. Szymborski can be found at ESPN and on Twitter at @DSzymborski.

Other Projections: Atlanta / Baltimore / Boston / Cleveland / Minnesota / New York AL / Philadelphia / San Diego / St. Louis.

Batters
Last year’s ZiPS WAR projection for very strong outfielder Giancarlo Stanton was quite high (6.4, precisely) for someone so young. This year’s ZiPS WAR projection is also quite high (4.2, in this case) for someone so young, but also likely to be regarded as a disappointment relative to last year’s figure. The primary reason for the decline — namely, Stanton’s 500 most recent plate appearances — isn’t a mystery. Still, given the choice, one prefers a more, and not less, productive Giancarlo Stanton, probably.

Elsewhere around the diamond, one finds that the Marlins aren’t without talent. In fact, a glut of promising outfielders means that one from the triumvirate of Jake Marisnick, Marcell Ozuna, and Christian Yelich will likely be without a starting job at the beginning of the season. None of that group project to be stars in 2014, but all three are both (a) projected to be worth at least a win and also (b) either 23 years old or younger.

Finally, I’ll note — primarily because he’s a learned gentleman — that Ed Lucas is likely also to play some part in the Marlins infield, even if ZiPS isn’t entirely enthusiastic about what he’ll do there.

Pitchers
It’s not surprising — owing predominantly how to he’s capable of doing this — to find that ZiPS is optimistic about Jose Fernandez in 2014. If the total WAR projection appears a bit low to the reader (4.5, in this case), it’s due mainly to the conservative innings projections (154.0), probably. There’s a logic to the projection, though, of course — namely, that Fernandez has never thrown more than the 172.2 innings he recorded in 2013, and has, in fact, certainly thrown fewer innings than that in a season.

Not included here are two projections in which there might be some interest — namely, those belonging to relievers Carter Capps and Ryan Webb. The former is absent because the author has sent only a belated email to Dan Szymborksi informing him of the absence; the latter, however, isn’t the author’s fault, at all, but rather the Marlins’, because they non-tendered him and now he’s with Baltimore.

Bench/Prospects
Besides the aforementioned group of promising outfielders, Miami also features a couple catching prospects (Austin Barnes and J.T. Realmuto) who appear to be candidates to produce at something not worse than replacement level. The club also currently possesses what the author is prepared to call a panoply of young, upwardly mobile pitching prospects: Adam Conley (0.9 zWAR), Anthony DeSclafani (0.7), Brian Flynn (1.1), Andrew Heaney (1.1), Justin Nicolino (0.8).

Depth Chart
Below is a rough depth chart for the present incarnation of the Miami, with rounded projected WAR totals for each player. For caveats regarding WAR values see disclaimer at bottom of post. Click to embiggen image.

Marlins Depth

Ballpark graphic courtesy Eephus League. Depth charts constructed by way of those listed here at site and author’s own haphazard reasoning.

Batters, Counting Stats

Player B Age PO PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS
Giancarlo Stanton R 24 RF 553 77 122 28 2 33 76 4 2
Jarrod Saltalamacchia B 29 C 429 50 94 24 1 15 48 2 1
Christian Yelich L 22 LF 530 71 123 25 6 13 51 15 6
Jake Marisnick R 23 CF 510 56 115 21 6 10 48 15 8
J.T. Realmuto R 23 C 470 52 104 20 3 7 42 8 3
Casey McGehee R 31 3B 498 50 112 25 1 12 54 0 2
Marcell Ozuna R 23 RF 463 61 110 24 5 14 61 7 2
Austin Barnes R 24 C 538 58 118 22 3 5 41 5 2
Donovan Solano R 26 2B 478 47 114 20 3 4 39 5 1
Rob Brantly L 24 C 449 37 102 21 1 6 40 1 2
Matt Angle L 28 CF 507 60 106 15 5 4 37 19 4
Brian Bogusevic L 30 RF 468 54 100 18 3 10 42 15 3
Derek Dietrich L 24 2B 567 68 122 27 5 16 60 4 3
Rafael Furcal B 36 SS 363 46 84 14 2 5 28 9 3
Brent Keys L 23 LF 502 62 132 16 2 3 38 13 9
Miguel Olivo R 35 C 258 28 57 10 1 10 29 3 3
Placido Polanco R 38 3B 356 31 85 13 0 1 20 1 0
Adeiny Hechavarria R 25 SS 621 52 143 21 7 6 51 11 8
Juan Diaz B 25 SS 548 53 120 22 2 7 45 4 2
Garrett Jones L 33 1B 463 51 102 24 2 17 57 3 1
Matt Downs R 30 2B 291 32 62 12 1 8 30 2 3
Jeff Mathis R 31 C 274 23 50 12 1 6 29 1 0
Casey Kotchman L 31 1B 336 30 79 13 1 6 37 1 0
Ed Lucas R 32 3B 512 55 109 20 1 7 40 3 2
Zack Cox L 25 3B 457 43 104 21 2 5 38 1 1
Gil Velazquez R 34 SS 430 42 94 11 1 2 26 5 6
Juan Pierre L 36 LF 447 53 111 12 3 1 20 30 9
Austin Kearns R 34 RF 138 15 26 4 0 2 5 1 1
Matt Diaz R 36 LF 152 15 35 7 0 1 13 3 0
Wilson Valdez R 36 SS 196 18 43 7 1 1 15 3 1
Kyle Jensen R 26 RF 543 60 106 23 1 19 59 3 2
Kyle Skipworth L 24 C 393 40 71 14 2 12 38 0 2
Koyie Hill B 35 C 212 18 40 9 0 2 13 1 0
Mark Canha R 25 1B 468 52 97 22 2 9 45 3 2
Jimmy Paredes B 25 RF 576 67 136 28 6 9 53 24 11
Chris Gutierrez R 30 SS 435 40 83 16 2 2 30 3 3
Nick Green R 35 SS 370 35 74 16 1 7 33 1 2
Chris Coghlan L 29 LF 369 37 80 17 3 4 26 6 4
Audy Ciriaco R 27 SS 369 37 80 13 3 7 33 7 4
Greg Dobbs L 35 3B 308 25 69 13 1 4 30 2 1
Jordan Brown L 30 1B 416 38 99 22 1 4 37 1 2
Joe Mahoney L 27 1B 390 34 84 18 1 7 37 3 1

***

Batters, Rates and Averages

Player PA BB% K% ISO BABIP BA OBP SLG wOBA
Giancarlo Stanton 553 12.7% 28.6% .276 .311 .257 .358 .533 .377
Jarrod Saltalamacchia 429 8.6% 28.9% .183 .313 .242 .308 .424 .318
Christian Yelich 530 9.4% 25.8% .159 .334 .258 .328 .417 .329
Jake Marisnick 510 4.9% 22.5% .135 .304 .247 .300 .382 .299
J.T. Realmuto 470 6.2% 18.1% .109 .283 .242 .294 .351 .287
Casey McGehee 498 8.4% 22.1% .140 .300 .249 .311 .389 .306
Marcell Ozuna 463 5.4% 23.5% .176 .309 .255 .299 .431 .319
Austin Barnes 538 8.2% 17.5% .090 .294 .246 .316 .335 .292
Donovan Solano 478 5.2% 16.5% .086 .305 .259 .304 .345 .285
Rob Brantly 449 5.1% 16.9% .098 .282 .243 .286 .341 .273
Matt Angle 507 7.7% 23.1% .082 .304 .234 .301 .316 .278
Brian Bogusevic 468 9.0% 23.1% .129 .297 .238 .314 .367 .307
Derek Dietrich 567 5.3% 25.2% .164 .292 .235 .293 .399 .302
Rafael Furcal 363 7.4% 12.7% .100 .282 .255 .314 .356 .296
Brent Keys 502 7.4% 9.2% .064 .315 .289 .344 .353 .308
Miguel Olivo 258 3.9% 27.5% .171 .283 .233 .261 .404 .283
Placido Polanco 356 5.1% 7.6% .049 .279 .261 .309 .310 .275
Adeiny Hechavarria 621 4.8% 18.2% .091 .294 .246 .282 .337 .269
Juan Diaz 548 5.5% 26.3% .092 .312 .235 .279 .327 .268
Garrett Jones 463 8.2% 23.3% .189 .284 .243 .305 .432 .320
Matt Downs 291 6.2% 20.6% .142 .269 .232 .289 .375 .291
Jeff Mathis 274 6.2% 30.7% .129 .275 .202 .254 .331 .249
Casey Kotchman 336 6.8% 11.0% .108 .277 .258 .319 .366 .302
Ed Lucas 512 6.1% 22.9% .091 .292 .231 .283 .323 .268
Zack Cox 457 6.1% 24.3% .095 .320 .246 .298 .340 .283
Gil Velazquez 430 7.7% 16.7% .049 .292 .244 .304 .293 .263
Juan Pierre 447 4.5% 6.9% .051 .292 .272 .315 .324 .285
Austin Kearns 138 10.9% 26.8% .084 .300 .218 .326 .303 .291
Matt Diaz 152 5.3% 17.8% .070 .296 .246 .289 .317 .271
Wilson Valdez 196 4.6% 15.3% .066 .276 .236 .271 .302 .248
Kyle Jensen 543 7.7% 35.5% .167 .309 .216 .285 .384 .294
Kyle Skipworth 393 5.6% 36.6% .148 .280 .195 .247 .342 .255
Koyie Hill 212 5.2% 26.9% .076 .271 .202 .243 .278 .229
Mark Canha 468 8.3% 25.2% .128 .300 .234 .307 .361 .296
Jimmy Paredes 576 4.2% 23.3% .123 .314 .250 .283 .373 .287
Chris Gutierrez 435 8.0% 23.0% .067 .279 .213 .285 .279 .253
Nick Green 370 4.3% 23.5% .114 .268 .217 .262 .331 .259
Chris Coghlan 369 8.4% 16.8% .106 .284 .242 .310 .347 .288
Audy Ciriaco 369 3.5% 21.4% .114 .273 .228 .258 .342 .263
Greg Dobbs 308 5.8% 16.6% .096 .281 .245 .293 .340 .272
Jordan Brown 416 4.6% 13.2% .093 .284 .254 .290 .347 .277
Joe Mahoney 390 3.8% 27.2% .111 .297 .228 .262 .340 .263

***

Batters, Assorted Other

Player PA RC/27 OPS+ Def zWAR No.1 Comp
Giancarlo Stanton 553 6.9 141 3 4.2 Mark McGwire
Jarrod Saltalamacchia 429 4.6 98 -3 2.0 Pete LaForest
Christian Yelich 530 5.1 103 5 2.0 Daryl Sconiers
Jake Marisnick 510 4.1 86 3 1.4 Shawn Garrett
J.T. Realmuto 470 3.7 76 1 1.4 Matt Sinatro
Casey McGehee 498 4.3 91 -1 1.2 Scott Seabol
Marcell Ozuna 463 4.7 97 3 1.2 Pat Lennon
Austin Barnes 538 3.8 79 -6 1.1 Koyie Hill
Donovan Solano 478 3.9 78 4 0.9 Juan Melo
Rob Brantly 449 3.4 71 0 0.8 Jason Hill
Matt Angle 507 3.6 70 4 0.8 Andres Torres
Brian Bogusevic 468 4.3 86 3 0.8 Keith Hughes
Derek Dietrich 567 4.1 88 -5 0.8 Russ Mitchell
Rafael Furcal 363 4.1 84 -4 0.7 Omar Vizquel
Brent Keys 502 4.5 92 -1 0.5 Tim Leiper
Miguel Olivo 258 3.6 79 -1 0.5 Joe Oliver
Placido Polanco 356 3.5 71 3 0.4 Roy McMillan
Adeiny Hechavarria 621 3.3 69 0 0.4 Eddie Zosky
Juan Diaz 548 3.2 66 0 0.3 John Hotchkiss
Garrett Jones 463 4.7 99 -3 0.2 Henry Rodriguez
Matt Downs 291 3.6 80 -2 0.2 Mike Bell
Jeff Mathis 274 2.9 59 1 0.2 Kevin Brown
Casey Kotchman 336 4.3 88 0 0.0 Jim Rushford
Ed Lucas 512 3.2 66 1 0.0 Jason Wood
Zack Cox 457 3.6 75 -4 -0.1 Marty Wilkerson
Gil Velazquez 430 3.0 65 -2 -0.1 Gene Michael
Juan Pierre 447 4.1 76 -1 -0.1 Tony Womack
Austin Kearns 138 3.3 74 -2 -0.3 Tom Wilson
Matt Diaz 152 3.5 67 -1 -0.4 Brian Jordan
Wilson Valdez 196 3.0 57 -2 -0.4 Alfredo Griffin
Kyle Jensen 543 3.8 82 -4 -0.4 John Sellick
Kyle Skipworth 393 2.7 60 -5 -0.4 Gary Tremblay
Koyie Hill 212 2.3 43 -1 -0.4 Frank Charles
Mark Canha 468 3.9 83 -1 -0.5 Jeremy Slayden
Jimmy Paredes 576 3.8 78 -1 -0.5 Jason Repko
Chris Gutierrez 435 2.7 56 -2 -0.5 Keith Johns
Nick Green 370 2.9 62 -5 -0.6 Pete Mackanin
Chris Coghlan 369 3.8 80 -4 -0.6 Bubba Carpenter
Audy Ciriaco 369 3.1 63 -6 -0.6 Erick Monzon
Greg Dobbs 308 3.6 73 -7 -0.7 Manny Trillo
Jordan Brown 416 3.6 74 -1 -1.1 Daryle Ward
Joe Mahoney 390 3.1 64 -2 -1.6 Phil Geisler

***

Pitchers, Counting Stats

Player T Age G GS IP SO BB HR H R ER
Jose Fernandez R 21 27 27 154.0 163 54 9 117 47 44
Henderson Alvarez R 24 25 25 148.3 78 40 12 153 70 65
Nathan Eovaldi R 24 26 25 134.3 93 52 12 137 65 61
Jacob Turner R 23 28 28 157.3 98 67 16 160 81 76
Andrew Heaney L 23 24 24 133.0 96 52 14 134 67 63
Brian Flynn L 24 28 28 155.7 103 62 14 164 81 76
Steve Cishek R 28 63 0 64.0 67 23 4 53 21 20
Adam Conley L 24 26 25 125.3 89 53 11 128 65 61
Justin Nicolino L 22 27 25 127.3 75 38 12 138 67 63
Anthony DeSclafani R 24 27 24 123.0 78 35 14 134 65 61
A.J. Ramos R 27 68 0 75.7 79 37 6 63 31 29
Kevin Slowey R 30 17 13 81.7 57 17 10 89 42 39
Wade LeBlanc L 29 34 20 130.0 89 43 15 140 70 65
Tom Koehler R 28 30 26 146.3 102 70 17 150 80 75
Jose Urena R 22 27 25 138.7 81 41 17 152 76 71
Mike Dunn L 29 72 0 63.3 67 30 5 55 26 24
Brad Hand L 24 25 22 112.7 91 64 14 110 62 58
Sam Dyson R 26 33 16 103.3 47 42 6 114 56 52
Duane Below L 28 24 14 90.3 50 35 9 97 49 46
Michael Brady R 27 51 0 54.3 44 14 5 54 25 23
Jose Ceda R 27 23 0 25.0 26 11 2 22 11 10
Dan Jennings L 27 61 0 64.0 52 30 5 61 30 28
Arquimedes Caminero R 27 48 0 53.0 48 24 5 50 26 24
Grant Dayton L 26 38 0 55.0 53 26 6 52 27 25
Steven Ames R 26 49 0 54.7 42 20 5 55 27 25
Zach Phillips L 27 53 0 60.0 47 33 5 59 30 28
Jonathan Albaladejo R 31 53 0 64.3 49 28 7 65 33 31
Jesus Sanchez R 26 51 0 66.3 40 27 6 69 34 32
Juan Sosa R 24 44 3 80.0 59 42 8 81 44 41
John Maine R 33 8 6 34.7 23 21 5 38 22 21
Alex Sanabia R 25 14 14 72.3 40 25 11 83 45 42
Chris Hatcher R 29 57 0 63.7 48 32 7 65 35 33
Rett Varner R 26 32 12 85.0 46 38 11 96 52 49
Adam Reifer R 28 32 0 36.3 24 22 4 38 22 21
Edgar Olmos L 24 44 0 54.0 31 39 5 58 33 31
Angel Sanchez R 24 25 23 121.3 83 64 20 135 82 77

***

Pitchers, Rates and Averages

Player IP TBF K% BB% BABIP ERA FIP ERA- FIP-
Jose Fernandez 154.0 633 25.8% 8.5% .270 2.57 2.87 67 74
Henderson Alvarez 148.3 638 12.3% 6.2% .282 3.94 4.02 102 104
Nathan Eovaldi 134.3 591 15.7% 8.7% .289 4.09 4.09 106 106
Jacob Turner 157.3 700 14.0% 9.6% .282 4.35 4.50 113 117
Andrew Heaney 133.0 586 16.3% 8.9% .290 4.26 4.42 111 115
Brian Flynn 155.7 693 14.9% 9.0% .296 4.39 4.36 114 113
Steve Cishek 64.0 268 25.1% 8.5% .288 2.81 2.72 73 71
Adam Conley 125.3 557 16.0% 9.5% .296 4.38 4.36 114 113
Justin Nicolino 127.3 558 13.5% 6.8% .296 4.45 4.26 116 111
Anthony DeSclafani 123.0 539 14.5% 6.5% .299 4.46 4.37 116 113
A.J. Ramos 75.7 327 24.2% 11.3% .284 3.45 3.57 90 93
Kevin Slowey 81.7 351 16.1% 5.0% .300 4.30 4.05 112 105
Wade LeBlanc 130.0 573 15.5% 7.5% .297 4.50 4.33 117 112
Tom Koehler 146.3 658 15.5% 10.6% .287 4.61 4.72 120 123
Jose Urena 138.7 609 13.3% 6.7% .293 4.61 4.58 120 119
Mike Dunn 63.3 274 24.5% 10.8% .287 3.41 3.32 89 86
Brad Hand 112.7 512 17.8% 12.5% .286 4.63 4.88 120 127
Sam Dyson 103.3 467 10.0% 9.1% .296 4.53 4.40 118 114
Duane Below 90.3 404 12.4% 8.8% .291 4.58 4.54 119 118
Michael Brady 54.3 231 19.1% 6.1% .296 3.81 3.69 99 96
Jose Ceda 25.0 108 24.1% 10.5% .289 3.60 3.56 94 92
Dan Jennings 64.0 284 18.2% 10.7% .293 3.94 3.89 102 101
Arquimedes Caminero 53.0 233 20.6% 10.4% .293 4.08 4.23 106 110
Grant Dayton 55.0 243 22.0% 10.7% .298 4.09 4.16 106 108
Steven Ames 54.7 240 17.5% 8.5% .297 4.12 4.01 107 104
Zach Phillips 60.0 271 17.5% 12.1% .296 4.20 4.17 109 108
Jonathan Albaladejo 64.3 286 17.0% 9.9% .294 4.34 4.26 113 111
Jesus Sanchez 66.3 295 13.6% 9.1% .289 4.34 4.46 113 116
Juan Sosa 80.0 363 16.4% 11.7% .293 4.61 4.65 120 121
John Maine 34.7 163 13.9% 13.0% .298 5.45 5.41 142 141
Alex Sanabia 72.3 325 12.4% 7.7% .294 5.23 5.11 136 133
Chris Hatcher 63.7 288 16.7% 11.1% .296 4.66 4.61 121 120
Rett Varner 85.0 389 11.9% 9.7% .296 5.19 5.17 135 134
Adam Reifer 36.3 169 14.1% 13.1% .287 5.20 5.31 135 138
Edgar Olmos 54.0 259 12.1% 15.0% .294 5.17 5.46 134 142
Angel Sanchez 121.3 563 14.7% 11.4% .296 5.71 5.64 148 146

***

Pitchers, Assorted Other

Player IP K/9 BB/9 HR/9 ERA+ zWAR No. 1 Comp
Jose Fernandez 154.0 9.54 3.14 0.53 151 4.5 Rich Harden
Henderson Alvarez 148.3 4.75 2.42 0.72 99 1.8 Joe Coleman
Nathan Eovaldi 134.3 6.21 3.46 0.80 95 1.4 Robert Averette
Jacob Turner 157.3 5.62 3.86 0.91 89 1.2 Jay North
Andrew Heaney 133.0 6.47 3.55 0.94 91 1.1 Dennis Cook
Brian Flynn 155.7 5.97 3.59 0.83 89 1.1 Randy Flores
Steve Cishek 64.0 9.45 3.19 0.54 138 1.0 Danny Kolb
Adam Conley 125.3 6.41 3.81 0.82 89 0.9 Jeff Kaiser
Justin Nicolino 127.3 5.33 2.69 0.86 87 0.8 Greg Hibbard
Anthony DeSclafani 123.0 5.71 2.58 1.02 87 0.7 Mike Lincoln
A.J. Ramos 75.7 9.42 4.40 0.72 113 0.6 Jim Stoops
Kevin Slowey 81.7 6.24 1.92 1.06 90 0.6 Brian Tollberg
Wade LeBlanc 130.0 6.13 2.98 1.03 86 0.6 Brian Abraham
Tom Koehler 146.3 6.28 4.28 1.02 84 0.6 Michael Smith
Jose Urena 138.7 5.26 2.64 1.08 84 0.6 J.D. Smart
Mike Dunn 63.3 9.55 4.21 0.77 114 0.6 Armando Almanza
Brad Hand 112.7 7.28 5.12 1.09 84 0.4 Rick VandenHurk
Sam Dyson 103.3 4.05 3.69 0.56 86 0.4 Marino Pieretti
Duane Below 90.3 5.00 3.53 0.87 85 0.3 Chris Cumberland
Michael Brady 54.3 7.31 2.34 0.91 102 0.2 Heath Bost
Jose Ceda 25.0 9.38 4.08 0.73 108 0.2 Charlie Hough
Dan Jennings 64.0 7.26 4.26 0.64 99 0.1 Matt Dunbar
Arquimedes Caminero 53.0 8.13 4.10 0.92 95 0.0 Tom Shearn
Grant Dayton 55.0 8.72 4.26 0.97 95 0.0 Jesus Pena
Steven Ames 54.7 6.89 3.35 0.83 94 0.0 Andy Larkin
Zach Phillips 60.0 7.12 4.91 0.69 93 -0.1 Kevin Tolar
Jonathan Albaladejo 64.3 6.80 3.96 0.93 90 -0.2 Marcus Gwyn
Jesus Sanchez 66.3 5.43 3.63 0.80 90 -0.2 Scott Munter
Juan Sosa 80.0 6.69 4.77 0.86 84 -0.2 Willie Eyre
John Maine 34.7 5.91 5.50 1.17 71 -0.2 Alan Benes
Alex Sanabia 72.3 5.01 3.09 1.38 74 -0.2 Brandon Emanuel
Chris Hatcher 63.7 6.82 4.53 1.00 83 -0.4 Rick Greene
Rett Varner 85.0 4.91 3.99 1.16 75 -0.4 Kevin Vent
Adam Reifer 36.3 5.92 5.49 1.05 75 -0.5 Brad Tweedlie
Edgar Olmos 54.0 5.20 6.48 0.81 75 -0.7 Brian Adams
Angel Sanchez 121.3 6.15 4.75 1.46 68 -1.1 Mike Romano

***

Disclaimer: ZiPS projections are computer-based projections of performance. Performances have not been allocated to predicted playing time in the majors — many of the players listed above are unlikely to play in the majors at all in 2014. ZiPS is projecting equivalent production — a .240 ZiPS projection may end up being .280 in AAA or .300 in AA, for example. Whether or not a player will play is one of many non-statistical factors one has to take into account when predicting the future.

Players are listed with their most recent teams unless Dan has made a mistake. This is very possible as a lot of minor-league signings are generally unreported in the offseason.

ZiPS is projecting based on the AL having a 4.04 ERA and the NL having a 3.81 ERA.

Players that are expected to be out due to injury are still projected. More information is always better than less information and a computer isn’t what should be projecting the injury status of, for example, a pitcher with Tommy John surgery.

Regarding ERA+ vs. ERA- (and FIP+ vs. FIP-) and the differences therein: as Patriot notes here, they are not simply mirror images of each other. Writes Patriot: “ERA+ does not tell you that a pitcher’s ERA was X% less or more than the league’s ERA. It tells you that the league’s ERA was X% less or more than the pitcher’s ERA.”

Both hitters and pitchers are ranked by projected zWAR — which is to say, WAR values as calculated by Dan Szymborski, whose surname is spelled with a z. WAR values might differ slightly from those which appear in full release of ZiPS. Finally, Szymborski will advise anyone against — and might karate chop anyone guilty of — merely adding up WAR totals on depth chart to produce projected team WAR.


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