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  1. Yeah, I remember how far the intangibles-momentumy stuff carried the Rockies in the ’07 series. Once they ran into a vastly better team, the momentum suddenly disappeared.

    Comment by Bill — October 7, 2009 @ 2:13 pm

  2. Nice article. I also think the crapshootness is overstated, there’s certainly a degree of it, but I’d be fairly surprised if this even went 5. The Yankees have the Morneau-less Twins solidly covered in pretty much every aspect.

    Comment by Logan — October 7, 2009 @ 2:14 pm

  3. Also, haven’t the Yankees tended to pound Blackburn? Maybe the sample is too small to really mean much, but I have warm fuzzy feelings when I see Blackburn’s name.

    Comment by Rob in CT — October 7, 2009 @ 2:31 pm

  4. Even with Morneau hes about an even match with Teix

    The only place the twins have an advantage over the yankees is in their catcher

    Comment by Jon — October 7, 2009 @ 2:31 pm

  5. Jose Morales has no business being mentioned along side those other hitters.

    Comment by Not David — October 7, 2009 @ 2:41 pm

  6. With Morneau there, Cuddyer moves to the OF, Kubel to DH, and the Twins have 4 hitters with wOBA’s over .370, and Denard Span at the top of the lineup. Obviously that’s not the Yankees lineup, but it’s reasonably close (probably a difference of less than half a run per game).

    The big gap is the pitching. The Twins are gonna need a lot of luck w/ BABIP and LOB%.

    Comment by Logan — October 7, 2009 @ 2:45 pm

  7. Anyone think that it would be optimal to start Burnett tonight over CC? The Twins rotation is in shambles, sending out a back-of-the-rotation guy, the bullpen is fried, and the team is a little tired. Why not save CC for game two when the Yankees will face a better pitcher and a rested bullpen?

    Comment by Thank You Michael Lewis — October 7, 2009 @ 2:52 pm

  8. Just so you know Dave, Duensing’s “first taste of the bigs” actually was when he started the season with the Twins and made 1 relief appearance of 3 innings on April 10th. Unless your comment means Duensing first became a full-time major-league starter in mid-August (he had a spot start at the end of July), he had 15 appearances totaling 35 1/3 IP before his Aug. 22nd start.

    Comment by Bryz — October 7, 2009 @ 3:10 pm

  9. I agree, he is basically a singles hitter and frustrating is bringing back memories of Jason Tyner as the primary DH.

    Comment by Bryz — October 7, 2009 @ 3:18 pm

  10. Don’t remind me, I’m still trying to forget.

    Even when Morales had a .450 BABIP he barely managed an .850 OPS. He’s simply a very limited offensive player.

    Comment by Not David — October 7, 2009 @ 3:24 pm

  11. The word is that game 3 is “TBA” for the Twins. If they’re down 2-0, it’s almost certain to be Baker rather than Pavano. I think it ought to be Baker regardless, but whatever.

    Comment by Bill — October 7, 2009 @ 4:16 pm

  12. Is this right? I mean, if they’re down 2-0, they have to win three games – might as well ensure optimal rest for all three, since they’re all equally important in they’re planning on winning the series.

    Comment by Alex JN — October 8, 2009 @ 8:18 am

  13. No love for Denard Span?

    Comment by David — October 8, 2009 @ 10:43 am

  14. what?

    Comment by lookatthosetwins — October 8, 2009 @ 12:06 pm

  15. Agreed. They should give the team the best chance of winning the series. Whether Baker pitches game 3 or 4, he’s only pitching one game, so it might as well be with full rest. No reason to pitch a guy on 4 days rest so you can pitch a guy on 7 the next day.

    Comment by lookatthosetwins — October 8, 2009 @ 12:08 pm

  16. I’m an idiot – my bad. Missed him in the list of good hitters, but saw Morales. Brain fart.

    Comment by David — October 8, 2009 @ 1:46 pm

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