FanGraphs Baseball


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  1. Of course Reddick just went BOOM on what called a 2-seam fastball. Not sure where in was in the zone tho …

    Comment by NatsFan73 — September 27, 2012 @ 3:10 pm

  2. He hates these cans!

    I like your location preference argument. Makes sense to me that if he likes the ball down and in, and pitchers don’t throw him many fastballs down and in, he is going to perform better on pitches other than fastballs.

    Comment by MustBunique — September 27, 2012 @ 3:38 pm

  3. This one of those times when stats raise an interesting questions that are best answered by watching the player in question. Josh has + bat speed and when he is going well has quick compact stroke, but he has a tendency to let that swing lengthen. Additionally Josh chases high fastballs and is susceptible to pitchers who will “climb the ladder.”

    Comment by Jim — September 27, 2012 @ 10:13 pm

  4. Notice the other names on the list…those aren’t exactly light hitting old timers…they pretty much offer a similar skill set to reddick. Couldn’t it be possible that instead of strikeout prone power hitters prefering fastballs, strikeout prone power hitters sit on particular pitches and learn to crush them, but never develop enough to make adjustments to multiple types of pitches?

    Comment by og — September 27, 2012 @ 11:05 pm

  5. There have been so many times this year I’ve laughed after watching an opposing pitcher go up two strikes then throw something offspeed, thinking they would get Reddick with a strikeout pitch, only to see it go rocketing the other way. The flip side is that I’ve darkly wondered when the opposing team would realize that he absolutely kills that stuff. I guess that day has come. I do think, however, that pitch location is a big factor. Reddick, particularly in his recent slump, has been pulling the ball more and more, and when he is doing poorly I tend to notice what (appears to me) to be a longer bat path, somewhat correlated with a change in his initial hand position.

    I would also be curious to know how Brandon Moss does in the same regard. For someone whose rate stats are great, I am totally befuddled with the number of times he appears to swing right through fastballs.

    Comment by Hayden — September 28, 2012 @ 2:21 am

  6. Interesting. Except for Pence, the guys on that list are all extreme fly ball hitters. The first thing that came to mind was that he just hits a lot of fly balls to the deep part of the park, which hi-lights the park effect there.

    If you look at the pitch locations and spray charts by pitch, it’s true that he has a much greater tendency to loft the fastball to the gaps, while he pulls the offspeed. I also find it very interesting that it appears that the league works him very much off the plate outside with the FBs and changeup. But as noted, with the change, he pulls it despite location.

    I’m a big fan of guys sticking with their approach the way he has. Here in Kansas City, we see hitters constantly adjusting to the park (Alex Gordon) instead of sticking with their approach and accepting the result. I don’t think Reddick would thrive on pulling that outside changeup for power if it was not for this trait. And it makes him a real matchup nitemare, as you can see with the curve because if a righthander throws him offspeed at the bottom of the strike zone it’s right into his sweet spot.

    Comment by Paul — September 28, 2012 @ 7:40 am

  7. Another huge suprise to be on that list is Hunter Pence, who’d have thunked he’d be on this list with his pedigree. Real down season for Hunter.

    Comment by swfcdan — September 28, 2012 @ 12:19 pm

  8. I have a dumb question.
    Does batting avg vs. fastballs equal the percentage of hits resulting from all the times a batter put a fastball into play?

    e.g., say you swing and miss at 2 sliders, and then the third pitch is a fastball. You hit that fastball for a ground-out.
    Are you now 0-for-1 vs. fastballs and 0-for-0 vs. sliders?

    Comment by bowie — September 28, 2012 @ 1:45 pm

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