FanGraphs Baseball


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  1. Great article! And what an amazing athlete to have the privilege to watch. He is a special athlete, and it seems he is only going to get better. Can’t wait to see where he goes from here.

    Comment by Bobbee — October 1, 2012 @ 12:39 pm

  2. I was surprised at that he seemed to have more problems with the fastball than the non-fastball. Swinging strike rate against fastball is quite a bit higher than league average, no?

    Comment by Bowie — October 1, 2012 @ 1:00 pm

  3. Excellent analysis! The ability to see the data, read the article, then watch the action is great!

    Cespedes has really been a “best-case scenario” signing for the A’s. It’ll be interesting to see if Jorge Solar can be a similar player for the Cubs down the road. Also, Cespedes’ success should only continue to fuel the bidding for foreign players. The A’s either got lucky or really did their homework (probably the latter).

    Comment by jwise224 — October 1, 2012 @ 1:09 pm

  4. He has not needed to make adjustments to Texas pitching cause he has bashed my team from the start of the season and probably will these last 3 crucial games. i hope they just walk him a bunch…

    .396 BA 11XbH including 3 HRs

    Comment by Aggie E — October 1, 2012 @ 1:10 pm

  5. Very nice article Jeff. It is to-the-point, thesis driven, and backed up by hard facts (which means I doubt you could ever get a job writing for ESPN). +1 for GIFs usage.

    The article does an excellent job of pointing out the best attribute Cespedes has brought to the Major Leagues, his ability to adjust. Two weeks into the season, there was a scouting report on how to pitch to Yo. Get ahead early, and finish him off with hard breaking stuff on the outside corner. But, by the time the report had been circulated around the league, Yo had already begun to lay off the low breaking pitch. It seems that pitchers never adjusted, and Yo has done a better and better job of hitting against the predictable sequence he has seen a steady dose of.

    I believe this to be the next step for Yo’s plate discipline: It seems most pitchers are immediately going to their best pitch on the first pitch, which allows them to get ahead of him. Due to the discipline he has shown, he is usually laying off the hanging breaking balls on the first pitch. It would be nice to see him sit back on early hanging breaking pitches, and punish the pitcher early in the count, if the pitch is there.

    I’ll be there tonight, hoping Yo continues to be Yo, and helps the A’s clinch extended October baseball.

    Comment by DowntownChico — October 1, 2012 @ 1:11 pm

  6. The only downsides for Cespedes have been health and defense. His UZR is atrocious. He has great athleticism but his route running is comical. Hopefully he can improve with experience. Right now he is a good player and exceeding expectations, but he may be able to become a great player next year. He’s been a great bargain for the A’s.

    Comment by Krog — October 1, 2012 @ 1:15 pm

  7. His defense in left – a position he had not played previously – has improved significantly. Granted, I’m not checking UZR for his latest rating – nevertheless, it appears true to my eyeballs.

    Comment by Delirium Nocturnum — October 1, 2012 @ 2:08 pm

  8. That’s exactly right, Delirium. His routes have been pretty bad, and in July or so I remember a couple games in a row where he should have been able to cut off doubles. But he’s definitely getting better and has gotten to a couple of balls very few left fielders would ever get to — he has athleticism to burn. I’d put my money on Cespedes and Reddick as the best pair of corner outfield arms, too (of course Crisp can hardly get the ball back to second, so it all evens out).

    Comment by Hayden — October 1, 2012 @ 2:50 pm

  9. How will it fuel the bidding if teams can’t really spend much more than $4M an offseason on international FAs?

    Comment by bobbee — October 1, 2012 @ 5:02 pm

  10. His UZR in the last couple of months has been a tick above 0, I believe. IIRC he was somewhere around a -12.0 in mid July or so, and he’s now at -9.6. My eyes seem to back this up as well, granted I’m no scout, but it’s pretty clear he’s starting to figure things out out there.

    Comment by bobbee — October 1, 2012 @ 5:05 pm

  11. i’d love to see a full, healthy season from cespedes next year. billy beane did it again

    Comment by jim — October 1, 2012 @ 8:07 pm

  12. What age does bat speed slow? I would guess that already at 26, his window to be elite is already closing.

    Comment by Antonio bananas — October 2, 2012 @ 12:08 am

  13. NYY

    Comment by Cashman — October 2, 2012 @ 3:20 pm

  14. He’s not missing? hoo. Thank God.

    Good thing they found him.

    Comment by andys — October 2, 2012 @ 3:22 pm

  15. For a good prospect package and then he never lives up to expectations because beane understands the production curve as a player ages.

    Comment by Antonio bananas — October 3, 2012 @ 6:59 am

  16. Unfortunately, you’re probably right. They’ll trade Swish for prospects, and then send those prospects straight to Oakland for Yoenis. Repeat four years later with next big star.

    Comment by Aaron — October 3, 2012 @ 10:35 am

  17. It might not be the Yankees. I’m just guessing some wealthy team does it. This was my exact prediction when they signed cespedes. That he’d produce well for a year or two then in July 2013 or 2014 beane trades him to a desperate team. Cespedes declines, beane laughs, I brag, etc.

    Comment by Antonio bananas — October 3, 2012 @ 1:39 pm

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