It’s worth noting that the pitch was still belt high. I’m sure Molina wanted it at the knees rather than up where Moore would be able to get some loft on it. The fact that the previous pitch was also belt high doesn’t mean that Yadi wanted the 2nd one up there as well. In all likelihood, Rzepczinski missed his spot both times by getting the ball up. If that pitch is at the knees, either Moore takes it or he hits an infield dribbler.
Regardless of the outcome, however, the Cards should have had Boggs or Motte vs. Tracy rather than Rzepczinski vs. Moore.
Rzepczynski has been absolutely terrible, to the point that nobody should have been surprised that he executed and still got beat. The Cardinals should have replaced Matheny as manager at the half-inning.
This is a fantastic article. My consistency-based rankings of Moore show that he has had some difficulty generating hard contact, despite his nice ISO. So when he didn’t generate hard contact, I wasn’t surprised. I thought it was a miraculous result for the Nats, given everything I knew going into the at-bat, and your article further confirmed that. This is really detailed and informative analysis.