FanGraphs Baseball

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  1. I think this means Adam Eaton should have to do the Chad Curtis crow hop somersault when making a throw to the plate.

    Comment by BobbyS — January 23, 2013 @ 8:04 am

  2. Hey Dan,

    For the DMB guys is there any news of the spreadsheet with full defensive ratings, ODDIBE, full batting/pitching lines etc. etc. etc.?

    Comment by gore51 — January 23, 2013 @ 10:15 am

  3. Ask him on twitter. He’s pretty good at answering questions over there.

    Comment by Nick — January 23, 2013 @ 11:03 am

  4. I’m curious: why the uptick in Goldschmidt’s strike out rate? Is it just the weight put on a his large A+ totals in 2010? I can see a rise given his history, but ZiPS seems to think that 2011 was basically a fluke.

    Comment by philosofool — January 23, 2013 @ 12:15 pm

  5. It’s effectively the midpoint between his 2012 and what his 2011 + translations suggest.

    Comment by Dan Szymborski — January 23, 2013 @ 1:32 pm

  6. Cahill: 200 IP, 93 ERA-, 97 FIP-, 3.9 WAR
    Parker: 196 IP, 94 ERA-, 88 FIP-, 3.0 WAR

    Where does that extra win come from?

    Comment by Sam — January 23, 2013 @ 3:46 pm

  7. Seems kinda doubtful Dave Matthews Band has access to that kind of data, personally.

    Comment by Pumpkin — January 23, 2013 @ 4:49 pm

  8. Ballpark, brotha

    Comment by BaseClogger — January 23, 2013 @ 5:42 pm

  9. No, it’s not. It is 4.9% higher than his 2012, which means his 2011 K% would have needed to be 31.4%. But we already know his MLB K% that year was 29.9% in limited playing time, and it was only 20.1% in AA. Is the translation from AA that significant (it would have to be close to 35%)?

    Plus, there should be greater weighting to a 25 year-old’s first full season in the Majors.

    Comment by BaseClogger — January 23, 2013 @ 5:46 pm

  10. ERA- and FIP- are both park-adjusted.

    Comment by Sam — January 23, 2013 @ 6:05 pm

  11. I nominate Upton as the “least likely to have an accurate projection next year”.

    Either he gets traded and, in relief that he’s out of Arizona, breaks out and wins an MVP. Or he’s traded and suffers through a year of adjustment. Or he stays in Arizona and whatever poison seems to exist between ownership and him makes his game suffer. Or he stays and gets really annoyed and pulls a McEnroe and hits like a demon.

    One extreme or the other.

    Comment by jfree — January 23, 2013 @ 6:09 pm

  12. fWAR is calculated based on FIP. That’s why.

    Comment by jsp2014 — January 24, 2013 @ 4:23 am

  13. Any news as to when Oliver projections will be launched on the site?

    Comment by evo34 — January 24, 2013 @ 6:39 am

  14. Well Carson, it looks like Kevin Towers read your article and was like, “Oh man, he just did the writeup on us, now it’s time to mess up his day by making a move.”

    He sure got you. Got you good.

    Comment by Radivel — January 24, 2013 @ 11:18 am

  15. Only possible explanation, really.

    Comment by Carson Cistulli — January 24, 2013 @ 11:22 am

  16. Projected FIP

    Cahill: 4.03
    Parker: 3.53

    Comment by Sam — January 24, 2013 @ 6:35 pm

  17. I wonder if any chance to get A Martin Prado projection in AZ.

    Comment by shoewizard — January 26, 2013 @ 7:33 am

  18. Ditto.

    Comment by jlederer — February 13, 2013 @ 10:28 pm

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