FanGraphs Baseball

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  1. Any comments on Vicmal de la Cruz, Ian Krol or Raul Alcantara?

    Comment by Ivan Grushenko — February 19, 2013 @ 9:18 am

  2. Where would you have slotted Chris Carter on this list, if he were still an A?

    Comment by Juan Grande — February 19, 2013 @ 9:41 am

  3. Interesting ranking with Vollmuth, he definitely has the potential to be a solid 3rd baseman, but at this point I’d probably put Krol, Beau Taylor, David Freitas (Taylor and Freitas since they have good upside at a premium position)

    Comment by Casey — February 19, 2013 @ 9:55 am

  4. Carter’s not rookie-eligible anymore, so he wouldn’t have made the list. Given how much of a drop off there is after #1, I’m guessing he would have been #2.

    Comment by suicide squeeze — February 19, 2013 @ 9:58 am

  5. Surprised not to see AJ Cole on this list. He may have got bombed in High A but he rebounded in Low A and he still has an exciting three pitch arsenal.

    Comment by Nick — February 19, 2013 @ 10:44 am

  6. Cole was traded back to Washington in January.

    Comment by Marc Hulet — February 19, 2013 @ 10:55 am

  7. Krol received some consideration but I received fairly firm feedback that Freitas was not ready to be included among the organization’s Top 15 guys.

    Comment by Marc Hulet — February 19, 2013 @ 10:58 am

  8. Ynoa returns from the dead to resume his prospect tease.

    Comment by That Guy — February 19, 2013 @ 11:00 am

  9. Apparently de la Cruz needed glasses and just got them for the fall instructional league so this will be the first year where he’s playing with good vision… pretty impressive that he put up the numbers he did last year given that information. Could really help him pick up pitches/movement/spin much more effectively. He was a guy I considered for the Top 15 given that information. Potential breakout guy.

    Comment by Marc Hulet — February 19, 2013 @ 11:01 am

  10. Crubmliss gets no love.

    Maybe if he brings the average back up some – but a .400+ obp is a fairly nice thing from a 2b.

    Comment by bSpittle — February 19, 2013 @ 11:15 am

  11. I really like the style of these prospect reviews. They are incredibly readable and informative. However, the contact quotes sound like they are coming from sources inside the A’s organization. It would be better if you used sources from outside the prospects organization, if you are not already.

    Comment by Krog — February 19, 2013 @ 11:25 am

  12. After watching Russell’s highlight reels on youtube, along with every scouting report of him, it seems like there is very little standing in his way as of right now. He has a MLB body already, and the A’s believe it too, by inviting him to camp. Not saying it will happen, but it wouldn’t surprise me in the slightest if he got a late season callup this year and was the starting SS on opening day in 2014. This is because of the trend of Harper, Profar, Machado etc is showing us that very young players are mastering their physiques and conditioning a lot earlier than previously. I do think this is a trend to be on the lookout for, if Russell ascends up the ladder this year and makes it to AAA or better, its something people are going to have look at and shift their old ideals of “1 year per minor league”. A lot more under 21 year olds are going to be ready sooner than usual, which makes sense given all the advances in the medical and training worlds.

    Comment by Forrest Gumption — February 19, 2013 @ 11:38 am

  13. Marc thanks for writing these up. Can you tell me your thoughts on Aderlin Rodriguez and where he may rank? What do you think Beane saw in him to pick him up?

    Comment by tommy — February 19, 2013 @ 11:43 am

  14. whoops, I meant Jefry Marte, not Aderlin

    Comment by tommy — February 19, 2013 @ 11:46 am

  15. Any ideas on why Michael Choice’s ISO power has dropped so much? 30 HR in high-A in 2011, 10 last year?

    Comment by Dave — February 19, 2013 @ 12:43 pm

  16. Russell will start the season at high-A Stockton. I believe that’s all but been confirmed by the team.

    Comment by sean — February 19, 2013 @ 12:45 pm

  17. Moving from the California League to the Texas League changes run environment pretty drastically. There have been a lot of California League prospect mirages.

    http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/minor-league-run-environments/

    Comment by Chris — February 19, 2013 @ 12:53 pm

  18. OK. That makes sense.

    Comment by Nick — February 19, 2013 @ 12:59 pm

  19. The impression I was given was that Russell would start in low-A with the likes of Olson and Robertson. But a strong spring could potentially push Russell to high-A.

    Comment by Marc Hulet — February 19, 2013 @ 1:21 pm

  20. a’s have lowrie and nakajima for 2 yrs, unless they flop thats pretty good timing if russell is as good as they hope, no need to rush him

    Comment by mlbfan23 — February 19, 2013 @ 1:54 pm

  21. definitely, and that shift in environments can often get into a players’ head/make them shift their approach at least temporarily. For what it’s worth, choice was in the middle of a ridiculously good july (.435/.493/.710 in 62 ABs) when he went down with his hand injury. admittedly as an A’s fan i’m biased, but it certainly seemed like he was finally getting comfortable, and could have ended up with better overall numbers if he had played the rest of the season (his july alone dramatically improved all of his rate stats). could have been a fluke of course, but given his pedigree, I’m willing to read it as a positive sign for now.

    Comment by Raised.eyebrows — February 19, 2013 @ 1:55 pm

  22. This system doesnt look so bad, despite some thinking they emptied the farm system after the jaso, lowrie trades. Decent mix of mlb ready prospects ready by 2014 and a pretty solid 2012 draft. Especially with the mlb teams core players still fairly young. The comments on choice and green seem optimistic considering theyve had their struggling moments and some flaws to their ability. Once you get past gray, straily, and sanburn the sp prospects thin out a bit. Unless one has sleeper hope in krol, bowman, granier, hassebrock, walz surprising next yr. This time last yr griffin/straily werent even on the radar. So maybe one of those other 2nd/3rd tier pitching prospects step up.

    Comment by mlbfan23 — February 19, 2013 @ 2:01 pm

  23. I’m just going to say that I’m tired of people’s skills being “off the charts”. Michael Choice’s power is off the charts? Gray’s fastball and curve are off the charts? Well then GET SOME BIGGER CHARTS ALREADY!

    Comment by Buffalo — February 19, 2013 @ 3:27 pm

  24. I would of put Carter at #7. His future isn’t that bright in my opinion. I think the A’s did fine in getting rid of him and the Astros may sour after he’s hitting .225/.290/.440 through June. If he gets 500 PAs he may hit 25 HRs, but there are going to be a lot of bad at bats in there too.

    Comment by West Coast Hard Baller — February 19, 2013 @ 3:39 pm

  25. Where would Peacock have ranked if still on this list?

    Comment by hobbes020 — February 19, 2013 @ 3:44 pm

  26. Russell ranked #48 today by BA (Top 100) but was ranked #10 by Law on his list. Certainly realize ranking prospects 1-100 not the ideal way to analyze, but curious if this discrepancy in his ranking has to do with his perceived ability to stick at short. From your report, Marc, it sounds as if he probably could. Thoughts?

    Comment by LuckyStrikes — February 19, 2013 @ 3:53 pm

  27. Or if Lowrie does his usual thing and gets injured.

    Comment by KG — February 19, 2013 @ 5:20 pm

  28. This is a variant of “best shape of his life” that we’ve seen before.

    Somebody do a study. This is what fangraphs is for.

    Comment by mattsd — February 20, 2013 @ 12:54 am

  29. Run environment doesn’t explain his complete loss of power from last season. Ideally, he’ll get a full season this year though, since his hand injury likely had a large hand (so to speak) in keeping his overall numbers down last year.

    Comment by That Guy — February 20, 2013 @ 10:15 am

  30. Keith Law recently was asked about this in a chat and while I don’t have his exact response, it was something along the lines of him seeing Russell in action and being convinced he’s the best talent to come out of last year’s draft. Said if they drafted again today Russell would go #1. So I think it’s more based upon Law’s bullishness than BA being bearish.

    Comment by Timb — February 20, 2013 @ 4:50 pm

  31. Why would he suddenly not get on base or slug? His plate approach dramatically changed after his callup, his stance was visibly different and his swing looked so much shorter. He doesn’t use his legs at all, in any facet of his game be it defense or on the basepaths, but his swing is a great one because it blends raw power with a great contact approach and it worked well. I see him being good for 35+ HR and a .350 OBP if he plays a full season. The BA wont be very good unless he’s lucky, but that was never his forte. He has a very promising future as a full-time DH ala Billy Butler with less BA and more HR.

    Comment by Forrest Gumption — February 21, 2013 @ 12:48 pm

  32. He’s a terrible defender, 26 and has never touched AAA. Literally the only skill he has is walks. He’s a non-prospect in every sense of the word.

    Comment by Forrest Gumption — February 21, 2013 @ 12:50 pm

  33. His hand injury is the obvious answer. Kinda need those to mash taters with.

    Comment by Forrest Gumption — February 21, 2013 @ 12:57 pm

  34. Russell’s videos on youtube make him look like such a superstar-in-waiting. He really can and does do it all. The fact that he changed his body type so he could stay at SS is so impressive and good to know that he can always add some pounds, move position and become a plus-plus power hitter. Law is right here. On paper he looks good, but in person he looks wildly great. Like Machado-great.

    Comment by Forrest Gumption — February 21, 2013 @ 1:01 pm

  35. I would put Gray behind Straily and Choice. As you said, a lot of people project him as a reliever and are unsure of his ability to start. I think that lack of clarity in variance on opinion drops him down some. Also, Straily, and especially Choice, are top talents.

    Comment by Gabe — March 1, 2013 @ 2:32 pm

  36. Played against Matt Olson in high school… Dude has ridiculous power and great discipline.

    Comment by Brandon — March 12, 2013 @ 6:34 am

  37. The same Chris Carter who struck out 32 times in his last 61 at bats has a “great contact approach?” I’m a believer in his power and walks, but that strikeout rate scares the crap out of me.

    Comment by Dan Greer — March 14, 2013 @ 10:43 am

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