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  1. Arrenado seems like kind of a low ceiling guy compared to what I’ve heard. His strikeout rate is very good but it would seem like you would need to be an excellent OBP guy if his defense is fringe average and his power ceiling is a 20 homer bat. It just seems like their are alot of questions surrounding him for someone ranked number 1 on an organaztional list. Maybe I’m being harsh. Coors Field hides alot of Power issues (see Gonzalez, Carlos). He’s only 21, 22.

    Comment by Spit Ball — February 22, 2013 @ 9:51 am

  2. You said the Mets top prospects were due after the Athletics!

    Comment by Jake — February 22, 2013 @ 10:12 am

  3. Your excited after that Dickey trade Huh. I don’t blame you. Any list that starts with D’arnaud and has some of those young arms is good stuff!

    Comment by Spit Ball — February 22, 2013 @ 10:20 am

  4. Dahl is the #1 prospect, Arendado regressed significantly last year

    Comment by Pitty — February 22, 2013 @ 10:29 am

  5. Sorry. Phone tag with a key contact pushed back the Mets.

    Comment by Marc Hulet — February 22, 2013 @ 10:43 am

  6. The Rockies’ farm isn’t very good. He’s the best of a mediocre lot.

    Comment by Nick C — February 22, 2013 @ 12:24 pm

  7. This is the first time I have read about Story not being a long term SS!

    Comment by cnote66 — February 22, 2013 @ 12:46 pm

  8. Are the to Tim and Ryan Wheeler brothers. Would a platoon of Arrenado and Ryan Wheeler make sense especially if you had Ryan Wheeler spell Helton some.

    Comment by Spit Ball — February 22, 2013 @ 12:59 pm

  9. Your argument is well backed-up.

    Comment by Jarrod Saltalamacchia — February 22, 2013 @ 1:07 pm

  10. look around at the ratings of dahl, story, and arenado and you may be surprised

    Comment by commenter #1 — February 22, 2013 @ 3:05 pm

  11. Other than the crazy speculation about whether a guy playing in low-A is being “blocked” by Tulo, I assume you mean?

    Comment by rusty — February 22, 2013 @ 3:45 pm

  12. there is some “won’t stick” stuff but Mike Newman and Sickels both view him as a future SS

    Comment by Tomcat — February 22, 2013 @ 5:31 pm

  13. In Chad Bettis’ final start of 2011 he pitched into the 7th inning his final three fastballs were 96+ MPH and he touched triple digits in that game where do you get that he “works in the low 90s and can touch 95-96 mph”?

    Comment by Tomcat — February 22, 2013 @ 5:33 pm

  14. The average of them are mediocre, but those top 3 are VERY talented. I wouldn’t be surprised to see them all sweep in like Atkins, Hawpe, and Holliday did.

    Comment by Andrew Wolfe — February 22, 2013 @ 6:22 pm

  15. 112OPS+ in 2011 113OPS+ in 2011 really the only reason his numbers look worse was his July .165/.252/.272 with a .172 BABIP otherwise he was about the same player

    Comment by Tomcat — February 22, 2013 @ 7:34 pm

  16. minor league OPS+? that’s a thing?

    Comment by commenter #1 — February 22, 2013 @ 7:54 pm

  17. Well how do you adjust for league conditions? The Cal League is tilted pretty strongly towards hitters…

    Comment by rusty — February 22, 2013 @ 8:40 pm

  18. Where do you get your velocity? Ballpark guns? Did you know there is a reason scouts bring their own guns to the ballparks? Notice my condescension? It’s the same thing you used to question this writer who has plenty of knowledge and experience in prospect scouting. What are your qualifications?

    Comment by Ryan Gosling — February 22, 2013 @ 11:55 pm

  19. The reason I know what Chad Bettis was doing in his final start is because I am a huge fan of his and watch and listened to his 2011 where game after game down the stretch Bettis sat between 95-97 after the fifth inning.

    I have talked to several scouts who had Bettis in the high 90’s late in games(BTW the Modesto gun is usually 1-2 MPH hot so I am not claiming the triple digits is 100% accurate”

    BTW Hulet does this for a living so I imagine he has his contacts that he trusts, I am sure he will tell you that opinions on individual opinions differ on prospects. So on that note you can take your appeal to authority fallacy and rub it all over your rock hard abs Gosling!

    Comment by Tomcat — February 23, 2013 @ 12:10 am

  20. well for one, there’s wRC+, and I don’t understand why people still use OPS+ at all. for two, comparing to league average in the minors is a lot messier due to the much larger spread in both hitter and pitcher talent and variety of ballparks

    Comment by commenter #1 — February 23, 2013 @ 3:16 am

  21. For what it’s worth…. I saw a Modesto Nutz game last year against the Diamondback farm team. Several home runs. Kyle Parker hit one of them. His was different. The sound off the bat, the velocity off the bat, the length of the HR….all were noticeably better than any ball anyone else hit that day. Even his hit balls that were outs sounded different.

    Comment by gizmo — February 23, 2013 @ 11:43 am

  22. Fair enough
    2011: 108 wRC+
    2012: 110 wRC+

    Comment by rusty — February 23, 2013 @ 4:06 pm

  23. the reason I brought it up was that as one of the youngest members of the Texas League Arenado held his own, people are acting like he fell apart

    Comment by TomCat — February 23, 2013 @ 7:06 pm

  24. Having recently done a fantasy prospects draft im very suprised to see Dahl behind Story here. Dahl has been rated higher on all the ranking sites I’ve read, and got drafted around Addison Russell territory. Story isn’t even owned in our league.

    Much better swing, athleticism (speed) and less K’s (so better BA) are the differences I’ve read.

    Comment by Swfcdan — February 24, 2013 @ 3:00 pm

  25. You obviously haven’t looked very hard if you can’t find rankings with Dahl behind Story. Also, the offensive requirements for shortstops are somewhat less than those for outfielders, and the likelihood of the player reaching the projected outcome is also important.

    Comment by Simon — February 25, 2013 @ 5:51 am

  26. Like gizmo I think Parker has some pretty decent stats for someone who just started focusing fully on baseball since 2010. He really worked on his k/bb ratio and his plate discipline looks like it improved 5 fold from 2011. Yes, his defense needs work, but his bat looks like it might carry him.

    Comment by Jimbo Jones — February 26, 2013 @ 3:51 am

  27. What ever happened to Albert Campos? Is he M.I.A. now?

    Comment by Ringo — March 18, 2013 @ 3:16 pm

  28. Interesting comment on Kyle Parker having modest arm strength….as a football quarterback he had a rifle arm many times for the long ball, but did have an injury for late hit in in the back first game of freshman season. Watched many times playing right field in baseball getting the ball to home plate past the cut off with very strong throws. I am not a good judge as to standings with major league players, but he was above average for most college outfielders and did have good running speed….Good luck in coming season and keep on hitting!

    Comment by William Brown — May 18, 2013 @ 10:05 am

  29. Correction for late hit was in senior season first game of senior year.

    Comment by William Brown — May 18, 2013 @ 10:09 am

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