FanGraphs Baseball


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  1. I was surprised that the best grade is 47. Similarly, the risk ratings are all in the 2.5 to 3.1 range.

    Wouldn’t you expect the ratings to have a wider range. Wouldn’t you say the best system is more that 12% better than the worst?

    Comment by brendan — April 10, 2013 @ 12:29 pm

  2. formatting problem. first sentence should say: best grade is less than 54, worst is greater than 47

    Comment by brendan — April 10, 2013 @ 12:30 pm

  3. Honestly, I wasn’t sure what to expect. The biggest differences are usually at the very top, and the rest of the prospects are usually fairly interchangeable. In that way, I wouldn’t expect it to be that different.

    Comment by Mark Smith — April 10, 2013 @ 12:45 pm

  4. Hey Mark, do you think you could post the link to the Google Docs spreadsheet from the NL East article?

    Comment by Gene — April 10, 2013 @ 1:28 pm

  5. I find it interesting that many at the bottom of the rankings are contenders from the past few years and this year (Angels, Tigers, Brewers, Giants, Philly, Atlanta). Would this be contributed more to trades shipping out prospect to make a World Series push or loss of 1st round picks through FA signings?

    Philadelphia would seem to be a team on the decline. Aging roster with a weak farm system (though they do have more of an ability to sign big $$$ FA then many other teams).

    Comment by Adam — April 10, 2013 @ 1:32 pm

  6. basically, texas and stl, which are already good, are probably gonna be very good for a long time.

    Comment by MrKnowNothing — April 10, 2013 @ 2:14 pm

  7. In the case of the Brewers it’s mostly trading away their good prospects for the rare playoff appearance. They traded Lawrie for Marcum and Cain, Escobar, and Odorizzi for Greinke. You could make the case either way if this was good for the organization or not, but I think it was worth it. They had a legit shot at the playoffs for 2 years, something which just doesnt happen for such a small market team very often.

    As for the future of the Crew as far as drafting goes, it’s grim if they keep doing what they did this year. They don’t draft well outside of the first round and they are like everyone else and have at best what could be considered a 50% hit rate on first rounders. Trading away their best chance at a solid major leaguer is not a way to maintain a franchise as small as they are in the future. If they keep trying to extend their window of contention when they are almost clearly not in contention (They are starting Betencourt at first base FFS) they are leaving themselves high and dry for a longer period of time.

    Comment by Chickensoup — April 10, 2013 @ 3:14 pm

  8. It could also be those teams recently called up some of their best farm talent as part of their push for a title and/or called up talent earlier than other teams, disproportionately depleting their farm.

    Comment by James — April 10, 2013 @ 3:18 pm

  9. Oh yeah, I meant to go back and do that. I’ll go back and put it on that post. Sorry about that.

    Comment by Mark Smith — April 10, 2013 @ 4:34 pm

  10. Angels haven’t really drafted well since the Trout year as a result of signing Pujols and Wilson (taking picks away) and trading away Corbin and Skaggs to Arizona for Dan Haren and Hellweg and Segura to Milwaukee for 2 months of Zack Greinke further thinned out the herd.

    The Tigers signed Fielder and Victor Martinez, which eliminated a few picks, and they haven’t really drafted well.

    The Brewers, as mentioned, traded away their best prospects for a run at the playoffs, which wasn’t unwarranted but did thin out the system, and the recent drafts haven’t yet panned out very well.

    Giants just haven’t really drafted well since Posey, though they do have a few guys (Crick, Blackburn, Stratton) that could be regarded a little higher next off-season.

    Philly has traded all of it away for Lee, Halladay, Oswalt, and Pence. It’s hard to argue with the success they’ve had, but it did thin out the system.

    Atlanta has a really young core and has graduated several players in the past few years, but recent drafts haven’t yet yielded highly-regarded fruit.

    Comment by Mark Smith — April 10, 2013 @ 4:40 pm

  11. It should be on the article now.

    Comment by Mark Smith — April 10, 2013 @ 4:45 pm

  12. Giants drafted just fine the year after Posey: Wheeler is a top10 prospect. They just traded him away for Beltran and a chance at a repeat in 2011. They traded away Tommy Joseph for a title last year. That, along with low draft picks from winning means not a lot of impact talent. But they do have some potential on the horizon, as you note.

    Comment by Nivra — April 10, 2013 @ 9:40 pm

  13. Awesome, appreciate it.

    Comment by Gene — April 10, 2013 @ 11:43 pm

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