FanGraphs Baseball

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  1. Can it be an idle thought if you then wrote about it?

    Comment by JMS — April 3, 2013 @ 11:55 am

  2. I believe you fill find, in this piece, that there was hardly any deliberation between the point at which the thought was conceived and the point at which it was typed out.

    Otherwise, you are probably correct, yes.

    Comment by Carson Cistulli — April 3, 2013 @ 11:57 am

  3. Darvish has a negative FIP. It seems as if it should be bounded at zero, but alas, it communicates to me that during the 2013 season so far, the other team is expected to have score negative runs against him on average. Do they get a -1 or do we just add it to the rangers score?

    Comment by Neil — April 3, 2013 @ 11:58 am

  4. This was a perfect Daily Notes.

    Comment by King of the Byelorussian Crunkers — April 3, 2013 @ 12:07 pm

  5. Dear Carson,

    This is my favourite of all Daily Notes.

    Thank you for opening my eyes to wabi-sabi, a concept I had long experienced without knowing the word.

    Sincerely,

    Comment by Well-Beered Englishman — April 3, 2013 @ 12:08 pm

  6. Wow, Baumgarner dominated the Dodgers yet his xFIP is worse than Ryu who was lucky to only give up one run?? xFIP fail.

    Comment by Hurtlockertwo — April 3, 2013 @ 12:20 pm

  7. Fascinating thought on the almost-perfect game from Darvish. In that same vein, Armando Galarraga’s technically-perfect game was perhaps more notable for its imperfection as well. I’ll absolutely remember them more because of their imperfection than I would have had they been perfect.

    That being said, if Darvish had struck out 15 while pitching a perfect game, thus giving him the most strikeouts ever in a perfect game, that would have been pretty darn memorable too.

    Comment by TangoAlphaLima — April 3, 2013 @ 12:21 pm

  8. Re: wabi-sabi

    I believe perfect games broken up by the 27th batter are significantly more rare than actual perfect games. Which makes sense, I guess. But Darvish joined a more exclusive club last night by leaving that first pitch fastball out over the plate.

    Comment by The Party Bird — April 3, 2013 @ 12:29 pm

  9. I witnessed this near-perfect game from about 10 rows behind home plate. Kevin Brown lost his perfect game when he hit Marvin Bernard in the 7th (my memory says Bernard leaned into it, but that’s not trustworthy.). No hits, no walks– has anyone lost a perfect game to a HBP?

    Also, William VanLandingham had a no-hitter until the fifth when he coughed a 3 run homer. About 1/3rd of the Giants fans went home (Candelstick was cooooold) then. Another 1/3 left after the HBP.

    Comment by King of the Byelorussian Crunkers — April 3, 2013 @ 1:03 pm

  10. I have spent some minutes contemplating the possible meanings of “fill find”. There are meanings there.

    Comment by King of the Byelorussian Crunkers — April 3, 2013 @ 1:05 pm

  11. You are correct, Eleven instances: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Major_League_Baseball_perfect_games#Perfect_games_spoiled_by_the_27th_batter

    Comment by Kevin — April 3, 2013 @ 1:12 pm

  12. My first thought was Dave Stieb…

    Comment by siggian — April 3, 2013 @ 1:24 pm

  13. A perfect xFIP would be -2.80. That would be 27 strikeouts with no walks and no fly balls. The fact that FIP/xFIP can be negative, while runs cannot, is something Bill James has disliked for years. So no, I wouldn’t say he approached perfection in this sense, though it was a helluva start against a minor league lineup.

    Comment by Sandy Kazmir — April 3, 2013 @ 1:31 pm

  14. death to pitch counts

    Comment by Yu Darvish — April 3, 2013 @ 1:38 pm

  15. I am not sure how many Ks Ryu had, but its pretty obvious that strikeouts have a huge impact on xFIP because ofcourse Ks are not in play and therefore cannot become Hrs…For instance Matt Harrison gave up 5 earned runs Sunday but also had 9 Ks and his xFIP is 2.50..

    Comment by Aggie E — April 3, 2013 @ 1:45 pm

  16. Classic Cistulli.

    Comment by Bravo — April 3, 2013 @ 2:47 pm

  17. Classic Cc.

    Comment by Bravo — April 3, 2013 @ 2:48 pm

  18. I was watching the Giants/Dodgers game last night thinking that this game perfectly summarizes why ERA is a bad way to measure pitching performance. I mean, Mad Bum pitched better than Hyun-Jin Ryu, and this was not reflected accurately in the ERA’s after the game. Then I come here today and find out that, according to xFIP, Hyun-Jin Ryu apparently pitched a better game.

    Mad Bumgarner – 8 innings, 6 ks, 0 walks, 2 hits, .25 whip
    Hyun-Jin Ryu – 6.1 innings, 5 ks, 0 walks, 10 hits, 1.58 whip

    I learned that ERA is flawed, and so is xFIP.

    Comment by Bryan — April 3, 2013 @ 3:33 pm

  19. Truth^

    Comment by Hurtlockertwo — April 3, 2013 @ 6:31 pm

  20. Carson, I have more affection for you than I would like to have for any man, and certainly for one I’ve never met and likely never will.

    I don’t know if you wanted to know that, but now you do.

    Comment by CB — April 4, 2013 @ 2:04 am

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