FanGraphs Baseball

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  1. You’re welcome.

    Comment by Evan Gattis — April 10, 2013 @ 3:59 pm

  2. *Home Run Boom, rather than Home Room Boom in the second to last paragraph, Dave.

    Also, excellent article. I didn’t catch your piece last summer regarding HR/Con. Informative stuff.

    CD

    Comment by CabreraDeath — April 10, 2013 @ 4:04 pm

  3. According to my teacher friends, home rooms are at an all time high too…

    (Thanks for the catch.)

    Comment by Dave Cameron — April 10, 2013 @ 4:05 pm

  4. I thought it was pretty likely that this increase in home runs is almost certainly linked to the warm weather. To check this out, shouldn’t we take the temperature at all the games, compare it to the usual temperature at games in April, and then use the rate at which temperature affects HR’s to see how much of the increase is due to temperature?

    Do we not have good datasets for those things? They should all be out there somewhere.

    Comment by cass — April 10, 2013 @ 4:38 pm

  5. “The first week of April is the coldest weak of the month, on average.”

    week/weak while you’re at it. I’m partial to home rum booms myself.

    Comment by Gordon Shumway — April 10, 2013 @ 4:39 pm

  6. Initially I thought the typo was that it didn’t say “cruelest”.

    Comment by Well-Beered Englishman — April 10, 2013 @ 4:49 pm

  7. Could this have anything to do with the fact that fences have been moved in at Citi Field (a loooot of homers hit there so far this year), and also at Safeco? And the fact that only one game has been played at Petco, and two at the Marlin’s park?

    Comment by Jay Owen — April 10, 2013 @ 4:52 pm

  8. This rise in HR rate is all well and good, but personally I’m more fascinated by that aggresive increase in K%. When’s the last time the league K rate was over 20% for a full season?! I mean that’s really high.

    Comment by Blofkin — April 10, 2013 @ 4:53 pm

  9. Another question about the K’s that I’ve never seen discussed: Who will become the first pitcher to strikeout 21 batters in a game? Obviously no one knows, but it would seem like something that would not be unexpected.

    Comment by cass — April 10, 2013 @ 5:03 pm

  10. Conspiracy of Silence? No mention made of Joey Votto, who has not homered since June 24, 2012. That’s a span of 49 games and counting. Last year when Pujols had his April drought, it seemed to be all I read about. Double standard?

    Comment by Carl Karcher — April 10, 2013 @ 5:47 pm

  11. The Axford Effect.

    Comment by Dandy Salderson — April 10, 2013 @ 5:48 pm

  12. Votto has a 134 wRC+ this week, and a 146 wRC+ in the second half of last year. Pujols wasn’t just not hitting dingers last April, he was slashing an ugly .217/.265/.304

    Comment by Jacob — April 10, 2013 @ 5:52 pm

  13. …first week of April is the coldest weak of the month.

    I’m sure you meant week.

    Comment by Hank G. — April 10, 2013 @ 6:04 pm

  14. Joey had several homers during spring training, so this fantasy owner hopes that means the power will show up …

    Comment by Menthol — April 10, 2013 @ 6:28 pm

  15. Mariners opened on the road, so only two games have been played at Safeco (though, granted, one was last night’s slugfest… and at least three of the Astros’ home runs would’ve been warning track catches or maybe doubles with the old dimensions). The fences were moved in at Citi Field in the ’11-’12 offseason, not this past winter; perhaps you’re thinking of PetCo — but again, the Padres opened on the road and as of this morning have only played one game in their new park.

    Comment by joser — April 10, 2013 @ 8:17 pm

  16. Oh no, you’ve discovered Big Sports Media’s pro-Canadian conspiracy! Now the plans to have hockey take over from NASCAR have been set back a generation!

    Comment by joser — April 10, 2013 @ 8:19 pm

  17. Serious question: what do these numbers look like with the Rogers Centre (and maybe one or two others) removed from the equation?

    The first six days of the season, that stadium was a bandbox like I’ve never seen. Balls that typically would have fallen harmlessly into a glove were instead carrying over the wall – and the ones that would have left, left with authority. Five of the six longest HRs this season! 23 dingers in six games!

    So, yeah. Might this just be a result of outlier stadiums?

    Comment by Aaron — April 10, 2013 @ 8:28 pm

  18. Strikeouts per game are at an all-time high, so I would guess that K% is as well.

    Comment by Lee Panas — April 10, 2013 @ 8:52 pm

  19. The Canadian ball has been inflating against the U.S. ball since the Commish started quantitative easing on the playoff eligibility rules.

    Comment by King of the Byelorussian Crunkers — April 10, 2013 @ 10:10 pm

  20. Fences have been moved in at Petco too. There were 3-4 Hrs in the first game.

    Comment by S Arora — April 11, 2013 @ 12:42 am

  21. Interesting read, Mr. Cameron. Small sample size, but not insignificant.
    I hope the dingers keep comin!
    Yu or Shark might the first pitcher to K 21.

    Comment by S Arora — April 11, 2013 @ 12:46 am

  22. If April = coldest month and there is a correlation with dingers, it shouldn’t be too hard to compare how cold this year has been compared to other years. Batters getting their timing down may be another factor and this year had a longer spring training.

    Comment by PackBob — April 11, 2013 @ 1:21 am

  23. My prediction is that it’ll be someone who we know can get Ks but who isn’t known for LOTS of them.

    Comment by jorgath_dc — April 11, 2013 @ 9:39 am

  24. The first week is almost always very dome-heavy schedule-wise, which may make it less typical of April than otehr weeks this month. I’m interested to see how the full month of April turns out…

    Comment by Greg Rybarczyk — April 11, 2013 @ 11:04 am

  25. Its all about the moved in fences.

    Comment by Schuxu — April 11, 2013 @ 12:54 pm

  26. Hey, don’t take all the credit.

    Comment by Joe Buck — April 11, 2013 @ 1:18 pm

  27. Apparently I monetarily forgot my own first name…

    Comment by John Buck — April 11, 2013 @ 1:25 pm

  28. Except it’s not. Of all the games played when this was written, only three had been played in stadiums with different outfields from last year. Try again.

    Comment by joser — April 11, 2013 @ 1:55 pm

  29. Votto isn’t one of the biggest names in baseball, he didn’t just sign an enormous contract, and he didn’t just debut that new contract in the largest media-celebrity market in the country. Pujols is a huge name and a Latin player moving to one of the largest Latino demographics in the US; Votto is a quiet Canadian playing in a small non-Canadian city. He didn’t elicit much commentary even when he was leading his league in HRs and MVP votes, and he plays in a flyover city that for all its baseball history most Americans know mostly for chili and a Loni Anderson sitcom. When was the last time anything of national note happened in Cincinnati? (Mapplethorpe maybe?) The situations aren’t remotely comparable, so the coverage isn’t either.

    Comment by eye-roll — April 11, 2013 @ 2:08 pm

  30. Maybe Selig tightened up the ball a little bit.

    Would not surprise me

    Comment by Jay Hernandez — April 11, 2013 @ 2:17 pm

  31. I am reassured to see that the typo police are out in force today.

    Comment by Baltar — April 11, 2013 @ 2:25 pm

  32. What has caught my attention the most in this early season is the number of games won by huge margins, 10 runs or more and even 15 or more. I could see this as either a cause (the bottom of both bullpens being scraped) or effect of the high HR numbers.

    Comment by Baltar — April 11, 2013 @ 2:29 pm

  33. Last time I checked I had a $200+ million contract and an MVP award.

    Point taken on where I play though.

    Comment by Joey Votto — April 11, 2013 @ 3:20 pm

  34. Pujols had a horrible April in his walk year (2011) as well.

    I recall that getting as much, if not more press than the 2012 slow start.

    Comment by CircleChange11 — April 12, 2013 @ 12:57 am

  35. Atleast two of these were hit where the fences remained the same down the left field line.

    Comment by SaberTJ — April 14, 2013 @ 10:40 am

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