FanGraphs Baseball


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  1. Pedro Hernandez is over 20 IP. He has, at this point, earned that 3 NERD.

    Comment by Andrew — May 13, 2013 @ 11:35 am

  2. Would you take Donaldson over Conor Gillaspie and Juan Francisco?

    Comment by Roger — May 13, 2013 @ 11:50 am

  3. Context is a 5×5 dynasty league, 14 teams. Team is in the middle of a complete rebuild.

    Comment by Roger — May 13, 2013 @ 11:51 am

  4. I’ve been disapointed by the lack of high game NERDs. What would be the highest possible game NERD, Anibal Sanchez (10, 8 for DET) vs Matt Harvey (10, 7 for NYM)? I think that would still only be a 9 (10*3+8 + 10*3+7)/8 = 9.375. Am I right?

    Comment by JLuman — May 13, 2013 @ 11:54 am

  5. I’m fairly sure Pedro Hernandez is a made up person.

    Comment by Dreamin — May 13, 2013 @ 11:58 am

  6. Corban Joseph starting game 1 today. BB in his first MLB PA.

    Comment by Jay29 — May 13, 2013 @ 12:36 pm

  7. Most improved hitter list without Chris Davis is a joke.

    Comment by Gallo — May 13, 2013 @ 12:50 pm

  8. You may not be aware of this, but Carson is a pretty funny guy.

    Comment by Evan — May 13, 2013 @ 1:04 pm

  9. Only surprised that Carlos and Jean were 2-1 instead of 1-2.

    Comment by ChicubsWally — May 13, 2013 @ 1:05 pm

  10. You did not actually read the article, I take it?

    Comment by cass — May 13, 2013 @ 1:13 pm

  11. Yeah, if my crude math is even remotely accurate, I have him for a 19-pt improvement in wOBA.

    Comment by CircleChange11 — May 13, 2013 @ 1:16 pm

  12. Any comment like this which snarkily dismisses the author’s hard work in its entirety whilst lazily neglecting to provide any evidence to support its own hastily made point is even worse than a joke.

    Comment by Patrick — May 13, 2013 @ 1:23 pm

  13. FanGraphs has a fantasy section called RotoGraphs. This is the part of the website where all our fantasy talk revolves around A.J. Griffin’s curvepiece becoming a Charlie Blackmon donger.

    Comment by Well-Beered Englishman — May 13, 2013 @ 1:33 pm

  14. I see a 9 point increase in wOBA. We’re comparing Steamer (R) with pre-season Steamer, which you can find on the projections tab of his page.

    Looks like he just missed the list.

    Comment by cass — May 13, 2013 @ 1:44 pm

  15. Don’t you dare list Michael Nelson Trout in tomorrow’s “Most Eroded Hitters So Far, Per Steamer”. It is not his fault, Josh Hamilton shititude is the contact aureole enveloping Trout’s magma eruption. Actually, if I may torture this horrible metaphor further, Hamilton’s shititude is a contact-regional metamorphic aureole weighing down the Angels’ rise to a division title.

    Hamilton’s shititude, seeing “Steamer” in the headline, and my impatience with these Angels bring to mindpoor Vacerra:

    Quod in omnibus Vacerra conclavibus
    consumit horas et toto the sedet,
    cenaturit Vacerra, non cacaturit.

    “Vacerra, while passing his hours in latrines, and sitting there all day long, desires not to empty his belly (i.e., shit), but to fill it.”

    Comment by Brazen Reader — May 13, 2013 @ 1:47 pm

  16. Your post has moved me immeasurably.

    Comment by shititude — May 13, 2013 @ 2:03 pm

  17. Can somebody please explain to me why Steamer thought Harper would have a lower wRC+ and wOBA this year than last year, and STILL thinks so? It doesn’t make any sense- a 19-year-old with a perfectly reasonable BABIP is going to get offensively *worse* in his second full year?

    Comment by x — May 13, 2013 @ 10:15 pm

  18. 19-20 aging curves are hard to do and they are even worse if you use minor league data. Read Tom Tango’s stuff on the weakness of MLEs and you will realize that they are basically misinformation for a player who is 3 or 4 years ahead of a normal first round draft pick.

    Comment by philosofool — May 13, 2013 @ 11:33 pm

  19. So I take it the steamer is not buying Dexter Fowler’s April?

    Comment by existing — May 14, 2013 @ 2:23 am

  20. Nothing for Starling Marte? Steamer preseason was .277/.323/.438 with 18 SB for the whole season; for the rest of the season it now has him .283/.331/.448 with 21 steals; wOBA moved from .327 to .336. Seems to be worth at least an honorable mention.

    Comment by pasels — May 14, 2013 @ 9:07 am

  21. His updated rest-of-season wRC+ puts him at 121 for the season, which is pretty elite.

    Comment by pasels — May 14, 2013 @ 9:22 am

  22. Fair enough, thanks. It just frustrates me that such a sophisticated prediction could spit out so laughable a prediction.

    Comment by x — May 14, 2013 @ 6:01 pm

  23. Almost as bad a joke as “whilst” is a word.


    Comment by Gringo Mike — May 14, 2013 @ 7:08 pm

  24. What are you talking about? When the article was written, Steamer projected .353 wOBA RoS, which is higher than his .352 last year.

    Comment by evo34 — May 15, 2013 @ 11:48 pm

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