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  1. Will the Orioles ever contend? Not likely

    Comment by PhD Brian — December 18, 2009 @ 4:14 pm

  2. Don’t follow the O’s much, do you Brian?

    Comment by Casadilla — December 18, 2009 @ 4:23 pm

  3. I just realized that MacPhail is a terrible name for a GM…

    Better than outright “Mr. Fail” though.

    Comment by strikethreeout — December 18, 2009 @ 4:57 pm

  4. If they ever do, he’ll just say it’s because they’re “juicing.”

    Comment by joser — December 18, 2009 @ 5:05 pm

  5. Well Mc or Mac generally means “son of”….

    Comment by joser — December 18, 2009 @ 5:06 pm

  6. He can’t be half as bad as Mora at running the bases, so: Win

    Comment by sorry your heinous — December 18, 2009 @ 5:26 pm

  7. Will the Orioles ever contend? Not likely

    I’m betting that same thing was said about Rays a couple of times.

    Comment by Jason — December 19, 2009 @ 1:36 am

  8. Though to be fair, that was before the Rays emerged, and before the Yankees started spending their absurd wads of cash wisely and with Boston continuing to have a large budget and smart management. I really do feel for O’s fans.

    Comment by AInquisition — December 19, 2009 @ 12:38 pm

  9. weiters, markakis, jones, reimold, pie, tillman, matusz, roberts

    yeah they’re going to be terrible forever…

    Comment by Reuben — December 19, 2009 @ 3:34 pm

  10. Thank you for a wonderful write up, I think you judged all aspects very well. Certainly and average player for an average salary on a team that needs just that. I suppose there is upside there as well which could make the move more interesting. More than anything, I believe the idea here was to not block the prospects: Bell, Snyder, Moore, Turner, Waring…etc.

    Keep up the GREAT work, Happy Holidays!

    Comment by Justin — December 19, 2009 @ 5:55 pm

  11. Not sure I would include pie there, but arrietta maybe.

    Comment by Lombard — December 19, 2009 @ 8:40 pm

  12. O’s should go after hank blalock for first and deal luke scott for an innings eater or several very solid consistent RPs

    Comment by Lombard — December 19, 2009 @ 8:49 pm

  13. One thing not mentioned about Garrett Atkins is that his performance jumps off a cliff in high leverage situations. Over the course of the 2007 and 2008 seasons, he was one the most “un-clutch” players in baseball. While this statistic did not hold up in 2009, it’s because his low leverage performance was abysmal to begin with.

    As a Rockies fan, I was hoping for Atkins to sign with any other NL West team. I remain highly doubtful that the projected WAR value mentioned above will prove to be accurate.

    Comment by Andrew — December 20, 2009 @ 1:50 am

  14. How many is “several”? Can Luke Scott fetch 6 consistent middle relievers?

    Comment by TLB — December 20, 2009 @ 2:43 am

  15. Matt – you missed the strategic situation. The main 2010 goal of the O’s is to develop their potential young starters into a top line staff. If that succeeds, they compete, if not who cares. They don’t need a bat to achieve this, they need a defensive 3rd baseman to go with their terrific ss, a 3b whose play will encourage the arms to let em hit grounders. If pitchers run up good numbers and lose 3-2, they develop confidence and learn the right things. If they lose 6-5, they don’t.

    Comment by saj — December 20, 2009 @ 1:41 pm

  16. Interesting. I hadn’t thought of it that way. I’m not dismissing your point, but what great defensive third basemen are available that would have taken a short-term contract a la Atkins? Beltre and Figgins certainly wouldn’t.

    I guess that if the Orioles feel like they’re a couple of steps from contending in 2011, they could try to lock up Adrian Beltre for a few years and figure out something else for Josh Bell to do…

    Thanks for the interesting comment from another perspective.

    Comment by Matt Klaassen — December 20, 2009 @ 2:33 pm

  17. Joe Crede.

    Sure, Crede was even worse offensivley in 2009 than Atkins (and got hurt, once again), but he’s an excellent defensive 3B and still has power. Crede hasn’t had a UZR/150 under +7.2 since 2004, and has never posted a UZR/150 lower than +3.6.
    He’s also posted .ISO of .200 or higher in 2005, 2006, and 2008 (and a not too shabby .189 in 2009), and managed 15HR in only 90 games in 2009.

    As an O’s fan, Crede seems like a perfect fit. Sure, he’d miss 50+ games probably, but that’s what Wigginton and/or Aubrey are for. Hell, if he’s injured at the end of the season, Josh Bell might even be ready.

    Hopefully the O’s still sign Crede and play Atkins at 1B (and possibly try and flip him at the deadline).

    Comment by mystlyfe — December 21, 2009 @ 3:33 pm

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