FanGraphs Baseball


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  1. For those interested and unaware, today the Pittsburgh Pirates baseball club takes on their Milwaukee counterpart to vie for their first 82nd win in two decades. It would seem somewhat fitting if these PBC Pirates achieved that 82nd win against the Milwaukee team as some of *the* very worst moments of that twenty year march through the quagmire of futility occurred in the very city that tonight’s action transpires in. Francisco Liriano and his 9 NERD will take the ball for the Bucs. I personally declare FGs * 4 * Gamescore in error — a possible typo meant to read * 14 *.

    Comment by Retirenutting — September 4, 2013 @ 12:42 pm

  2. This is less subjective now than previous iterations of NERD. Ideally they would feature some kind of still-sliding scale. The concept that once a team ceases to have a chance to play in the postseason that they immediately warrant a team score of zero, seems flawed. Perhaps an addendum could be added to account for the number of rostered rookie-eligible players are on their 25-man roster.

    Basically it seems strange to me that the Astros became less watchable when they mathematically lost their chance to make the playoffs they never had a chance of making.

    Comment by Oh, Beepy — September 4, 2013 @ 12:47 pm

  3. How in the world is Kameron Loe starting a game that isn’t in spring training for a playoff team?

    Comment by dfives — September 4, 2013 @ 12:51 pm

  4. How in the world did Kameron Loe get a 5 NERD? Is it that much fun watching such failure?

    Comment by Dan Ugglas Forearm — September 4, 2013 @ 1:06 pm

  5. I’m having trouble figuring out which game would be the best to watch tonight based on NERD. Really tough decision.

    Comment by cass — September 4, 2013 @ 1:15 pm

  6. I’m failing to understand how the Baltimore-Cleveland game could be a 2 NERD.

    Comment by Andrew — September 4, 2013 @ 2:36 pm

  7. Carson, I appreciate the kind words, and was happy to help. However, to clarify one thing for the record: if you were to ask my wife about my “actual resemblance to a G-type main-sequence star,” her response would be something along the lines of “No, he does not resemble such celestial object, because my dear husband has lost all of his twinkle over the years that I have enjoyed his company”. Of course, she would say this not nearly as eloquently as the above (i.e., her expected quote), and probably more along the lines of a comment with similar meaning written on a Yahoo! Message Board, or maybe

    Comment by ScottW — September 4, 2013 @ 2:36 pm

  8. Concern with the new addition is the loss of variation. Now pretty much every game has become a 1-4. Would prefer a playoff odds bonus so as to properly distinguish between other games.

    Comment by Neil Weinberg — September 4, 2013 @ 6:33 pm

  9. The way to incorporate playoff odds is to determine a “leverage index” for games similar to WPA’s leverage index. Here, for each game you can run simulations for how much league-wide odds of getting to the divisional series differ with each team winning (league-wide divisional series odds means that if the Cardinals play the Brewers, you account for the interest to Pirates fans — if the Cardinals lose the Pirates have a better chance to take the division and thus to play in the divisional series, which is certainly important, and of course not as important as if the Pirates play the Cardinals straight-up).

    Comment by Al Dimond — September 4, 2013 @ 8:18 pm

  10. Well. Shoot.

    Comment by Retirenutting — September 4, 2013 @ 11:36 pm

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