FanGraphs Baseball


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  1. Great interview! Addressing the stalking comment, my projection system predicts that you are 110 times more likely to be adversely effected by someone who knows you than a stalking stranger. Don’t believe those old school stranger-stalking stereotypes.

    Comment by neuter_your_dogma — January 5, 2010 @ 4:54 pm

  2. The Biancalana Projection System. Awesome. I never made the connection between utility players and the name’s of projection systems, but now that I have, I propose this: Any composite of multiple projection sytems (Chone + Cairo + Pectoa + Grebeck + McLemore + Phillips + Counsell + Inge or whatever) be referred to as the Oquendo Projection System.

    Comment by Choo — January 5, 2010 @ 5:27 pm

  3. I’d say the Bloomquist system would be awesome to have.

    Comment by Michael — January 5, 2010 @ 5:45 pm

  4. How have I never taken the RBI Sporcle quiz??!!

    In a classic 2003, Saturday night at 2:00 AM rematch of the 1986 World Series, I (with the Mets) won when, no lie, Mookie Wilson hit a ground ball to first base that Bill Buckner booted. We immediately paused the screen and proceeded to taunt our Red Sox fan friends for several days.

    Comment by Mitch — January 5, 2010 @ 6:01 pm

  5. I assume you’re familiar with the RBI replay of Game Six, complete with Vin Scully commentary. Pretty amazing watch.

    Comment by Carson Cistulli — January 5, 2010 @ 6:08 pm

  6. I know the formulas are different for how he calculates WAR, but does he also have a slightly different replacement level then the one FanGraphs uses?

    Comment by Scottwood — January 5, 2010 @ 6:12 pm

  7. I think the original utility player projection system namesake was Wilton, as in Wilton Guerrero. If I’m not mistaken, Wilton was Bill James’ upgrade on his intial Brock2 projection system.

    Damn Bill James. . . he always seemed to get there first.

    Comment by John H. Ch. — January 5, 2010 @ 7:41 pm

  8. I think that RBI must be using 1987 rosters, because the Detroit Tigers feature Doyle Alexander (whom they acquired mid-season in 1987) and Kirk Gibson (who was obviously on the Dodgers in 1988).

    Comment by Jake — January 5, 2010 @ 7:42 pm

  9. If this were Facebook, I would like this. That’s just awesome.

    Comment by Whartonite — January 5, 2010 @ 7:44 pm

  10. True, but you have to consider the fact that Doyle Alexander transcends all time and space constraints. That can really complicate things.

    Comment by Carson Cistulli — January 5, 2010 @ 7:50 pm

  11. I’ve got average AL players at 22 runs above replacement per 650 AP, and NL 18 above. That might be slightly different from what David uses.

    Thanks Carson, this came out well. Now I’ll have to see how I do on that sporcle quiz. Amazing how RBI stands the test of time, seems almost everyone played with the same game version.

    Comment by Rally — January 5, 2010 @ 8:34 pm

  12. 116 out of 160 on RBI baseball.

    Comment by Rally — January 5, 2010 @ 8:51 pm

  13. Rally = one man sabermetric wrecking crew. Along with Frank Zappa, Theodor Adorno, Bill McNeil, and the basketball coach from Teen Wolf, one of my heroes.

    Comment by Matt Klaassen — January 5, 2010 @ 8:57 pm

  14. Rally, I’ve got a data question for you. I’ve just downloaded my first database and am in the beginning stages of what I hope will turn into a decent projection system after a few years. All for fun. You mentioned that you include player weights in the system, and I’d like to know where you get that information. Every site I’ve found lists only one player weight for an entire career, and I think year-by-year weight can be a useful element in forecasting future performances.

    Comment by Newcomer — January 5, 2010 @ 10:41 pm

  15. Any idea when the CHONE projections will be up here on the site?

    Comment by rs — January 6, 2010 @ 12:19 am

  16. Very soon.

    Comment by David Appelman — January 6, 2010 @ 12:27 am

  17. Weights are entered by hand. It’s a very time consuming process. Players who were projected before have their weights carried over year to year, sometimes I’ll spot check and make changes, but I don’t have up to date weights for everyone, or even most players.

    Comment by Rally — January 6, 2010 @ 12:53 pm

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    Comment by Gratis Gewinnspiele — February 18, 2011 @ 8:13 pm

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