Just a thought, but I was wondering if Fangraphs stores historical projections (i.e. 2008, 2007, 2006, etc.). It might be interesting to do a multi-year regression on the various projections systems and see which tends the closest, or most optimistic, etc. I know things like that have been done in the past, but I don’t think on such a large scale…
I don’t keep anything but the latest projections in the database, but you can download every year of the Marcels from tangotiger.net if you follow the link in the post. I know Sean stores all the CHONE projections somewhere and I think you can still purchase all the Bill James ones dating back to 2007 or something. I think Dan has all the historical ZiPS over at baseballthinkfactory.org too.
Basically, there’s ways to get them, but just not here.
Chris Coghlan (.370 wOBA!) is missing from the sortable projection pages. Not sure how he ended up with such a high projection, particularly with such limited MLB experience. Maybe that’s why he was taken out of the sortable page? Is it an error?
Comment by Toffer Peak — January 13, 2010 @ 6:07 pm
Both the Alexei Ramirez and Coghlan problems should be fixed. Was grabbing position info from the wrong year.
BDB is a database with all of the traditionally box-score measured statistics for any player in any year (or at least any year of likely interest to your project, don’t recall how far it goes back, though I’m sure it’s into the 1800’s). That should be all you would need for a Marcels type projection.