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  1. You’ve hit the nail right on the head, but I’ll add one important factor. Let’s imagine that Suppan is DFA’d (as he has so rightfully earned). That leaves 5 guys for 5 slots. Now let’s imagine someone gets injured — how do you value the AAAA guy the Brewers start in the now-vacant rotation spot? Will Chris Narveson outperform Jeff Suppan? He certainly can’t do any worse than Braden Looper.

    This is a team that had everything click financially to go out and get CC Sabathia and make a playoff run. Now, they have dead money in Suppan (1 year left, thank goodness) and Bill Hall (we are paying Boston by way of Seattle to have him “hit lefties”). That’s upwards of $20MM coming off the books after this season. If the Brewers don’t do anything creative financially with that money other than reup Doug Davis and sign Prince to some deal worth $15MM AAV, that should leave the window open for another season. However, it all comes down to pitching. When you can replace an injured Ben Sheets with Yovani Gallardo, you can stay in a playoff run. When you replace Sabathia and Sheets with Looper and a prayer, you ought to fall out of the playoff run. When you replace Looper and a prayer with Wolf and Davis? Milwaukee’s fingers are crossed.

    Comment by Christian — January 22, 2010 @ 10:49 am

  2. That $20M next offseason is going to disappear pretty quickly. Parra and Gallardo are going to be first time arby eligible. Fielder probably gets a decent raise. My guess is at least $3M and that’s probably low. Include raises for other guys and the money will be gone pretty quickly.

    Comment by Logan — January 22, 2010 @ 10:58 am

  3. Couldn’t agree more on the strategery advice for Melvin but do we have to mention Carlos Gomez? Its just painful.

    Also, the Brewers minor leagues are not bare, we’ve got some decent help coming up for a good future.

    Comment by KY — January 22, 2010 @ 3:33 pm

  4. Well, Parra has no options left, so he’s not going to AAA. He’s either in the rotation or the bullpen; odds are that the Brewers give him the chance to start and. if he’s not capable, shift him into a bullpen role where his stuff can play up.

    The second half of this article seems predicated on the assumption that the Brewers will try to slot Soupan into the rotation simply because of his salary, and that’s misguided. This isn’t a situation where a team has multiple years on a bad deal left, and may be inclined to make short-term sacrifices in an effort to salvage some long-term value. They’re going to use Suppan in whatever fashion they deem will make them most competitive this year, whether that’s as a #5 starter, in the bullpen, or with someone else occupying his roster spot.

    Comment by rob deer — January 22, 2010 @ 3:58 pm

  5. Wow.

    StL is the owrst team in MLB at hitting LHP. MIL, their main competition, in the division just added 2 decent LHPs.

    Interesting.

    Not only that but MIL added 2 guys that could eat up 200 IP, keeping their bullpen fresh.

    The Cubs just fell to 3rd or 4th place, depending on how Cincy plays.

    Comment by circlechange11 — January 22, 2010 @ 4:52 pm

  6. Wow. Hate to be a homer, but looking at the Brewers’ rotation gives me a new appreciation for what the Astros are going into Spring Training with. Parra would have to fight for a bullpen spot in Houston. Too bad our offense sucks.

    Comment by OremLK — January 24, 2010 @ 1:50 am

  7. I think this article missing the key stats for Doug Davis which is much more important in real baseball than fantasy. IP and GS. He takes the ball often, more than 32 GS plus more than 190 IP 5 of the last 6 years. That fact the Suppans or AAA fodder won’t be needed for that amount of innings is his true value. Kinda addition by subtraction.

    Fantasy wise that WHIP is scary and he is end gamer even in NL only.

    Comment by Funky — January 24, 2010 @ 11:00 am

  8. St Louis’ problems vs LHP last year came mainly from the fact they gave north of 1000 PAs to Rick Ankiel, Chris Duncan and Joe Thurston, plus the fact that Colby Rasmus struggled mightily against lefties in his rookie year, and even Skip Schumaker (who’s got about as horrible a platoon split as anyone in mlb) even had to take a few PAs against lefties because the rest of the crop were so bad.

    We’ve got rid of the nightmare trio of Ankiel, Duncan and Thurston, and have 2-3 players (Lugo & Tyler Greene, most notably) who can now take all Schumaker’s PAs vs lefties at 2B. We’ve added one of the best right-handed hitters in the game, and have right-handers likely starting at 3B and as our 4th OF. Also, Rasmus is liable to improve from his egregious 2009 line.

    Seriously, the Cardinals should not struggle against LHP in 2010. A more pressing concern is arguably the lack of a decent left-handed threat off the bench. Most of our lineup is now right-handed, and, with the exception of Ludwick and Rasmus, our entire lineup that’ll start against lefties hits them better than RHP.

    Comment by Felonius_Monk — January 25, 2010 @ 9:53 am

  9. Yeah. Brian Moehler is absolutely sick with that 70mph fastball and all.

    Comment by Felonius_Monk — January 25, 2010 @ 9:54 am

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