FanGraphs Baseball


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  1. Hah! Nailed Player A. Also, that flowchart is priceless.

    Comment by Kevin S. — January 22, 2010 @ 4:13 pm

  2. I love the 1 HR by Pierre in 3 seasons. Pierre has the one HR to his credit since the top of the 3 inning on Sept. 18, 2006. That’s 55 PA from that season plus 1560 since, meaning 1 HR in the past 1615 PA. Pathetic

    Perhaps this is why we hate the guy ever so much.

    Ps, where’s eckstein rank?

    Comment by David MVP Eckstein — January 22, 2010 @ 5:03 pm

  3. The WAR comparison between Dunn and Polanco is very misleading, unless that is you can demonstrate a strong negative correlation between TTO and fielding.

    Comment by Paul Scott — January 22, 2010 @ 5:14 pm

  4. It would only be misleading if he suggested that being a TTO hitter is a bad thing; he didn’t, he just said “The Three True Outcomes aren’t everything”, which the WAR comparison illustrates quite well.

    Comment by Alex Poterack — January 22, 2010 @ 5:21 pm

  5. On what basis was Tejada overpaid by the Orioles?

    Comment by DKDC — January 22, 2010 @ 6:14 pm

  6. Paul:

    What Alex said — TTO wasn’t the basis for the comparison of their WAR, it was just an occasion to discuss how much Polanco has been underrated. I know that, pre-WAR, I would never have thought Polanco was even close to Dunn in value, much more valuable.

    Comment by Matt Klaassen — January 22, 2010 @ 6:46 pm

  7. Good point… I’m actually not sure what I was thinking when I wrote that line. Maybe I was mixing up his projected value at the time with his actual value (which turned out to be pretty good)… I’ll have to revisit that contract sometime.

    Comment by Matt Klaassen — January 22, 2010 @ 6:53 pm

  8. Alright, fixed to be less stupid.

    Comment by Matt Klaassen — January 22, 2010 @ 9:59 pm

  9. And to think, Bengie Molina JUST missed this list. He’s a ~15.6% TTO-er (unless I fucked up the calculations royally) guy, so I suppose he’s #6 on the list…

    Speaking of bengie molina, it’s the bengie molina all-stars!

    Comment by David MVP Eckstein — January 24, 2010 @ 12:38 am

  10. Aren’t HR also park affected, and therefore not completely Pitcher/Hitter matchup exclusive?

    Comment by B — January 24, 2010 @ 3:04 am

  11. HR are park effected… as are walks and Ks. This sort of TTO thing isn’t a meant to be a totally neutralized stat, just a focus on batters excluding batted ball issues — sort of like FIP without the weights. IN fact fact, I might revisit this whole thing with a “FIP for hitters” junk stat at some point.

    Comment by Matt Klaassen — January 24, 2010 @ 11:41 am

  12. Great read, thanks for putting it up.

    Comment by Jd Webb — January 25, 2010 @ 12:48 am

  13. Apparently, history will remember Juan Pierre’s 2006 as being “good”.

    God have mercy on us all.

    Comment by hank — January 25, 2010 @ 1:45 pm

  14. Since he was mentioned, question time:

    Adam Dunn is a candidate for 600 HR. If he gets there, is he a Hall of Famer, regardless of his fielding debauchery?

    Comment by Joe R — January 25, 2010 @ 2:13 pm

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