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  1. Not sure how Kalish ranks below Anderson given he performed better in Double-A (and MUCH better once he got used to the level after his first month in AA) plays higher up the defensive spectrum, and Anderson’s season raises serious doubts that he’ll ever have enough bat to play at 1B. I get your reasons for being skeptical about Kalish, but you may be the last person around who’s still this high on Anderson. He’s fallen almost completely out of consideration for me.

    Comment by JH — January 25, 2010 @ 1:23 pm

  2. I’ll be honest, outside of Kelly/Westmoreland at the top and Bowden at 10, the other seven guys could have gone in many different orders, as each has some positives and negatives that excite/worry me… As for Anderson, I think he’s shown that his ceiling is higher than Kalish’s, which is why I kept him so high… I am not a big fan of giving up on prospects quickly, unless they 100% prove that they’re on the way down. I’ll ride it out a bit longer.

    Comment by Marc Hulet — January 25, 2010 @ 1:38 pm

  3. Just a quick note, Marc. McLeod is no longer the Scouting Director. He left for San Diego. Amiel Sawdaye is.

    Comment by Pat — January 25, 2010 @ 1:54 pm

  4. Would you please give us similar summaries of the guys Boston shipped to Cleveland for Victor Martinez? I know Masterson well, but I would like to know what the Sox gave up in Nick Hagadone and Bryan Price.

    Comment by Sean — January 25, 2010 @ 2:45 pm

  5. Good list, but Tazawa at 3? I think he projects as a decent 3, but I have a hard time believing somebody like Josh Reddick doesn’t have more upside (to the extent you can compare apples and oranges anyway).

    Also – Jose Iglesias where you at?

    Comment by The Hit Dog — January 25, 2010 @ 2:50 pm

  6. By “3” in my post I meant 3rd starter… confusing.

    Comment by The Hit Dog — January 25, 2010 @ 2:50 pm

  7. I’m probably one of the few remaining Lars Anderson believers, but I’m optimistic for a 21 y/o AA player who maintained impressive plate discipline despite season long struggles. Even going into this year, his knock was whether or not gap power would begin to translate into home runs as he aged. After reading an interview on Prospectus with Anderson, I still feel he’s a cerebral enough player to move beyond the bump in the road that is the ’09 season.

    Comment by nmh — January 25, 2010 @ 2:53 pm

  8. This may have been posted after your note, but Iglesias was signed in 2009. Which begs the question, would Marc have slid him in as #3 if Marc was including international signees?

    Comment by JCA — January 25, 2010 @ 3:29 pm

  9. FanGraphs’ Top 10 Prospects:
    (2009 Draft Picks/International Signees Not Included)

    Comment by JCA — January 25, 2010 @ 3:30 pm

  10. I’m surprised not to see Jose Iglesias on this list. It seems that offensive potential was mainly used in constructing this list, but from what I understand, there is some potential there. He is widely regarded as having elite defensive skills already at a position that demands it. As we saw with Alex Gonzalez at the end of the year, an elite defensive shortstop can make a 4th or 5th starter look better then they are, though not the other way around. While Bowden does have a chance to stick in the majors, I cant imagine he could be anything more than a back-end starter or long man. That alone for me puts Iglesias on the list over Bowden, and I feel that Iglesias should be in the top 5.

    Comment by Brad — January 25, 2010 @ 3:30 pm

  11. I would be able to write off Anderson’s performance last year as a blip had I not seen him in spring training games a few times last year. It was on TV, but still I thought he looked very stiff and mechanical at the plate. Just wasn’t doing a good job of allowing his tools to work. We’ll see, but I think he had a lot of adjustments to make.

    Comment by Paul — January 25, 2010 @ 3:32 pm

  12. Brad – As others have already pointed out:

    FanGraphs’ Top 10 Prospects:
    (2009 Draft Picks/International Signees Not Included)

    Iglesias was a 2009 international signee. Therefore, he was not included in this list.

    Comment by geo — January 25, 2010 @ 4:46 pm

  13. I’m a big fan of Westmoreland, this kid is going to be something special when he makes it to the big time. He’s got so much upside, he’s like Carl Crawford with more power.

    And oh how far Lars Anderson has fallen. I remember people raving about this kid non-stop to be the future at 1B for the Sox. I’m not too high on him.

    Comment by KIG1 — January 25, 2010 @ 5:49 pm

  14. Why does CHONE project Lars to have 400+ PA’s in the majors next year? I’m probably missing something but I thought it projects only mlb level stats, and I can’t really see why Anderson would even play in the majors at all next year.

    Comment by tdp992 — January 25, 2010 @ 6:18 pm

  15. I heard a rumor that when these players get to MLB, they will be asked to do various things in the field while wearing a glove on one hand. Is this true? If so, you might want to factor in the possibility that some of them (e.g., Rizzo) are reportedly terrific at it, while others (e.g., Anderson) aren’t.

    Comment by Eric M. Van — January 25, 2010 @ 8:10 pm

  16. Question.

    If International signees are not included in these prospect ratings, does that mean that your entry for the MFY will be blank, or just fully populated with RH middle relievers?

    Comment by Dirty Water — January 25, 2010 @ 8:58 pm

  17. Than where’s Jason Place?

    j/k

    Comment by Dirty Water — January 25, 2010 @ 9:00 pm

  18. No, you’re probably one of the majority instead. No self-respecting fan gives up on some highly touted 22 year old because of a 4 month hiccup in performance. Only the idjuts do.

    Comment by Dirty Water — January 25, 2010 @ 9:09 pm

  19. Please take into account Kalish’s well documented struggles the first two months in AA before becoming one of the better offensive players in the EL the last half of the season. Throwing out a full season triple slash line with a side of K and BB rates and passing it off as analysis is just sloppy. As for the rest of his evaluation, the “nothing spectacular” comment is just annoying when there’s no mention of a broken hamate bone he suffered in ’07 – an injury that effectively zaps power before fully healed.

    Comment by TreyIII — January 26, 2010 @ 11:51 am

  20. hahahahaha

    Comment by ashwin1234 — January 26, 2010 @ 12:09 pm

  21. 2009 draft picks/international signees not included. 2009.

    Do you ever get tired of trolling?

    Comment by AndrewYF — January 27, 2010 @ 2:01 pm

  22. It’s a cautionary tale on overhyping prospects that compiled great statistics in Lancaster’s ballpark. It made Coors look like Petco Park. You can’t take any of those numbers seriously. Now that the Sox have smartly moved their high-A team to Salem, we can get a better read on their high A-ball prospects.

    Comment by AndrewYF — January 27, 2010 @ 2:04 pm

  23. Interestingly, our new writer, a big time Red Sox fan himself, agrees that we should wait and see on Lars Anderson. Here’s his take on Lars for our readers. Keep in mind we have a fantasy baseball spinn on prospects:

    Yankee and Red Sox prospects are frequently victims of their own success and that may have been the case with Anderson in 2009. After a breakout 2008 season that had many Sox fans naming him the heir-apparent to David Ortiz, Anderson struggled mightily last year, hitting just .233-9-51 in Double-A with an abysmal .345 slugging percentage.

    While many Boston fans will undoubtedly now write the young lefty off, his skill set remains impressive. If healthy, Anderson still has huge fantasy potential. Fully capable of hitting 30-plus home runs with a high average, Anderson’s upside is that of a Carlos Delgado-type player worthy of being drafted in the top 5 rounds of a draft. Those in dynasty leagues should hold on to Anderson and hope for a rebound in 2010. If he gets his career back on track, they will be handsomely rewarded.

    http://www.mlbfantasyprospects.com/2010/01/mlb-fantasy-prospects—team-scouting-reports-and-analysis—boston-red-sox.html

    Comment by Steve @ MLBFP — January 30, 2010 @ 12:39 pm

  24. I think Kelly’s on a much faster track than you’re giving him credit for. The talk this offseason has been of starting him at AA next year, with an outside shot at the bigs by the end of the year. Whether he can still pitch well while doing that is another story, but 2011 would be a more likely bet for his ETA than mid 2012. I’d say he’s a good year ahead of Westmoreland who you’ve got at late 2012.

    Comment by Nick Smith — January 30, 2010 @ 3:33 pm

  25. That may be the system in place, but it’s still a cop out. Looking back in ten years, isn’t it going to seem a little silly that Strasburg was never on a FanGraphs top prospect list? BP used to do the same thing, not including prospects with no pro stats and they ended up with incomplete prospects lists that, for example, wouldn’t include Josh Beckett.

    You obviously won’t be lumping HS freshmen on the same list as AAAers, but if you’re going to draw a line, “property of a major league organization” is a more sensible place to draw one than “drafted/signed at least a year ago.”

    Comment by Nick Smith — January 30, 2010 @ 3:46 pm

  26. Revisionist history. Anderson was considered a B/B+ prospect before he got to Portland. When he got there, and mashed, at the age of 21, that’s when the hype went through the roof.

    Comment by Nick — February 3, 2010 @ 7:27 am

  27. I’ve seen Lars Anderson play 1b. He’ll be fine.

    Comment by jim — March 10, 2010 @ 8:06 am

  28. we are anticipating great things from anthony rizzo. he’s the one everyone should be watching.

    Comment by charlie & jane lorenzo — July 9, 2010 @ 8:59 am

  29. This list is a little depressing when viewed at the start of the 2011 season…

    Comment by Shaggychild — March 20, 2011 @ 5:56 pm

  30. 1. No Jose Iglesias (i know this is the 2010 top 10, but still, shoulda been on here).
    2. Ryan Kalish did prove you wrong, had a pretty solid year last year.

    Comment by Jonesy514 — March 22, 2011 @ 7:15 pm

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