FanGraphs Baseball


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  1. I approve of this author.

    Comment by Jonah Keri — February 11, 2010 @ 3:05 pm

  2. Could it be as simple as a career low .269 babip?

    Nah, probably not. Nice article Joe.

    Comment by pat — February 11, 2010 @ 3:13 pm

  3. i’ve been a fan of joe ever since i first got a residual high from one of his game wrap ups at RAB. he may be a doper, but this guy’s got game.

    Comment by tafka (sic) — February 11, 2010 @ 3:38 pm

  4. 5) He overvalues himself as a DH-type, turning down 3-4 mil offers from the cubs when there are really few viable 1B/DH spots
    6) He’s worse than russell branyan at offense and defense

    Comment by David MVP Eckstein — February 11, 2010 @ 4:00 pm

  5. You forgot reason #5:

    5) He’s old

    Comment by Joe R — February 11, 2010 @ 4:12 pm

  6. Partly addressed by his career low LD% and his lack of speed.

    Normalized, CHONE projects him to have a +7.5 bat in 2010. Which is good. Also projects him to be worth 1.3 marginal wins. Which, for a full timer, is not-so-good.

    And that assumes his defense jumps to a -7. If he’s as bad as he’s been in RF, then he becomes replacement level. For a team looking for a DH, go sign Russ Branyan for much less. For a team looking for a RF, the Cubs split the difference between his CHONE-projected worth ($5.8MM) and worthlessness. That should be all he expects.

    Dye’s earned nearly $75MM in his career. He just needs to shush up and take an offer. I don’t see it getting any better than the Cubs right now.

    Comment by Joe R — February 11, 2010 @ 4:22 pm

  7. Do you know why I like Jermaine Dye? Because if any other person were out in RF on August 2, 2009, Melky doesn’t hit for the cycle.

    Comment by Tom Zig — February 11, 2010 @ 5:43 pm

  8. VERY old.

    Comment by David MVP Eckstein — February 11, 2010 @ 5:50 pm


    Comment by David MVP Eckstein — February 11, 2010 @ 5:52 pm

  10. Haha, I’ve always thought the same thing. Melk owes, J-Dye.

    Comment by iYankees — February 11, 2010 @ 5:55 pm

  11. Congrats Joe on joining up with FanGraphs. Great article.

    Comment by Bob Stone — February 11, 2010 @ 6:49 pm

  12. Well well well. Now that our Joe P. has become a big, successful writer this changes things. When he buys me that beer he owes me at a Yankee game next year, it’s not just going to be some tap Bud. Hell no. Now Mr Fancypants is going to have to buy me some obscure micro beer that nobody’s ever heard of that costs at least double or triple.

    Comment by Steve S. — February 11, 2010 @ 7:00 pm

  13. Defensively he looks ok to the eye – he takes decent routes, gets ok jumps, throws to the right base, doesn’t do anything to dumb like many bad defenders. But physically he just can’t do it, can’t cover any ground anymore. These numbers are not lying.

    Offensively, I think he has tailed off a lot late in the season the last few years. To tired to look it up but I think ’06 or ’07 he was having a big year, was sitting on 90 some RBI (I know) going into september, had opportunities and still didn’t get 100. He just seems to tire out earlier each of the last few years. That seems like an age problem to me.

    Comment by MikeS — February 11, 2010 @ 11:04 pm

  14. “Johnny Damons having trouble finding work because of one poor defensive season”. Are you joking? He`s been horrible for years! And that noodle he calls an arm has been as bad as it gets for a long long time. Some of your stat insights are great but fielding is somewhat subjective. If your stats say Johnny was an ok fielder prior to last year, it only points out those fielding stat limits….or lack of any worth.

    Comment by Travis Bickle — February 12, 2010 @ 8:47 am

  15. Congrats for joining Joe, but Yankee Fandom can never be excused. It’s like rooting for the playground bully to win. I know, you probably compare it more to something like rooting for Brooklyn Decker to win the cover, but it’s still not fair!

    Now I might forgive if you could get me a date with…

    All kidding aside, congrats for joining, looking forward to your contributions. I’m still surprised some unenlightened GM hasn’t jumped on Dye for “The Contest” but I’m just glad it wasn’t my team!

    Comment by DaveC — February 14, 2010 @ 8:21 am

  16. If it’s at Yankee stadium, it already costs double or triple.

    Comment by DaveC — February 14, 2010 @ 8:22 am

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