How likely is it now that Baltimore will finish last in the East?
Comment by Baron Samedi — April 26, 2010 @ 2:40 pm
It’s far from meaningless. The sabermetricly inclined believe that BA with RISP should correlate to BA in all situations. However, anyone with a statistical background should look at that ridiculously low number and anticipate a regression to the mean (which would mean a lot more runs).
I don’t think it’s meaningless, but I think it is only useful for a retrospective analysis. So it belongs in the conversation of “how have the Orioles been unlucky.”
Where it has no place is how announcers use it. When they flash it up during an at bat it says, “Player A has had this average with RISP so far this year,” implying that it reflects how well they are likely to do in the future.
Also, I think some of the hate against it stems from the lack of info it tells you (insert general shortcomings of BA as a stand-alone stat here)
The Orioles will NEVER get any better until they stop making off season “rebuilding” trades for players that other teams give up so readily-HINT? Especially players that are 10+ years older than a team that is truly rebuilding. The team has been rebuilding for 20 years. The pitching staff is and has been; sorry for lake of a better term- AA pitchers with a major league salary. This team is such a splintered mess. 20 games below .500, 55 games into the season. 19.5 games out of first place. This used to be a team that other teams would dread to play. Now, it’s an easy 2-3 wins and move on. Until the Orioles can come up with a game plan and follow it, they will remain cellar dwellers.