Bautista has also apparently adjusted the way he approaches an at-bat, with suggestions from Cito. Prior to ’10, he was a 100% guess hitter, where as now he says he goes up to the plate looking for specific pitches.
Bautista’s surge correlates pretty well with him becoming a full-time player. When the Blue Jays acquired him, common thought just looked at his splits and he began getting at bats vs left-handed pitching..but he then got a more concrete role and has flourished in it.
If Murphy the coach is anything like Murphy the player he probably teaches pitch recognition and trying to put a big swing on what you can hit. He wasn’t a big guy but had some pop; his weakness was that he didn’t have the bat skills to put in play the tougher pitches and generally had a low BA for an OF. If he has any responsibility to coach OF I would like to see if they play shallow with one foot in front rather than squared off to turn back on the ball better.
So…..our conclusion is “he’s doing something different, but we don’t know if he’s now good or not, just that something’s different”……great, thanks for telling us something we didn’t know!
Ha, just kidding with the snark, I understand the limits of statistics and sample size and the conclusions they give us (or in this case, don’t give us), I just think there’s a lot more analysis that could be done to look for clues. As another poster mentioned, how “real” are these HR’s? Are they monster shots he wasn’t hitting before, or has he gotten a few “barely” HR’s that are skewing his numbers? Do we have more information like Hit F/X stuff to indicate whether he’s hitting the ball well or doing what he used to do and just seeing better results? I would guess (though I do not know) that those numbers would normalize in smaller samples than overall performance, kind of like K% and BB% (inputs) don’t need as large a sample size as the final output (HR’s or wOBA or whatever else) for the same amount of confidence. Are his spray charts in general different? Can we chalk up some of this improvement as a “regular PT” type thing (as in, is there an expected improvement in performance from regular PT, pretty sure I’ve seen there is)? With all the data out there….I just think there’s a lot more analysis that can be done to look for clues NOW instead of just “keeping a close eye for the rest of the 2010 season” to see if his performance is for real or not….
Comment by Spring Has Sprung — May 18, 2010 @ 10:25 pm
isn’t he more like the new mark reynolds than the new ben zobrist? not-physically-massive guys who somehow hit for massive power, bad average… seriously, put their 2010 lines next to each other. same guy.
(that’s all assuming the bautista breakout is sustainable, obviously. i’m just talking shape of the numbers.)