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  1. will he hit for average though?

    Comment by SF 55 for life — May 17, 2010 @ 5:05 pm

  2. Incidentally, the old Ben Zobrist still has zero HR in 2010. So “new Ben Zobrist” and “fluke” aren’t *necessarily* mutually exclusive.

    Comment by Matt B — May 17, 2010 @ 5:15 pm

  3. can Ben Zobrist go back to being the “old” ben zobrist? that would be great :(

    Comment by Tom B — May 17, 2010 @ 5:28 pm

  4. sad thing is there in noroom for bautista on that team when edwin comes back, bautista will become a platoon player on tuesday with flewis in left field or EE at third

    Comment by ryan — May 17, 2010 @ 5:45 pm

  5. Love to see him do well and raise his value. If guys like him and Gonzo can keep at it the Jays might be able to get a pretty good return come the trade deadline.

    Comment by Omar Little — May 17, 2010 @ 5:46 pm

  6. 550 PA from last september, you can start to draw conclusions

    for now, God Bless the man who hit me 4 hrs last week on a FA pickup

    Comment by David MVP Eckstein — May 17, 2010 @ 6:16 pm

  7. Bautista has also apparently adjusted the way he approaches an at-bat, with suggestions from Cito. Prior to ’10, he was a 100% guess hitter, where as now he says he goes up to the plate looking for specific pitches.

    Comment by Marc Hulet — May 17, 2010 @ 6:19 pm

  8. Wasnt Bautista a big time prospect for a while?

    Comment by Aaron — May 17, 2010 @ 6:53 pm

  9. Big time prospect is probably a stretch. He was a decent prospect for the Pirates. No one knew what position he would play though.

    His name has been around forever because they lost him in the rule 5 draft in 04 (i believe) and he was passed around to 3 or 4 teams before eventually landing back with the Pirates.

    Comment by Brian — May 17, 2010 @ 7:09 pm

  10. …and you can add another bomb.

    Comment by Omar Little — May 17, 2010 @ 7:51 pm

  11. Another bomb!

    Comment by JayCee — May 17, 2010 @ 7:54 pm

  12. From March 30th:

    (my cameo on Bautista)

    Comment by JayCee — May 17, 2010 @ 8:00 pm

  13. Except Travis Snider went on the DL so there’s plenty of room. And Cito Gaston doesn’t believe in platoons. And guys who lead their teams in HR and RBI rarely get benched.

    Comment by Bill — May 17, 2010 @ 10:08 pm

  14. If our traditional sluggers were hitting an insane amount of homers, I’d be suspicious of all these mediocre power guys who have been hitting moonshots this year. Small sample size blah blah i guess.

    Comment by Franco — May 17, 2010 @ 11:05 pm

  15. He hit another one against Slowey of the Twins tonight and he crushed it. Definitely looks like a an up and coming slugger.

    Comment by banosd — May 18, 2010 @ 12:26 am

  16. Bautista’s surge correlates pretty well with him becoming a full-time player. When the Blue Jays acquired him, common thought just looked at his splits and he began getting at bats vs left-handed pitching..but he then got a more concrete role and has flourished in it.

    Comment by exxrox — May 18, 2010 @ 7:46 am

  17. My first question in whether or not this is legit: How many of those homers are of the “just barely” variety? The second: which parks?

    If the answers are “very few” and “all over”, then the odds of it being sustainable go up quite a bit.

    If it’s “a lot” and “mostly Texas and NY (or wherever the best parks for homers over that time are)”, then I’d think probably not.

    Comment by AMusingFool — May 18, 2010 @ 11:35 am

  18. If Murphy the coach is anything like Murphy the player he probably teaches pitch recognition and trying to put a big swing on what you can hit. He wasn’t a big guy but had some pop; his weakness was that he didn’t have the bat skills to put in play the tougher pitches and generally had a low BA for an OF. If he has any responsibility to coach OF I would like to see if they play shallow with one foot in front rather than squared off to turn back on the ball better.

    Comment by Gilbert — May 18, 2010 @ 11:37 am

  19. when Snider returns, E5 will ride pine unless Bautista or Lewis regress. no reason to force an average bat into the hottest lineup in the bigs.

    Comment by Jesse — May 18, 2010 @ 3:24 pm

  20. So…..our conclusion is “he’s doing something different, but we don’t know if he’s now good or not, just that something’s different”……great, thanks for telling us something we didn’t know!

    Ha, just kidding with the snark, I understand the limits of statistics and sample size and the conclusions they give us (or in this case, don’t give us), I just think there’s a lot more analysis that could be done to look for clues. As another poster mentioned, how “real” are these HR’s? Are they monster shots he wasn’t hitting before, or has he gotten a few “barely” HR’s that are skewing his numbers? Do we have more information like Hit F/X stuff to indicate whether he’s hitting the ball well or doing what he used to do and just seeing better results? I would guess (though I do not know) that those numbers would normalize in smaller samples than overall performance, kind of like K% and BB% (inputs) don’t need as large a sample size as the final output (HR’s or wOBA or whatever else) for the same amount of confidence. Are his spray charts in general different? Can we chalk up some of this improvement as a “regular PT” type thing (as in, is there an expected improvement in performance from regular PT, pretty sure I’ve seen there is)? With all the data out there….I just think there’s a lot more analysis that can be done to look for clues NOW instead of just “keeping a close eye for the rest of the 2010 season” to see if his performance is for real or not….

    Comment by B — May 18, 2010 @ 3:25 pm

  21. Bautista was John Dewan’s No. 1 player “poised for a breakout based on their Spring Training statistics.”

    But I know Spring Training stats don’t matter.

    Comment by Spring Has Sprung — May 18, 2010 @ 10:25 pm

  22. isn’t he more like the new mark reynolds than the new ben zobrist? not-physically-massive guys who somehow hit for massive power, bad average… seriously, put their 2010 lines next to each other. same guy.

    (that’s all assuming the bautista breakout is sustainable, obviously. i’m just talking shape of the numbers.)

    Comment by wily mo — May 21, 2010 @ 7:04 pm

  23. “Average” is only a means to an end. With the combination of slugging and walks (obp and ops), Bautista leads his team in both runs and RBIs.

    Think of his walks as “singles” and you’ll get a high “average” (OBP, actually)

    Comment by Tom Au — June 28, 2010 @ 8:59 am

  24. lol

    Comment by jkljk — March 15, 2011 @ 11:16 pm

  25. Well

    Comment by Blueyays — December 13, 2014 @ 10:17 pm

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