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  1. Nice piece, only three weeks too late. But a good take, nonetheless.

    Comment by god shammgod — June 16, 2010 @ 10:37 am

  2. Three weeks too late for what?

    Comment by Travis L — June 16, 2010 @ 11:40 am

  3. I’ve always been confused by the strand rate statistic. I understand that regardless of pitcher skill, we should expect a BABIP of near .300. However, doesn’t it also stand to reason that better pitchers will have higher strand rates? Good pitchers will allow fewer base runners, but because they also get outs at a higher rate than lesser pitchers, shouldn’t they strand a higher percentage of the base runners they allow? Thus, predicting a regression to the league average for good and bad pitchers may be foolish.

    Comment by Matt Walsh — June 16, 2010 @ 12:42 pm

  4. Assuming that you are asking the question of where the Wandy went that we might have expected, you probably wanted to start your headling with “Whither”. My apologies if you were asking Wandy whether he is shriveling up and drying out.

    Comment by Torjazz — June 16, 2010 @ 2:00 pm

  5. Any conclusions/predictions? I’ve been debating whether or not to buy low on Wandy for about a month, but I haven’t found any promising statistics that point to a turnaround to the 08/09 version. definitely an interesting analysis though.

    Comment by Dave K — June 16, 2010 @ 3:34 pm

  6. Nice article. after looking the Pitch FX over I had to say “wow”. The change in his pitching arsenal is drastic in terms of amount of certain pitches thrown is amazing. I just don’t understand why he would change what’s working though especially considering that his velocity has been pretty constant with his history. I hope he’s not downplaying an injury or something. If we’re going off #s though, it doesn’t seem like the real Wandy will show up until he can locate the 4 seam fastball and throw it much more often.

    Comment by YG — June 22, 2010 @ 7:04 pm

  7. I bought into the Wandwagon about the same time this article was published and got rewarded pretty mightily. In that time frame – 3 wins, 28 ip, 25k’s, 4 earned runs.

    I might get killed for this on fangraphs-but i subscribe to Matthew Barry’s theory of fantasy baseball, where each player will put up roughly the same stats for the year as his career numbers would indicate. Even if the numbers for Wandy at the end of the year show a decline by 10-15%(his career numbers progressed each time in the past 3 years, btw), that would mean that he will have a superb second half of the season.

    I traded for Aramis Ramirez two weeks ago too.

    Comment by Arthur — July 13, 2010 @ 10:48 am

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