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  1. This would have been his first ASG.

    Comment by Andy — June 18, 2010 @ 6:29 pm

  2. So Tulo is on pace for 5 WAR. He’s going to miss ~40 games, lets call that 1/4 of the season.
    – If he replaced by a replacement level player (0 WAR) would that mean 5.0 x 1/4 = 1.25 wins?
    – If the replacements might be 1 WAR,then wouldn’t the impact be (5WAR -1WAR)x 1/4…. which is about 1 win impact?

    The 2 wins comes in because the replacements are significantly below replacement level (negative WAR)? Wouldn’t they need to be near -3WAR to get a 2 win impact? [(5WAR) – (-3WAR)]/4

    Comment by frank — June 18, 2010 @ 6:49 pm

  3. I was going for the worst possible impact, hence the usage of “could.” I should have made that more clear.

    Comment by Jack Moore — June 18, 2010 @ 6:52 pm

  4. Shocking. I just took it as a foregone conclusion that he’d gone before. Thanks.

    Comment by Jack Moore — June 18, 2010 @ 6:53 pm

  5. Don’t overlook the callup of Chris Nelson, as he get more PT than Mora

    Comment by BigG — June 18, 2010 @ 6:56 pm

  6. We’re assuming that Jim Tracy actually plays him and doesn’t just waste him on the bench.

    I want to see an everyday Nelson-Barmes 2B-SS. I don’t like Barmes’ bat all that much, but he’s been clutch or something and despite UZR, his glove has kept him in the lineup.

    Comment by RockiesMagicNumber — June 18, 2010 @ 7:06 pm

  7. Seriously go get Kelly Johnson.

    Comment by RockiesMagicNumber — June 18, 2010 @ 7:06 pm

  8. Kelly Johnson had a great April. He’s hit .250/.358/.406 since May 1.

    Comment by scatterbrian — June 18, 2010 @ 7:11 pm

  9. Isn’t 1.25 the worst case with 0 WAR replacement? (are the Rockies going to plug in a negative WAR player?)

    This really impacts your conclusion that they need to find a replacement (and how skilled that replacement should be)

    If there current solutions are say 0.5 WAR, wouldn’t they need at least a 2.5 WAR replacement to likely have any meaningful impact for 1.4 of the season (and even then that is marginal at 0.5wins)

    My apologies – but this site puts so much focus on advanced stats, and then when the #’s effectively work out to 1 win, an author decides simply to double it for worst case? Is that valid…

    That worst case assumption would mean that Tulo would go on a 8-9WAR hot streak in that period… or his replacement might go on a -3WAR cold streak… are those reasonable outcomes for worst case?

    Comment by frank — June 18, 2010 @ 7:13 pm

  10. That shoul be 1/4 not 1.4.

    And thank you for the response Jack.

    Comment by frank — June 18, 2010 @ 7:14 pm

  11. What’s wrong with that?

    Comment by Not David — June 18, 2010 @ 7:32 pm

  12. He probably deserved a trip at some point, but not a huge deal.

    Should be Chris Nelson getting the bulk of the ABs (or at least I hope).

    Comment by Andy — June 18, 2010 @ 7:32 pm

  13. Given that they’re in the same division, you might as well suggest trading for Chase Utley.

    Comment by Andy — June 18, 2010 @ 7:40 pm

  14. Get me.

    Comment by Dan Uggla — June 18, 2010 @ 8:43 pm

  15. I haven’t read anything about Uggla being available, but I assume he will be if the Marlins fall a couple more games out of it.

    Comment by Franco — June 18, 2010 @ 11:13 pm

  16. Uh Barmes has a 7.3 career UZR at second and 8.9 at short. He’s a great defender.

    Comment by Andrew — June 19, 2010 @ 12:46 am

  17. Hehehhe, exactly what I was thinking. His worse part of the season thus far features a .360 OBP? Count me in.

    Comment by Joe D. — June 19, 2010 @ 1:43 am

  18. no one ever said he wasn’t a great defender. he’s not elite, like a chase utley, but he makes good plays and has quite a bit of positive uzr backing up his poor season thus far.

    i love, and will miss having barmes and tulowitzki up the middle. both are pretty big guys for middle infielders, with good arms and good range. they’re just fun to watch on defense.

    they can be frustrating at the plate though (barmes nooo)

    Comment by bluecaboose — June 19, 2010 @ 3:24 am

  19. Alberto Callaspo?

    Comment by UZR is a Joke — June 19, 2010 @ 7:14 am

  20. What’s wrong with Eric Young Jr?

    Comment by Lailaihei — June 19, 2010 @ 8:12 am

  21. He broke a bone in his leg and has had a slow return to action. He will still be out an additional few weeks.

    Comment by Andrew T. Fisher — June 19, 2010 @ 11:01 am

  22. Pass.

    Comment by Andrew T. Fisher — June 19, 2010 @ 11:01 am

  23. Maybe, maybe not. They would trade for a high pitching prospect. Someone like Esmil Rogers (a top five prospect who doesn’t fit into the rotation in the future) might be enough.

    Comment by Andrew T. Fisher — June 19, 2010 @ 11:02 am

  24. Hopefully we will see his debut today

    Comment by Andrew T. Fisher — June 19, 2010 @ 12:05 pm

  25. Tulo would have broke 6 or maybe 7 wins this year he has been killing the ball lately, Chris Nelson could very well be a long term answer at second(posting 4 different 500+ Slg seasons in the minors) if his .311/.384/.508 AAA line translates to the majors

    Comment by The Tom — June 19, 2010 @ 12:42 pm

  26. The only person who would suggest that Barmes isn’t a good defensive second baseman is someone who is uninformed.

    If the only data that you have to base your statement off of is a single defensive metric (especially without several seasons of data) then it is both lazy and inaccurate to make declarative statements about a player’s ability.

    Comment by MADness — June 19, 2010 @ 2:59 pm

  27. Am I missing something or where is Mora projected to have a .291 wOBA?

    Comment by Joseph — June 19, 2010 @ 4:29 pm

  28. The Rays have a logjam at SS/2B with Bartlett, S-Rod, Brigniac, and Zobrist while the rockies have an outfield logjam. Seems like a deal could be made here.

    Comment by Mafrth77 — June 20, 2010 @ 9:20 am

  29. I think going outside the organization with a trade is recommended. I thought this even before the Tulo injury and posted such on a Wigginton thread. The Rox need a good right handed bat with decent power playing 2b. Barmes is a valuable defensive player; he is excellent at 2b and decent at SS. Unfortunately, he doesn’t hit well enough to be an everyday player, not on a winning team without rainmakers in the core of your lineup(ie not a smallmarket payroll like Rox). IMO he is better with the glove at 2b than Uggla, Utley, Johnson and Wiggington(your #s need to be adjusted if they disagree) and he can also play a decent SS(unlike most second basemen). E Young Jr needs work to be able play much infield so he isn’t an option. I hope Nelson is ready but I think it is a tall order.

    Comment by Griggs — June 20, 2010 @ 1:32 pm

  30. “Run difference.” Please. Google define:differential and get “derived function: the result of mathematical differentiation; the instantaneous change of one quantity relative to another; df(x)/dx”.


    Comment by J. B. Rainsberger — June 20, 2010 @ 6:25 pm

  31. You’re right, of course. I remember reading something on this in one of George Carlin’s books and agreeing completely, but I slip most of the time when I’m writing about it. Fixed.


    Comment by Jack Moore — June 20, 2010 @ 8:19 pm

  32. Jack said “his defense at 2B isn’t great (career -6.0 UZR)”

    Comment by Andrew — June 20, 2010 @ 11:10 pm

  33. Since the pitching staff of the Rockies induce lots of grounders, 47.7% – 4th of the MLB, I think Chin-Lung Hu might be a better fit.

    Comment by cckiske — June 21, 2010 @ 8:19 am

  34. I agree with cckiske’s comment. Rockies would be a better place for Hu rather than Dodger’s. Hu needs more opportunity to hit, instead of staying at bench or wasting all his time at AAA.

    Comment by Joshua — June 21, 2010 @ 8:44 am

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