For the last week or so, the Angels have been pretty vague about what’s going on with Garrett Richards. He missed a start due to “fatigue” and “dehydration”, but they hadn’t given any real indicators that his arm was bothering him. Apparently it was, however, as Jeff Passan dropped this bomb this morning.
— Jeff Passan (@JeffPassan) May 6, 2016
This is a huge blow to the Angels, not only because Richards is really good, but because the Angels pitching staff without him is atrocious. Here’s what our current depth chart forecast for Anaheim’s starting rotation looks like, with Richards included.
|Garrett Richards||159.0||8.4||3.2||0.7||.298||72.7 %||3.39||3.41||2.8|
|Hector Santiago||140.0||8.1||3.5||1.1||.292||74.2 %||3.89||4.29||1.3|
|Jered Weaver||137.0||5.6||2.5||1.4||.288||70.0 %||4.54||4.84||0.5|
|Nicholas Tropeano||114.0||8.5||3.3||1.1||.303||71.6 %||4.09||4.03||1.1|
|Matt Shoemaker||84.0||7.6||2.3||1.2||.298||71.5 %||4.04||4.07||0.9|
|Andrew Heaney||62.0||7.5||2.6||1.0||.301||72.0 %||3.83||3.91||0.7|
|C.J. Wilson||40.0||7.6||3.7||0.9||.295||70.8 %||4.06||4.14||0.4|
|Tyler Skaggs||39.0||8.7||3.2||0.8||.294||73.7 %||3.42||3.60||0.6|
|Kyle Kendrick||16.0||5.3||2.3||1.2||.292||71.5 %||4.23||4.59||0.1|
Hector Santiago is a FIP-beater, so he’s better than that projected WAR makes him look, but after him, it’s a dumpster fire. And in Passan’s story, he notes that Andrew Heaney may also need Tommy John surgery, so we might be crossing his ~60 innings off that list as well, if his rehab-to-avoid-surgery plan isn’t successful. And Tyler Skaggs just went for an MRI after getting scratched from a Triple-A start last week; the current diagnosis is biceps tendonitis, but it’s an arm problem for a guy with a history of arm problems.
At some point in the not too distant future, the Angels rotation could be Santiago-Weaver-Tropeano-Shoemaker-Kendrick, which wouldn’t be good enough to contend even if supported by the offense of the 1927 Yankees. And the 2016 Angels aren’t exactly an offensive behemoth.