FanGraphs Baseball

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  1. This is a good piece for the “are splits meaningful?” discussion.

    If Hanley stops hitting so many grounders, his numbers will improve. Wouldn’t that make the split more than just randomness? He will have been genuinely better in the second half than the first half.

    Or is the argument only against using previous years splits to predict future splits?

    Comment by joeiq — July 30, 2010 @ 2:15 pm

  2. Another interesting stat would be the number, not just %, of each pitch hit.

    For example, 60% GB on curves could be for 12 curves out of 20, or 60 out of 100.

    The case could be that either pitchers are throwing him more offspeed (don’t let him hurt you with fastballs), he’s not being as patient, his pitch recognition is not as good as usual, or any combination of things.

    The increased grounballs often signifies a timing issue, where the batter is “ahead” or “in front” of everything and manifests mechanically as “rolling over” or rotating the top hand too soon. It could be something he is doing, or something pitchers are doing, most likely both.

    Jeff Baker was on an ESPN radio show recently and stated that HR is the type of guy that could just go crazy for a month and bring all his numbers up to his career average. I don’t know if that is the case or not.

    My bet is that scouting has noted something, and HR has yet to adjust.

    It would be very interesting to have a full compilation on him to see (1) pitch type, (2) location, (3) count, (4) result and see just what is going on. He’s getting ready to enter his “prime years” and the possibilities of what he could do are both impressive and possibly historic.

    Comment by CircleChange11 — July 30, 2010 @ 8:12 pm

  3. He’s also hitting .202 against lefties this year. His L/R splits for the past couple of years are as follows. Can anyone make any sense of this?

    2006: .307/.288
    2007: .399/.312
    2008: .258/.313
    2009: .316/.352
    2010: .202/.307

    Comment by Bill — August 5, 2010 @ 9:44 pm

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    Comment by Kraig Nesbitt — October 17, 2011 @ 7:20 pm

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