FanGraphs Baseball

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  1. My understanding of the intentional walk was that only the final pitch of the plate appearance needed to be intentional. There are plenty of times where pitchers try to hit the corners or induce swinging strikes out side of the zone for the first few pitches before the manager has the catcher stand up and stick his arm out. So the assumption that 5 IBB equals 20 intentional balls might not hold water.

    Comment by James — August 11, 2010 @ 9:04 am

  2. I think that’s partly accounted for assuming he would throw 10 strikes and 10 balls. One would think he would normally throw ~66% of those 20 pitches for strikes (since that’s his strike rate), so making it half should account for some of the unintentional balls that lead up to the intentional walk, if that makes any sense.

    Comment by BK — August 11, 2010 @ 9:16 am

  3. Is it me, or does this article just sort of end abruptly?

    Comment by Ty — August 11, 2010 @ 9:30 am

  4. Seems that way to me too

    Comment by Topher — August 11, 2010 @ 9:48 am

  5. I felt the same way. I actually thought at first that it got cut off somehow.

    Comment by BK — August 11, 2010 @ 11:13 am

  6. If I’m not mistaken, I believe 2 of Cliff Lee’s walks this year were intentional. Despite that he’s still sporting a 14 to 1 k:b…could be 18:1 though

    Comment by Paul — August 11, 2010 @ 11:49 am

  7. There we go — it got fixed. Those last few words that were missing actually punctuated the point of the whole article. Without it, I sort of felt like “OK — so what’re you’re trying to say is….?”

    Comment by Ty — August 11, 2010 @ 12:48 pm

  8. Has strike rate (or ball rate) been found to have any predictive value of pitching success? I did a quick and dirty study a few weeks ago and didn’t find any (linear) relationship between strike % and FIP or ERA. I don’t remember all the details as I didn’t think there was anything interesting there, but the fact that you wrote a whole article about strike % makes me wonder if I should have put more effort into my study.

    Comment by mickeyg13 — August 11, 2010 @ 8:52 pm

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