FanGraphs Baseball

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  1. It was his 2006 campaign that was so fantastic, not 2007 as you say throughout the article.

    Comment by WholeCamels — August 11, 2010 @ 10:02 am

  2. It should be noted that Howard rebuilt his swing in the off-season and it took him 2 months to get back into the groove of hitting with it. Look at his great numbers against LHP this year along with his overall numbers since 1 June. A Howard that isn’t neutered by LHP is a very dangerous hitter overall.

    Comment by NEPP — August 11, 2010 @ 10:59 am

  3. Cop out excuse if I’ve ever heard one.

    Comment by Ben — August 11, 2010 @ 11:02 am

  4. Not really but he is having a really good year against LHP (his best ever pretty much) and he changed his entire approach in the off-season (thus the lower K rate and higher contact rate).

    I’m not saying he’s solved his issues but I am saying that its far too early to judge a 5 year contract extension when we’re still a good 1.5 years from it even taking effect.

    2010 Splits:
    vs LHP: .843 OPS in 158 PA
    Since June 1st: .980 OPS in 232 PA

    One of the biggest criticisms of Howard was his inability to hit LHP and how easy it was to neuter him with a LOOGY in the later innings. He’s corrected that so far this year (and with a normal BABIP).

    Yeah, his offense is down this year but everyone’s offense is down this year. Even Pujols is nearly 120 points off his OPS from last year.

    Comment by NEPP — August 11, 2010 @ 11:18 am

  5. that really is a cop out excuse. he’s still neutered by loogys. his innings 7-9 triple slash is a cool .222/.285/.419 which are the innings loogys appear. “everyone’s offense” isn’t down, just select player’s offense is down.

    Comment by sean — August 11, 2010 @ 11:37 am

  6. I recall reading somewhere that Howard was going to try standing a little closer to the plate this year so he couldn’t get beat so easily on stuff away, though I don’t know if he actually is.

    These sample sizes are all pretty small at this point.

    Comment by don — August 11, 2010 @ 11:59 am

  7. Fixed; thanks.

    Comment by Jack Moore — August 11, 2010 @ 12:13 pm

  8. Also, I’m pretty sure Howard’s BB rate in 06 dips significantly if you take away all those IBBs. Maybe somewhere in the range of 12%, still good but I don’t think he’s ever had an amazing eye.

    Comment by Rut — August 11, 2010 @ 12:57 pm

  9. As a Phillies fan, seeing Howard make more contact has been more rewarding than seeing him hit less and for more power. We’ve missed significant portions of our lineup this year, and maybe this has something to do with his drop in homeruns, as Utley has not hit ahead of his for months, and Jayson Werth seems to be experiencing a power dip as well, though he’s not making up for it with contact. In fact, the entire Phillies lineup has been wacky this year, and it’s been Howard that has buoyed the team by getting on base.

    Personally, I don’t think another 58 HR season will happen, but Howard ALWAYS ends up in the tops of the league in HRs, no matter what their numbers are. I bet if he didn’t sustain an ankle injury this year, he’d do the same.

    The thing about Ryan Howard is not his final numbers as much as his impact on the Phillies’ team, and there is no one else who has had such a ability to drive us into the playoffs in August and September, and really that’s all that’s important.

    Comment by GoJetzoff — August 11, 2010 @ 1:51 pm

  10. Werth is having the best offensive year of his career. Highest BA, highest OBP (excluding 2007 when he was by and large platooning), and highest SLG. The rumors of his downfall have been greatly overstated amongst Phillies fans. I, for one, don’t get it.

    Comment by don — August 11, 2010 @ 2:08 pm

  11. Werth hasn’t hit with RISP recently (as in, like, 2 months), and people tend to remember those at-bats more than getting on with bases empty. On his splits page, his low leverage wOBA is a ridiculous .442 but high leverage is a poor .331.

    He’s also hitting many more doubles but many less HRs…and HRs are the counting stat that everyone knows.

    Comment by Zach — August 11, 2010 @ 8:13 pm

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