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  1. Bowden’s problem seems to be an unwillingness to sell high (or even medium) on his players. He’ll gladly pick up useful pieces, sometimes at a good price, but then create horribly blockages on his 25-man, usually in the OF.

    I mean, Dukes is the only guy among that group of OF who looks like could be a legit 5-win (or more) player. Bowden seems so afraid of injuries, or of giving away a guy who turns out to be useful, that he instead drives everyone’s value down by refusing to commit to, say, four outfielders.

    I’d imagine he’s fielding a lot of calls from other GMs, but I’d be surprised if he’s willing to deal, even if he’s getting fair value.

    Comment by Zach — February 11, 2009 @ 5:14 pm

  2. Does this mean that Manny is in the bag for the Dodgers? It seemed like atleast Dunn was waiting to see what happened to Manny before signing elsewhere (not with LAD). And what do these two signings likely mean for Manny? Does he even get the 1Y/$25mil or 2Y/$45Mil, that had been previously offered and rejected? Should be interesting…
    vr, Xei

    Comment by Xeifrank — February 11, 2009 @ 5:19 pm

  3. I miss the days when Bowden was signing Deion Sanders every six weeks.

    Comment by Aaron C. — February 11, 2009 @ 6:23 pm

  4. I know the Mets should have interest in a RHB outfielder, I’d like Milledge but I’d settle for Kearns.

    Comment by Anthony — February 11, 2009 @ 6:48 pm

  5. Someone wants Kearns? Have you seen his salary?

    Nick Johnson, if healthy, would make an outstanding Red Sox.

    Comment by Josh — February 11, 2009 @ 7:03 pm

  6. Sounds like just the guy to hire to handle the rebuilding at the Winchester Mystery House :^) http://www.winchestermysteryhouse.com/story.html

    There were stairways that led to a ceiling, a door that opened to a wall, stairs that numbered 13 steps, circular stairway with tiny steps because the owner was so short, rooms damaged by earthquakes and left alone because the owner saw ghosts, all driven by a fortune-teller’s premonition that she will have a long life if construction at her house was continuously going on, other facts on the number of items built at his home: http://www.winchestermysteryhouse.com/facts.html

    And no, I don’t work for the place, just had fun touring it when I was a kid and an adult.

    Comment by obsessivegiantscompulsive — February 11, 2009 @ 7:04 pm

  7. “Just like with Abreu, the overall value added to the roster by the player will be less than his individual win value.”

    Isn’t that statement true of just about any deal?

    Comment by rwperu34 — February 11, 2009 @ 7:18 pm

  8. Weren’t you guys on ussmariner always ragging on Bavasi for signing guys based on positional needs and not talent? If the money is reasonable, why not add Dunn to improve the organizational talent level?

    Comment by duanewardfanclub — February 11, 2009 @ 7:24 pm

  9. We’re not saying this is a bad move for the Nationals. I agree, adding Dunn for 2/20 is a good move to improve the talent level of the team.

    It’s just impossible for the Nationals to make a move that doesn’t highlight the fact that they have 18 outfielders on the roster.

    Comment by Dave Cameron — February 11, 2009 @ 7:44 pm

  10. To some extent, yes, but not to the same extent as it’s true with Abreu and Dunn.

    Comment by Dave Cameron — February 11, 2009 @ 7:46 pm

  11. Bowden needs to look to shop one of his men.
    Unfortunately, Kearns had a down year in 2008 and I’m not sure who’d trade for him, and now with the crowd on the Nats, he may not have a shot to raise his trade value.

    Comment by Joe — February 11, 2009 @ 8:06 pm

  12. Josh – Both Johnson and Kearns are 1 year salary commitments. There’s about $3 million difference. If Lowell is the big worry, then perhaps Johnson is not a bad fit. If JD Drew is a worry, then Kearns is an excellent fit. Kotsay’s injury also may play into the equation, as will Wilkerson’s spring. Don’t forget, after about June, Lars may be the LH fill in. Finally, there is the Sox’s Chris Carter as a possible 1st base depth guy.

    Comment by jon — February 11, 2009 @ 8:43 pm

  13. Not necessarily. Most teams have a player or two that’s just above replacement. If that player sits because of a hiring, then you basically get the full value of the hiring. The most straight forward way this happens is when you replace your replacement level postion player with a better player to play that position. But you could replace your replacement 2B by adding an SS and moving the former SS to 2B or something like that.

    Also, when you loose a player to FA, you get the full value of whomever replaces him.

    Comment by philosofool — February 11, 2009 @ 8:45 pm

  14. Am I alone in thinking Willingham is the odd man out if Johnson comes in at 100% health? All things being equal, which they never are, I’d rather have Johnson’s fat-arse and good OBP clogging up my bases.

    It seems like the consenus is Dunn’s going to be entrenched at 1st base, but I doubt if he plays half his games there.

    Of course, I’m basing my opinion on a healthy Johnson — but I’m not going to assume he’s injured going into the season.

    Is there anyway that Johnson could eat Patterson and become Carlos Beltran v2.0 — I guess he’d have to borrow Kearn’s arm too..

    Comment by kris — February 11, 2009 @ 11:42 pm

  15. Regardless of Bowden’s recent track record, I think he’s just stock piling for trade purposes. Dunn is now signed for 2 years @ 10m. That’s cheap and he’s available next week. All the teams that are kicking themselves in 2 months will be calling. I’m sure this is how he sold Dunn on signing anyway. Why else do it?

    Comment by ofMontreal — February 12, 2009 @ 10:20 am

  16. In all fairness to Bowden, I think we should wait until the offseason is over before giving him a grade. He still has a chance to make a favorable trade from his outfield depth. I guess Bowden’s poor track record makes it unlikely that he will be able to pull this off, but there is still a chance. What’s Wayne Krivsky doing these days?

    Comment by Bill — February 12, 2009 @ 12:13 pm

  17. Jim Bowden will probably utilize his outfield depth by switching pitchers every inning. That way he will need 8 different pinch hitters, and that covers just about everyone.

    Also, what happened to Justin Maxwell? I thought he was highly regarded by the organization, but he just seems to be getting shut out with all of these players the Nats are bringing in. He came back decently from his injury, but the .243 BABIP probably masks that a good bit.

    Comment by Jim — February 12, 2009 @ 1:48 pm

  18. Actually, glancing at his stats again, I would say he had a great stretch at the end of the season there…. .226 ISO and more walks than strikeouts. Why isn’t he getting a look?

    Comment by Jim — February 12, 2009 @ 1:51 pm

  19. He’s available next week…who cares? Everyone passed for a reason already. It’s not like Dunn chose to go to the Nats for a discount.
    My best guess is he sold Dunn on signing with a two year contract, not an implicit guarantee that he’d be traded in 2 months

    Comment by MetsFan — February 12, 2009 @ 6:12 pm

  20. Washington Reds? You mean Redskins? Dunn’s a big guy and everything, but I don’t know if he’s THAT big…

    Comment by Anthony — February 12, 2009 @ 10:02 pm

  21. Dunn is now signed for 2 years @ 10m. That’s cheap

    Adam Dunn signed for the going rate for an Adam Dunn. I wouldn’t call that “cheap.” And why would a team trade something of value for the right to pay Adam Dunn’s salary when they could have just signed him a few months beforehand?

    The whole idea of signing a free agent just to trade him doesn’t make sense. Someone has to want that player, and it’s pretty obvious that there isn’t much interest in Dunn.

    All the teams that are kicking themselves in 2 months will be calling. I’m sure this is how he sold Dunn on signing anyway. Why else do it?

    Because that’s the best offer he had?

    Comment by Teej — February 12, 2009 @ 10:31 pm

  22. Maybe the Braves will inquire to Bowden about one of their OF? WIllingham seems like a better option salary wise than Swisher, and if Bowden was smart he could use Willingham (Or Dukes to a greater degree, but also unlikely) to inject some life into a lifeless farm with some of the Braves’ flowing talent.

    Comment by John C — February 13, 2009 @ 1:25 am

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