FanGraphs Baseball

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  1. The road trip nightmares have been the Rockies’ biggest obstacle this season. The 2-9 trip immediately after the All Star Break was a huge setback. Even two additional wins on that trip would put them in the thick of the wild card race. Those ten remaining road games could be the deciding factor in whether they have a chance.

    Comment by Jeremiah — September 8, 2010 @ 11:19 am

  2. The Rox in September will be a joy to watch; see if CarGo can win the Triple Crown or lead them to the playoffs for an MVP award; Chacin and Ubaldo dealing at what seems to be the front end of their rotation when all things are considered; De La Rosa’s 2nd half excellence, and of course; the Padres’ meltdown. Hell, I’m not even a Rox fan and I’m excited!

    Comment by Nick — September 8, 2010 @ 11:23 am

  3. I like’d the article, but I’m still counting the Rockies out. They are going to spend the playoffs sitting around drinking Coors lite and watching baseball on the TV. Just like me, except I won’t have Coors lite, i’ll drink something else, maybe Pabst Blue Ribbon, or Genese Cream Ale, um

    Comment by Alec — September 8, 2010 @ 11:29 am

  4. One thing I think you’re discounting is just how terrible the Rockies are on the road, for an improbable comeback like the one they would need to mount, those 10 road games are a big deal. Not to mention that their latest Coors Field sensation Carlos Gonzales isn’t such a big fan of hitting away from Coors Field because he’s pretty pedestrian on the road (.760 OPS on the road). It could happen, but I could win the lottery too, neither are very likely though.

    Comment by Giant Torture — September 8, 2010 @ 12:06 pm

  5. I went to the Rockies-Padres game at Petco, and Gonzales is absolutely locked in right now. He was crushing everything fair or foul… After watching that, I think the home/road split is a bit anomalous, and over time there shouldn’t be quite the disparity between his home/road performance. Line drives and speed play anywhere.

    Comment by James — September 8, 2010 @ 12:26 pm

  6. I don’t know what it is about the Rockies but the last few years they have been one of the most exciting teams to watch. I’d really like to see Helton hit like his normal self again.

    Comment by Jeff Wise — September 8, 2010 @ 1:32 pm

  7. His home/road splits are interesting. At first I wrote it off as the Coors effect but then I looked at his BB/K

    Home .52
    Road .12

    Comment by adohaj — September 8, 2010 @ 3:33 pm

  8. Rockies chances of winning the NL West are 4.54% ish.
    vr, Xei

    Comment by Xeifrank — September 8, 2010 @ 4:05 pm

  9. I’m glad you didn’t round to the nearest 100 basis points or so, that .45% makes all the difference to me. Clearly can’t right them off if mr.frnk thinks the chance is 4.54%,but if you told me the chance was 4.5356789123$ then I’d probably say they are down for the count.

    Comment by JK — September 8, 2010 @ 4:33 pm

  10. A developing story in the NL West is rotating effectiveness of bullpens. The Friars are showing some chinks (I’d like to see some Pitch F/X data on Gregerson’s flattening slider), & the Rox are having variable success (Street’s looking mighty hittable at times, Morales/Buccholz out now matters). The Giants have methodically built up some incredible bullpen depth that goes three-deep both Left/Right with top-performing relievers right now. The Dodgers themselves look to affect the race big time with at least a handful of late-innings meltdowns coming out of that tattered group.

    Comment by Shin Music — September 8, 2010 @ 5:53 pm

  11. What was the odds they would win 21 of 22 to sweep in to the world series two years ago?

    Comment by Yo Comprendre — September 9, 2010 @ 1:13 am

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