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  1. He also is 19/15 in stolen bases this year. Not exactly helping his situation.

    Hopefully I can buy low on him next year in fantasy baseball

    Comment by adohaj — September 20, 2010 @ 10:49 am

  2. i think this article is pretty definitive:

    kemp is bailing out, or trying to pull everything. did he take a bad HBP in spring training? i can’t tell if he’s scared or overamped at the plate

    Comment by yefrem — September 20, 2010 @ 12:03 pm

  3. “…best way to make solid contact is by swinging at pitches that are the easiest to hit – ostensibly, those that fall inside the strike zone.”


    Step outside of the numbers, for added perspective 1st try doing a bit more qualitative research, then re-approach your data analysis with perhaps an added bit of insight to be perhaps more truly helpful.

    Otherwise, like a lot of what I read here the last 3 years appears to be from a bunch of young punks who’ve never had to face MLB pitching & are far too reliant on data that’s imperfect to base binding conclusions on.

    Real world MLB hitting is a bit less clinically rigid than BABIP, wOBA, etc.

    Comment by BleedDodgerBlue — September 20, 2010 @ 12:50 pm

  4. Blame Rihanna

    Comment by Chris Brown — September 20, 2010 @ 1:24 pm

  5. I really do blame Rihanna to some degree. I think it’s quite possible he didn’t train as hard this off season (as we saw picture after picture of him making out with Rihanna on cruise ships and tropical islands….) and that perhaps his timing and speed aren’t quite what they were in years past because of it. The best example of this might be his SB success rate. He’s still getting just as many opportunities to run, but he’s getting caught a whole heck of a lot more.

    If his speed is down a tick relative to what it’s been in the past, I wonder if some of his BABIP decrease is due to him not having the legs to beat out the infield singles as often as he has historically? Anyone know a site that lists infield singles by season?

    Comment by Derrick — September 20, 2010 @ 1:44 pm

  6. IFH% (infield hits/groundball) since ’07: 16%, 6%, 12%, 5%. Not sure what that means, if anything at all.

    Comment by Jack Moore — September 20, 2010 @ 1:55 pm

  7. Donnie Baseball? You read FanGraphs?

    Comment by FireOmar — September 20, 2010 @ 2:43 pm

  8. xBABIP?

    Comment by Xeifrank — September 20, 2010 @ 2:49 pm

  9. Excuse my ignorance, but what’s the Four Factors method?

    Comment by John — September 20, 2010 @ 3:22 pm

  10. Doesn’t look like it means anything – I was looking for a correlation between his infield hits and BABIP, but it doesn’t look like there is one.

    Comment by Derrick — September 20, 2010 @ 3:49 pm

  11. One thing I notice this year is that it seems that Kemp takes an 0-2 count way too often. He is not aggressive early in the count leading pitchers to throw early strikes and him to swing at more pitches outside the strike zone later in the AB.

    My research confirms this… He has gone to an 0-2 count on 23% of his plate appearances (144/62). I did a comparison with several other players and the average of similar type power hitters looks to be 17% or so.

    I wonder if Don Mattingly has noticed?

    Comment by Clay Henry — September 20, 2010 @ 7:57 pm

  12. FYI… he has actually gone 0-2 in 144 of his 624 PA. Sorry for the typo.

    Comment by Clay Henry — September 20, 2010 @ 7:58 pm

  13. Get back to work Ned!

    Comment by EDogg1438 — September 20, 2010 @ 9:29 pm

  14. Kemp’s swinging right through fastballs this year, it’s tough to watch. He just looks slower in every single aspect of his game. Sadly I think he just didn’t try as hard as he has in the past for whatever reason. I know this isn’t his true level of play, something is just different from 2009 till now. I’m hoping we will see a Billingsley like rebound from a just above average 2009 for to a very good 2010 season, just 2010 as below average to 2011 good (hopefully) season for Kemp.

    Almost nothing went right for the Dodgers this year, I’m hoping for miracles next year.

    Comment by Ivdown — September 21, 2010 @ 2:40 am

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