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  1. I would add also that the power (or right, as it were) to decide for yourself where you’re going to play rather than necessarily being stuck with the Marlins has some value as well. Even if he ends up at 4 and 48, just being able to choose his team and city is worth the wait as well. And if he wants to return the Marlins, he’ll likely have that ability next offseason as well.

    Comment by chuckb — November 8, 2010 @ 10:06 am

  2. He’ll be 32 by the time he starts that first FA contract. In another two years, presumably his defense will have declined further and a position change might need to be considered. At that age, is he really going to receive an offer of similar value for longer than 3 years? Will he even be able to replicate the 3 year/$38M he’d be getting for the first three FA years? Seems unlikely.

    I don’t work at the Treasury or anything, but he’d definitely have to leave Florida to find that kind of contract. Marlins made the right move here, and should be happy to let him walk and take the picks after 2011.

    Comment by JR — November 8, 2010 @ 10:40 am

  3. I would trade Uggla right now and slide Chris Coghlan back to his Minor League position. Coghlan’s bat is far more valuable at 2B than LF.

    Comment by Goose — November 8, 2010 @ 10:52 am

  4. …but Uggla’s bat is far more valuable at 2B than Coghlan’s is at 2B.

    Comment by Jason B — November 8, 2010 @ 11:42 am

  5. And its easier to get a new slugging LF than a slugging 2B. Go for value.

    Comment by AK707 — November 8, 2010 @ 11:53 am

  6. …not to mention that Coghlan’s defense at 2B would likely be superior to Uggla’s, whereas Coghlan is a below-average fielder in left.
    I agree with JR — Uggla is taking a risk that seems unlikely to pay off in dollars. He must really want to get out of Florida,

    Comment by Chris R — November 8, 2010 @ 12:21 pm

  7. “Marlins made the right move here…”

    What did the Marlins do? Fail to sign him to a deal?

    Comment by Dan Pitrowiski — November 8, 2010 @ 12:59 pm

  8. He also might just want to get out of Florida.

    Comment by marcello — November 8, 2010 @ 1:10 pm

  9. And he might just want out of Florida, also.

    Comment by Echo Chamber — November 8, 2010 @ 1:53 pm

  10. Doesn’t FL lack an income tax? If so, that makes beating the $48 million a little tougher (assuming he lands elsewhere)

    Comment by Rut — November 8, 2010 @ 2:08 pm

  11. See, at 32 I think he still inks a three year deal worth more than 12 a year, his bat will probably still justify it at least. If that’s a fair assumption and he does break ten million in sent this year he’d only need 13 per year on whatever he does get and he’s ahead of the game and he’ll have some control over were he plays.

    Comment by deadpool — November 8, 2010 @ 2:09 pm

  12. Offer him a reasonable contract, and (assuming they do not improve it) let him sign it or walk after next year. Or, trade him this winter or in-season.

    Comment by JR — November 8, 2010 @ 2:25 pm

  13. Great point.

    Comment by Jack Moore — November 8, 2010 @ 2:52 pm

  14. I’m not sure that’s a huge concern to players when gauging the worth of a contract. It’s mostly about gamesmanship and bragging rights. A higher contract in a state with income tax may be more desirable than a lower contract in Florida, even if signing in Florida would leave him with a higher net income. Show me the money.

    Comment by Nathaniel Dawson — November 8, 2010 @ 6:52 pm

  15. Baseball players get taxed where they play in general, ie when they play in Philly for a 3 day series they pay state income taxes to Pennsylvania for those three days. So the income tax thing gets overblown.

    Comment by Rob — November 8, 2010 @ 7:08 pm

  16. I think it would be good to note the risk uggla takes of getting injured next season. $48M should be compared to the probablility of getting more later, by no means 100%. A serious injury next season would hurt his value significantly.

    Comment by brendan — November 8, 2010 @ 7:26 pm

  17. I find it hard to believe that the deal was 4/48. I don’t see him turning that down, given that he will almost certainly earn less than $12m in arbitration. I can see 4/28 being turned down, however.

    Comment by Alireza — November 8, 2010 @ 8:35 pm

  18. You contradicted yourself.

    Comment by Christian — November 8, 2010 @ 8:48 pm

  19. Uggla to the Giants. Cody Ross was pushing him to not re-sign with Florida, and instead, sign with the Giants when he hits FA. I’m sure he’d like to come join his buddy Cody and the rest of the World Champs. Plus, he always rakes when he comes to AT&T.

    Comment by Mark — November 8, 2010 @ 8:55 pm

  20. are you sure that’s true? i recall that our skunks in the state legislature here in CA were trying to pass something like that maybe a year ago…

    state income tax is close to 10% here for the top brackets and prob similar in states like NY so Uggla would need to get about what 4 years at $13.2 mil per to match on a new deal? hopefully the Giants can sign him to join his buddy Cody Ross…

    Comment by SFG FTW! — November 8, 2010 @ 11:44 pm

  21. that would be a good fit. giants have no great options at 2B once sanchez plays the final yr of his contract. Also high-strikeout/few ground-ball staff would expose uggla less.

    Comment by brendan — November 9, 2010 @ 6:36 pm

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