November 10, 2010 at 11:16 pm
I see DeJesus getting flipped for Mark Reynolds. We’ll see.
Jeffrey Gross says:
November 10, 2010 at 11:28 pm
Wasnt DeJesus Beane’s sought after prize that he could not have in moneyball?
November 10, 2010 at 11:47 pm
That was Youkilis
November 10, 2010 at 11:56 pm
Youkilis, DeJesus: what’s the difference?
November 11, 2010 at 12:00 am
Kansas City is doomed; their front office is terrible. I bet that they will find a way to screw up their great prospects in the minors.
November 11, 2010 at 12:35 am
“DeJesus is no giant gain in production”
Actually, the A’s got literally *terrible* production from their corner outfield spots last year, not to mention Ryan Sweeney and Connor Jackson are made of glass.
Davis 1.2 WAR in 556 PAs
Sweeney 0.8 WAR in 331PAs
Jackson 88 OPS+ in 69 PAs
Gross -0.6 WAR in 244 PAs
The list goes on and essentially gets worse.
DeJesus is a significant upgrade.
November 11, 2010 at 12:57 am
Oakland’s going to trade him for something good in July.
November 11, 2010 at 1:06 am
8 year olds, dude
November 11, 2010 at 1:10 am
It gets worse, Oakland used 13 different outfielders last year, Coco Crisp was worth 3.3 WAR and the other twelve COMBINED for 0.1 WAR. Seriously.
DeJesus is just a huge step up for them and isn’t expensive and is playing for a contract and could reach Type A status if he continues his 2010 form. Oakland thoroughly fleeced KC (again) here, they couldn’t have gotten a better player than this for Mazzaro. They are absolutely going to keep him and Crisp but everyone else: watch out.
November 11, 2010 at 1:27 am
And they’ll fleece someone in July with the two of them. It seems like Oakland consistently tries to make marginal upgrades, yet never does enough to seriously make a championship run.
November 11, 2010 at 2:39 am
“Kansas City is doomed; their front office is terrible. I bet that they will find a way to screw up their great prospects in the minors.”
Alex Gordon and Kila Ka’aihue say hi
November 11, 2010 at 2:45 am
Yeah, good point, Omar. The A’s never do anything to seriously make championship runs. Especially when they finished either 1st or 2nd in their division nine times in the last twelve years, WITH A BOTTOM 1/3 PAYROLL, which is pretty much proof of what you’re saying.
November 11, 2010 at 5:13 am
Now that the Mets have demoted you, you have more time to come to Fangraphs and bag the A’s?
this guy says:
November 11, 2010 at 6:26 am
I really don’t think you are nearly qualified to infer that Mazzaro does not offer potential to become a much better player. He’s raw with good arm strength and size. He is what he is.
The Royals eliminated 6 mil from the payroll for a solid player coming off injury and acquired 5 years of a raw pitcher. Fleeced? Really? Did you think the Royals were getting Hanson for Dejesus? Context is readily available for even the casual fan to see. Young pitching is trading at a huge premium, and Dejesus has not been particularly good. Solid pick up for both teams.
The knob slobbing of anything Epstein or Beane does on this site is nauseating. Beane is 50-50 on his trades at best, and he is terrible at issuing big contracts. The analysis on this site has devolved to lazy rhetoric.
November 11, 2010 at 7:28 am
After Ollie Perez and Luis Castillo cost him his job, Omar is trying to learn sabermetrics by hanging out on FanGraphs.
Don’t worry, Omar – you’ll get to be a GM again soon.
Dayton Moore will get fired, and you’ll get the Royals GM job.
this guy says:
November 11, 2010 at 8:25 am
You one dimensional “sabers” need to learn something about pitching. Pitching is an art. Pitching skills/talents do not develop linearly. In addition to the artistic nature of the craft, you have the unavoidable variance in human performance in everything we do. We are random, emotional and subjective creatures, completely dependent on a highly complex biosystem that is constantly evolving.
No matter how much you try to control or project human development, you are vulnerable to far more variables than the minds on this site are capable of incorporating with even the slightest degree of accuracy. All we (Dayton Moore) can do, is gamble with extremely limited indicators.
The indicators offered by Mazzaro so far, are a tiny fraction of the drivers that will drive the outcomes he produces. Even if you pretended to invest any effort to accurately account for the basic variables to evaluate this trade (your write up doesn’t even qualify as pretending), you would still be working with a range of accuracy that would render any definitive conclusions comical, and that’s being kind.
Based on the extremely limited data that’s available, both Moore and Beane are working well within the spectrum of market value in this deal. Each are now dependent on the forces of nature. Given that those that manage these multi-million dollar franchises have accepted their limitations, perhaps you “basement GMs” can learn to do the same, because an accurate representation of the events in this game would be quite refreshing.
November 11, 2010 at 8:28 am
I liked this comment until you got mean at the end – keep your cool man.
I think you make a good counterargument, it might not be the worst deal for KC. Kinda depends on what their plan is 2010 (rebuild? Try to compete?)
November 11, 2010 at 8:51 am
I honestly don’t know what the rush was for KC here. Why wouldn’t you wait for competition from teams figuring out that they’re not getting Crawford or Werth or how much money they can spend after arbitration deals get done or that they have to trade one of their own OFers to get that pitcher?
this guy says:
November 11, 2010 at 8:52 am
It’s particularly important for a team with less resources to constantly balance long and short term goals. They got 5 years of a young arm with good velocity and size for 1 year of a slightly above average player at 6 million dollars. This is in additon to Marks, who admittedly, I don’t know anything about.
Mazzaro is a major league ready arm at the cusp of his development. At the cost of Dejesus, he’s a nice mid-term investment for a mid-term team. The Royals have a slew of prospects that are projected to be in the majors over the next 5 years. Mazzaro is under team control over this period, whereas Dejesus is not. It’s a very basic deal and consistent with what we’ve seen of the market for young pitching.
This is not to say I favor the Royals side. The As got a talented player with experience, who has one year left to earn a big pay day. They also obtain the rights to trade him and potentially obtain draft picks. It’s a such a simple trade. Each are simply shifting resources and changing time horizons given their circumstances, which is what trades are designed to do.
I’m frustrated because I have a fading hope that the internet revolution will introduce objectivity and accuracy to baseball analysis. So far, all I see is the same rhetorical story telling that was produced by pre-internet dynosaurs who believed in easter bunnies, a “winning attitude” and magical messiahs that walk on water. Stupid is contagious, and these guys have a pretty large audience.
November 11, 2010 at 9:13 am
I think it’s a good deal for Oakland, but you’re not going to get that much out of DeJesus. He is really slow now and has always been injury-prone. If his developing power on particular pitches plays up there, and is not hurt by the thumb injury, he’ll be a very useful player for them.
Don’t forget that the Royals exercised his option then traded him. They could have just let him walk. Mazzaro > Kevin Pucetas. Call it what you want, Dayton did what he needed to do.
November 11, 2010 at 9:18 am
Despite the DeJesus love expressed on these pages over the years, he just isn’t worth that much. This is not a great deal for the Royals, but they exercised his option then traded him, and got two useful pitchers for him. If either of those guys is on their 25 man roster in five years, with all the talent they have coming, it’s a huge win for the Royals. If they fill space until the big-time prospects come on, while making the league minimum, it’s still a win. DeJesus was not part of their future, and they may very well get the same production out of David Lough next year, who is a DeJesus clone.
this guy says:
November 11, 2010 at 9:27 am
My fantasy team thanks you for the intro to David Lough. I like.
November 11, 2010 at 9:31 am
Not that I disagree your commentary, but the tone was objectionable. I do think this deal is more balanced than was lead to believe.
But hey, at least you being productive while being an a-hole, which is an upgrade from the past few days…
November 11, 2010 at 9:36 am
I agree with your comment. If the players went the other way, the writers would temper their evaluations to fit the meme. It’s a trade. Money dump, mistake, fleecing, or an even trade, it’s two teams exchanging players. I’m sure that if Beane acquired these same 2 pitchers, the analysis would be all about their upside. As he deals them, it’s about how much they suck.
In a nutshell.
November 11, 2010 at 9:41 am
I don’t know what the big hubbub is about KC getting fleeced… DeJesus is a 2.5-3.5 WAR guy next year, depending on how he comes back from injury, being paid like a 1.5 WAR guy. That’s 1-2 surplus WAR. He also probably won’t qualify for Type A status with the injury, so he should be a Type B, which means they’ll get a nice, but not superb, pick.
Mazzaro is making minimum this year, then likely will be a four-year arb guy as a Super Two. Still, that alone likely means that the Royals will receive more long-term surplus value out of Mazzaro. And Marks basically compensates for next year’s Comp Round pick.
Seems like a fair deal that fits the needs of both teams, really. The A’s get a bat they sorely need for this year, and the Royals get someone they can control through the years that their big prospects are coming through the ranks. Win-win.
November 11, 2010 at 9:43 am
It was Erubial Durazo.
November 11, 2010 at 9:49 am
Agreed. But I think this is one of those classic player that people will be split on. I think your valuation is correct, half the readers on this site will think it’s absurdly low.
I’d just ask this question: DeJesus would have been a nice piece for the Yankees. Who thinks they would have given up Nova for him? If they would have done Nova straight up, the Royals absolutely did get fleeced here.
November 11, 2010 at 9:51 am
I agree. I can’t help but think that KC could’ve gotten more for a 3.5 win player than Vin Mazzaro. He’s not even worth the trade. They’d probably have been better off keeping DeJesus and taking the draft pick.
November 11, 2010 at 9:57 am
“The analysis on this site has devolved to lazy rhetoric.”
Then stop coming around and posting.
November 11, 2010 at 10:00 am
Mazzaro is a guy who, over 213 major league innings, has struck out fewer than 6 batters per 9 while walking nearly 4 batters per 9. His GB rate is 41.2%. While in the minors, only twice did he strike out even as many as 7 batters per 9 innings and that was over just 33 innings in AAA in 2008 and just 37 innings in AAA in 2010. He is just 24 but over his 213 major league innings has accumulated just 0.7 WAR. He is a 1 – 1.5 win pitcher over his next 5 years. Yes, he probably will accumulate more WAR for the Royals than DeJesus will for the A’s but at what cost? His salary will rise with arbitration and, worse, he will be taking a rotation spot from someone whose upside is unquestionably higher.
Acquiring Mazzaro for DeJesus is a waste of a valuable resource. 3-4 WAR OFs don’t grow on trees (particularly those signed for the equivalent of less than 1.5 WAR) and they should have been able to leverage that resource into something better than a just-barely-better-than replacement level pitcher. Mazzaro has little upside. The Royals should have gotten something better, even if that meant they couldn’t automatically plug him into next year’s rotation.
this guy says:
November 11, 2010 at 10:03 am
This site is my last hope for objective analysis on baseball. Hardball Times has become too artsy, MLBTR is run by 12 year olds, SB Nation sites are too stupid (altho Lookout Landing is at least funny), Baseball America is like the “Inquirer” of baseball, and Baseball Prospectus is a pay site full of content that isn’t worth paying for.
You’re right, I probably need to just give up.
November 11, 2010 at 10:05 am
But he ISN’t a 3.5 win player. He’s a 31 year old 2.5 win player coming off a major injury. And he costs $6 million.
November 11, 2010 at 10:07 am
He also holds down the fort for a year or so to give the quality arms on the farm a little more development time.
November 11, 2010 at 10:07 am
Wow this is just not true at all. Beane gets criticized routinely here for the stupid personnel moves he pulls. Go back and look at the Ben Sheets signing last year. Or any other of his weird moves. Beane hasn’t been a great gm for several years now and the analysis reflects that. And yes on this particular trade Beane won, Mazzaro is good at none of the controllable aspects of pitching.
Scout Finch says:
November 11, 2010 at 10:08 am
You could save a good amount of breath next time if you say:
a. pitchers don’t pitch in a vaccuum
b. traders don’t trade in a vaccuum
Mr Punch says:
November 11, 2010 at 10:17 am
I think there’s a tendency to over-estimate the value of players in their walk year, and at the trading deadline. Sure, there are cases where a team will over-pay to win now (and there are trade-sign situations, which are different) but these are exceptions to the general pattern. This trade is five years for one year, and that’s not just incidental.
November 11, 2010 at 10:17 am
The AL West has been filled with garbage for quite sometime. The As, as of late, have been tooling up for a division run but not really for a championship run. Look at last year’s Yankees, Phillies, Red Sox, Rays, and Reds teams…do you honestly think any of the recent As teams are as good as they were? They’re always good enough to compete in a mediocre division, but it’s not like they’ll take the extra step and go the extra mile to be a championship contender.
November 11, 2010 at 10:23 am
Since the Royals came within inches of trading DeJesus in July before he got hurt, I imagine they have a darn good idea of what they were going to be able to get for him. But hey, it’s Dayton Moore, so FanGraphs (and lots of other folks) are predisposed to automatically state that it’s unequivocally stupid without actually applying something that amounts to, you know, objectivity.
November 11, 2010 at 10:25 am
it really is a burden being so much smarter than everyone else, isn’t it??
November 11, 2010 at 10:27 am
The Yankees have 3 outfielders that are all better than DeJesus. Aside from his local roots, how is he fit?
November 11, 2010 at 10:38 am
This is a good point.
But maybe the Royals should have waited until Werth and Crawford signed to see if any of the losers in those sweepstakes would be interested in an attractive stopgap??
November 11, 2010 at 11:00 am
Also a good point. Moore has kicked off the trade season for three years running now. A little more patience is warranted.
this guy says:
November 11, 2010 at 11:03 am
Yes. Ignorance is bliss.
November 11, 2010 at 11:08 am
Does this trade lead to Greinke or Soria being moved? Why else would the Royals add pitching? They need a catcher, middle infielder, and now another outfielder. If they can move ZG and Soria and fill those spots with quality prospects this team becomes a favorite in the central for 2012-2015.
this guy says:
November 11, 2010 at 11:09 am
You are way overestimating the constituency.
November 11, 2010 at 11:10 am
P.S. I assume Wil Myers will end up playing corner outfield.
November 11, 2010 at 11:10 am
I’d say Greinke, for sure. It’s pretty clear that DM is punting 2011 and 2012…and Greinke is gone after that.
November 11, 2010 at 11:36 am
Steve: That’s exactly the point. He’s a fourth OFer on a championship team in their position where they can move a few guys through DH. Gives more versatility than Marcus Thames. That’s why they just got Vin Mazzaro for him, and why the Yanks would just go sign any number of similar guys instead of trading a good young pitcher like Nova for him.
November 11, 2010 at 11:37 am
The comment about building a team to contend for a championship and not a division is ignorant and absurd. You get to the Playoffs and from there it’s a series of crapshoots. The Giants JUST won it all and they barely made the Playoffs. Time and time again we’ve seen teams “made to win in the Playoffs” lose in the first round.
November 11, 2010 at 11:39 am
Not agreed at all on waiting. Bird in the hand. He got what the player is worth and what he needs. End of story.
November 11, 2010 at 11:41 am
I’m surprised by this deal, actually. I always liked Mazzaro and I’m surprised that the A’s gave up on him so quickly to get Dejesus, who has no power at all, basically.
I know the A’s think slugging is overpriced now, or whatever, but can’t they at least trade for 1 PLAYER who slugs over .400? I mean, it’s getting ridiculous.
November 11, 2010 at 11:48 am
How does this trade have anything to do with the other two? Grienke and Soria are star players on any team, DeJesus netted a couple useful guys after they picked up his option instead of letting him walk. In the context of their team, there is no difference between him and Mitch Maier.
They are not going to be offered what they think Grienke and Soria are worth, so there’s no reason to trade them. I predict that as he has been working on his no-trade list it has occurred to Zack that being in KC for two more years might not be so bad. Soria likes it there. They have no salary concerns. They will need to be absolutely blown away to deal either one, because with all that talent coming, they will be favorites to win the division beginning in 2013 without dealing either guy.
I can’t wait for the whining from the East Coast about how the Royals over-value both players and should just give them away to one of those teams.
November 11, 2010 at 11:51 am
agree. I thought mazarro still has potential (very good recent numbers at AAA, good FB velocity). and many years of control vs. 1 yr of dejesus. I don’t hate the deal, but I am surprised by it.
this guy says:
November 11, 2010 at 11:53 am
Agreed. He saw 5 years in a pitcher with specs he likes and another young arm and made it happen. He knows Beane is working the wire and didn’t want to miss out on a player they like.
I think Mazzaro has potential be a #2, and will become at least a #4. You could explain his underdevelopment by the fact that he’s from Jersey, where he isn’t able to pitch year round. He’s got good pitching tools.
November 11, 2010 at 12:06 pm
I heard that Dejesus guy they just traded for has a .427 slugging %
November 11, 2010 at 12:11 pm
Royals released Brian Bannister yesterday. Gil Meche’s shoulder is spaghetti, so can’t start any more and is now a bullpen guy. Young guys in the minors not really ready yet, so starting pitching is needed.
Plus you can never have too much pitching anyway.
Seriously doubt that Greinke is traded this offseason. The Royals haven’t said anything about it that is anything different from what they said last year: “We’ll listen to offers on all our players.” It’s gotten overblown due to an interview with Greinke where he said he doesn’t think the Royals will be a winning team before his contract is up. Suddenly it’s become “Royals are shopping Greinke” and “Greinke has demanded a trade.” Neither of these statements is true.
November 11, 2010 at 12:13 pm
I think you are confusing Youkilis with Pedroia’s brother.
November 11, 2010 at 12:18 pm
Don’t get me wrong, DeJesus would obviously be incredible to have in that role. I just think he is a huge luxury that probably doesn’t make sense for the Yankees. He’d cost $6M and their assumed 6th starter (who will probably get a fair amount of innings this year).
Sure, would love to have him, but it probably makes more sense for the Yankees to just pick up a cheaper (and admittedly inferior) bench player from the FA market, or make a less ambitious trade. All of their OFers are young, healthy, and relatively cheap, they have bigger needs that probably would take priority competing for what is left of their (gigantic, but mostly accounted for) budget dollars.
November 11, 2010 at 12:20 pm
He won’t in Oakland….
November 11, 2010 at 12:28 pm
Why not? Kauffman stadium is all that much kinder to batted balls than Oakland.
November 11, 2010 at 12:59 pm
“with all that talent coming, they will be favorites to win the division beginning in 2013 without dealing either guy.”
Greinke’s contract is up in 2012. We’re not competing in 2012 and we’re not paying him anywhere near fair market in 2013 as a free agent or extension. Therefore the pruduent, if devastating, thing to do is to trade him.
November 11, 2010 at 1:00 pm
The first of those statements is true, actually.
November 11, 2010 at 1:12 pm
Omar, could you enlighten us on how one prepares for a “championship” run when the playoffs are a statistical crap shoot?
Jason F says:
November 11, 2010 at 1:15 pm
Start your own site then. It really isn’t that difficult. People who bitch about things and do absolutely nothing to change the thing they are railing against are no better than the subject of their rants. You are a part of the (perceived) problem until you do something about it.
November 11, 2010 at 1:17 pm
Your comments would be more compelling if you actually justified your thesis that Mazzaro offers the potential to become a better player. Thus far, all I see is empty rhetoric about the failings of Fangraphs and how pitching is an “art.”
November 11, 2010 at 1:19 pm
Funny, I’ve always liked DeJesus. I really wanted the Giants to make a trade for him last year before he went down with the thumb injury.
November 11, 2010 at 1:20 pm
See also; 2010 San Fransisco Giants, who were a dramatically underwhelming team in most respects.
November 11, 2010 at 1:22 pm
Ever think about starting your own blog? If you feel the market is missing something specific, then there should be an opportunity for you to fill that gap.
November 11, 2010 at 1:22 pm
Steve: He’ll still put up a better wOBA than any other OF in the A’s organization is projected to be in 2011.
(not factoring in Jack Cust, but he’s the DH, not an OF).
November 11, 2010 at 1:38 pm
BX, agreed. Please excuse my pithy remark, I was being a bit of a smartass.
November 11, 2010 at 1:43 pm
The 2010 Reds looked like a championship team? News to me. More like, “the NL Central was utter garbage and the Reds rose to the top of it”
November 11, 2010 at 1:50 pm
Finding a balance on these boards is almost impossible as we’re in church. That said, I agree with you totally. Mazzaro is a better pitcher than the numbers here imply and I expect him to be KC’s 4th starter.
Also, DeJesus is rehabbing again. And his upcoming performance is far from predictable except that he will probably get hurt. I think Johnny Damon’s season in oaktown is a good example of what happens to decent hitters there. I put this in the Ben Sheets category of Beane move.
Brant K says:
November 11, 2010 at 1:51 pm
I am not surprised they shipped him because of the talent in their rotation currently, plus Outman coming off Tommy John for next year and the Japanese starter they’re after to go along with Anderson, Cahill, Gonzalez, (i think braden is a poor man’s Buehrle, but that just means that you can’t locate as well and get hit very hard when not locating properly and should be traded for anything this year) Mazz’s 93ish fastball has good movement and he really needed to spend these last two season in the minors learning control and 2nd and 3rd pitches which he has but they aren’t very good.
this guy says:
November 11, 2010 at 2:00 pm
I’ve thought about it, but I’m too lazy. I bitch here because I want to motivate them to fill the gap. Some of them are pretty good writers. Problem is they are doing the minimum to meet demand, rather than trying to take over the space.
this guy says:
November 11, 2010 at 2:04 pm
I’ll half agree with you on this. There is a little value in bitching, which is the potential for the authors to get more out of their talents and present us with a better product. They are clearly intelligent enough to do that.
November 11, 2010 at 2:27 pm
Blue – I agree that the prudent thing to do would be to trade him IF 1) they really need to re-stock a depleted farm system; 2) they could get anything close to fair value for him; and 3) they needed to clear salary space. None of those things is true. Plus, Grienke likes it there, even though he is tired of losing. He’s not looking to go anywhere he can get the biggest payday. You simply will not see a Johan Santana to the Mets deal here.
If you can’t get at least one prospect who is higher rated than the prospects they already have, what’s the point? Since they have 2 of the top 5 lefty prospects in MiLB and 3 of the top 5 bas, that’s going to be hard for some team that is not a large market to pull off. So what we’re looking at here is Teheren to start. If you’re the Angels, Trout is not off limits or just hang up the phone.
November 11, 2010 at 2:49 pm
is reynolds really better than kouz? I’m not convinced.
November 11, 2010 at 2:57 pm
@paul – prospects regularly fail, so there is value in quantitiy. maybe KC has great prospects all around the diamond, but some will bust. makes sense to to ZG into a few guys with upside down the road.
November 11, 2010 at 3:48 pm
Well you can start with having a few elite players. Anyone like: Alex Rodriguez, Cliff Lee, CC Sabathia, Jon Lester, David Price, Evan Longoria, Roy Halladay, Tim Lincecum, Matt Cain, Josh Hamilton, Albert Pujols, Joey Votto, Adam Wainwright, etc. The As merely assemble a roster loaded with rock solid players, and quite a few pieces of shit.
November 11, 2010 at 3:49 pm
NBarnes: The Giants had Tim Lincecum, who is better than anyone on the As staff and Buster Posey, who is better than anyone who plays for the Oakland As. That’s more top end talent than the As have had in years.
November 11, 2010 at 4:31 pm
Makes sense. At least it puts your criticisms in perspective. And yeah, I hear you – hard work is tough.
Toffer Peak says:
November 11, 2010 at 4:38 pm
Omar – “The AL West has been filled with garbage for quite sometime. ”
Yeah the AL WEST is so terrible that they’ve only been the top division for 9 of the last 12 years – 2000, 01, 02, 03, 04, 05, 06, 07, 09.
If you’re going to trash talk at least get your facts right.
November 11, 2010 at 4:40 pm
And DeJesus fills a much bigger hole organizationally for the A’s than Reynolds would.
Toffer Peak says:
November 11, 2010 at 4:48 pm
Not as big as you might think, especially from the frame point of 8 years ago: http://www.fangraphs.com/graphsw.aspx?playerid2=1825&playerid3=1935&playerid4=&playerid5=
Or were you just referring to their names sounding similarish?
Matthew Carruth says:
November 11, 2010 at 4:54 pm
What in the world makes some of you so angry at things that you have to automatically assume the worst about everyone else? What makes those of you believe that all FanGraphs authors are pushing some sort of agenda? What would even be the point? What would we have to gain?
I don’t dislike the trade for KC because they’re KC. I dislike it because I looked at Vin Mazzaro and concluded that he’s rather mediocre with little to no room for improvement and that David DeJesus is much better than him.
That’s it. Why is that hard to believe?
November 11, 2010 at 5:37 pm
As a Royals fan, I really wish someone would tell me that there’s something to look forward to in either of these pitchers. You can make a very good case that David Dejesus was the best player on the Royals team for the last several years. I think you can make a case that as a center fielder (which he plays average) that he’d be a 4 WAR guy. 4 WAR guys don’t show up everyday. And Dejesus has been incredibly consistent over his career. It’s hard to get excited about losing your best position player for the last 5 years for a number 4 starter. I guess if Bill James’ predictions are right, though, maybe it’ll all work out. Bill expects David’s SLG to drop… And Mazarro’s k rate to rise…
I’d be lots happier if someone would tell me that Mazarro is better than Sean O’Sullivan. It’d be sad if we got a better haul for Callaspo than we did for Dejesus. And I felt like we lost in the Callaspo deal. (Although both O’Sullivan and Callaspo struggled after the trade).
And for those Yankees fans that say that Dejesus would just be their 4th outfielder… Let him DH then. Dejesus outproduced the Yankees designated hitters this year. (wOBA of .363 compared to .354). As for the Yankees outfield… .348; David is a starter for any team in the league.
As for the post about David Lough being able to step up to the production of Dejesus… I doubt that’s happening. The Royals don’t have any current minor league outfielders who project to be better than Dejesus.
If the Royals want to contend in the future, they should have extended Dejesus. Winning teams keep good players, and also aquire other teams good players. The Royals need not only to acquire more talent through the draft, but they need to keep the talent they have. In 2013, Dejesus would still be under 35 and likely still the best option at any outfield position they’ll have. They should have tried to sign him for 5 years and 8 million dollars/per. And they should have let the press know if he refused to sign for that. Not keeping Dejesus means losing more games in the future. Sure, we might get a 2 win outfielder to replace him, but that’s still 0.5-1.5 wins that we won’t have in 2013-2015 when we should be trying to win.
It’s a shame the Royals didn’t trade him to the Yankees or Tampa Bay. Then I would have reason to root for another team…. Even better. They should have packaged up Greinke, Soria, and Dejesus so I would have perfect reason to root for the new team. St Louis would be a good destination for all three. But Oakland….
November 11, 2010 at 5:48 pm
I’ve compared Vin’s stats to some other pitchers…. Surely there had to be better offers…
November 11, 2010 at 5:58 pm
Omar, isn’t that a little like assembling a line-up of the world’s best dice throwers for an actual game of craps?
November 11, 2010 at 7:19 pm
It is called a rebuild, Omar. The A’s did have championship caliber teams back in the early 2000′s. They’re on their way to having those type of teams again with a great farm system and cheap, young core.
November 11, 2010 at 7:47 pm
Brendan – You absolutely do not trade a top 10 at their position MLB player for depth unless there is a gun to your head. If a big market East Coast team did that, they’d get roasted. My point is it’s expected of small market teams. I hope Dayton holds out through all the crappy offers he will receive and I will defend him as the big market media slams him.
They have added depth to their system by paying record bonuses to third round picks, re-asserting themselves internationally, etc. The Grienke situation is one of the rare ones where they legitimately have all the leverage.
November 11, 2010 at 7:55 pm
They signed/traded Matt Holliday, Ben Sheets in the last 2 years.
The reality for Oakland is that they must sign “high risk” players that they need to pan out in order to combine with their existing talent to make a run at a division title.
When/If the players/team doesn’t go as they thought, they can trade those pieces for prospects.
What they DON’T do is going sign a bunch of over-priced veteran free agents. Very few teams can (or should) do that.
If Oakland does NOT have a shot at the division, DeJesus will be a decent trade piece near the deadline. He was (seemingly) THE answer for every non-major market team this past year, until he got hurt.
What the A’s get is good bang for their buck with DeJesus. They are a pitching heavy, defensive team. DeJesus is a guy that came at a bargain, that is productive at the plate and in the field … and he doesn’t cost them 15M/y.
Also, teams no longer willing deal their top prospects to the A’s for guys that are due a BIG contract (Tejada, Giambi, Mulder, Zito, etc) or for ready-amde-closers (Street, Koch, etc).
You can’t fleece the same sheep over and over.
November 12, 2010 at 3:39 am
This is definitely necessary, every year the A’s start the year with 4-5 potential starting outfielders and at least 2 will end up on the 60 day DL. Even though they have a good supply of corner outfielders, DeJesus will fit in great with an outfield of centerfielders in Crisp and Sweeney.
Eric R says:
November 12, 2010 at 2:00 pm
“I’ve thought about it, but I’m too lazy.”
Maybe you could start simply. Most of these sites, I’m sure, would be happy to have you submit one or two articles a week. Then everybody wins.
Hell on a site like beyondtheboxscore, you can make your posts on a whim as a fanpost or fanshot, and if it is any good, they’ll just promote it to the main blog [not sure how frequently they actually do that-- they did it for one of mine :)]– that way you don’t even have to feel committed to a couple thousand words a week.
November 15, 2010 at 3:53 am
I don’t think that there is any shortage of players in Oakland. There are a number of players who can replace any one in the team.
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November 15, 2011 at 10:09 pm
This thread is pretty funny
the brilliant Beane paid more for DeJesus (who stunk) than the idiot Moore paid for Melky (pretty good year) and Frenchy (pretty good year) combined
Plus the idiot moore was able to trade melky for a #3 starter, still has frenchy, while the brilliant Beane has no major league OFers (or DHs) on his roster
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