Lists are fun, but this series is mostly pointless. Jose Bautista had a 55% FB rate, is a dead pull hitter, can run a little bit, and strikes out and walks a lot. You would think he’d be in here as a Gomes/Pena type, or maybe even the perfect anti-DP skill set. He hit into 10 DPs this season.
However, the extremes do matter. Butler continues to be essentially interchangeable with a dozen or so less hyped 1Bmen, due in part to the DPs, which are really a symptom of a much bigger problem alluded to in the other article: he’s big and fat and should stop hitting the ball on the ground so much.
This stat is also symptomatic of another aspect of Crawford’s value, which is not just that he outruns double plays, but he outruns ground balls in general. The man had 29 infield and bunt hits this season. Weary GMs will note that unless he goes to a park where he can become more of a power hitter as he ages, the avg. is going to take a huge hit if he can’t maintain the speed like the freakish Mike Cameron has.
Do you want to comment on the differences you get with rounding or not rounding DPs here? (Comparing my list in the previous thread on worst at staying out of DPs).
I do think that my (original) use of DP% X OPP = actual DPs was an error… but I am not sure that you should round off the AVERAGE DPs.
For example, Granderson “should have” hit into 15.51 DPs and Crawford “should have” hit into 14.41. So that would make Granderson 0.1 DP = 0.035 runs better (since he hit into 1 more real DP than Carl)