This seems like a steal to me. RP WAR is worth more than other WAR, so he really just needs one season like 2010 and he’ll already have earned his whole contract.
Comment by BillWallace — December 7, 2010 @ 5:37 pm
RP WAR is worth more than other WAR? How do you figure? A win is a win, that is one of the fundamental precepts here at Fangraphs.
I remember some people trying to make the case here last year that relievers are under valued due to leverage, but it wasn’t very convincing. Fangraphs does give relievers in high leverage situations a boost, but it’s not as big as you might think due to the concept of chaining. This means that you are not comparing the reliever to a replacement level player, but to the next best reliever in the bullpen.
Comment by Cheese Whiz — December 7, 2010 @ 9:19 pm
Not convincing to you maybe, but I’m convinced. RPs are really the only players that can be leveraged much, but closers are leveraged quite a lot. If you look at the numbers and don’t consider chaining it’s quite a lot, I forget the figures, but maybe 2-2.5x. Chaining reduces it quite a bit, but it’s still an important effect.
If I have a bullpen who’s best guy is 1.2 WAR over 65 IP and you give me a guy who can give 2.0 WAR over 65 IP, it’s trivial to leverage him to add more than 2.0 wpa to the overall bullpen’s contribution to the team.
Comment by BillWallace — December 7, 2010 @ 10:34 pm
Peter Schmuck of the Baltimore Sun said that it never occurred to him to tell people that his name was pronounced “Shmook,” a la Putz’s pronunciation as “Puts”.
Comment by JJ Schlong — December 8, 2010 @ 10:58 am