FanGraphs Baseball

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  1. Projecting Ichiro didn’t seem too difficult. Most of his numbers average right in the ranges available. And, well, he’s basically a lock to be the exact same player for the next 53 years, right?

    Comment by Carson — December 13, 2010 @ 1:38 pm

  2. Probably not since he will be an awesome closer after 45 years old.

    Comment by MX — December 13, 2010 @ 1:41 pm

  3. I really want to see Ichiro play baseball at the age of 90.

    Comment by Matt — December 13, 2010 @ 1:42 pm

  4. I thought he was going to be a 50 homer guy / 125 RBI guy?

    What the heck, I can’t keep track of all my bizarre, unfounded discussions of Ichiro’s talents.

    Comment by Joe R — December 13, 2010 @ 2:15 pm

  5. I thought he was going to be a 50 homer guy / 125 RBI guy?

    He could be if he wanted to, just like Ty Cobb and Wade Boggs. The only reason why they don’t hit 50 HRs a season is because they choose not to.

    How many times has something like that been said?

    Comment by CircleChange11 — December 13, 2010 @ 2:18 pm

  6. I think this article might actually say less than nothing.

    Comment by Oscar — December 13, 2010 @ 2:22 pm

  7. What about when Bourjos gets 4 WAR this year just from defensive value?

    Comment by Stringer Bell — December 13, 2010 @ 2:47 pm

  8. Did anyone else think this was going to be about Kung Fu Panda

    Comment by Ingeindahouse — December 13, 2010 @ 3:56 pm

  9. I think thats more likely then him learning any english

    Comment by Formerly Jayson Werth's Beard — December 13, 2010 @ 6:33 pm

  10. What is the variance of UZR?
    What is the variance of OBP? SLG? OPS? wOBA?
    What is the variance of ERA/RA/FIP ??

    Comment by zenbitz — December 13, 2010 @ 7:05 pm

  11. Sandoval’s fielding was indeed more valuable than his “hitting” in 2010: 0.3 WAR to -3.5 WAR. He just didn’t clear 4.0 WAR.

    Comment by Nick Valvo — December 14, 2010 @ 4:08 am

  12. The crazy thing is, that is absolutely possible.

    Comment by AA — December 14, 2010 @ 4:48 am

  13. I don’t think this is too hard. Just by taking a holistic approach I think you can determine where a lot of these guys will fall.

    For example, every metric has agreed for years that guys like Crawford, Torres and Ichiro are excellent defenders. Except for a little age regression thrown in it seems doubtful that they will fall off much.

    Guys like Pagan and Bruce are still young and have been consistently trending upwards so I’d say it looks better for them.

    On the other hand, guys like Chase Headley and Marlon Byrd have historically been right around average with the glove. Their seasons look like outliers, the different metrics don’t really agree on them, and the FANS don’t think they’re awesome either. Much less likely they repeat.

    Comment by The Nicker — December 14, 2010 @ 5:49 am

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