Maybe I misread the 3rd paragraph but are you saying his BABIP should improve because more of his flyballs may go for HR’s? While true, is that a good thing?
Also a .243 BABIP is well below normal for a pitcher… I’m not sure if we should expect a regression to ~.200 unless he is a ROOGY type pitcher (and even then is that a sustainable BABIP level?) And with 3 righties presumably ahead of him (Papelbon, Jenks, Bard), it would seem the need for a righty specialist is limited.
I think he meant that his BABIP against batters would be lower than other pitchers who induce more groundballs, based on the fact that the batting average on balls put in play in the air is lower than any other type of batted ball. I understand how you could misunderstand the statement, but think if you re-read it with this in mind, it’ll make more sense.
Comment by Josh Shepardson — December 21, 2010 @ 2:34 pm
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