What’s also interesting to note is Chipper Jones’ listed position when this list was produced in ’93, SS. Many people forget that after this write up was done that Chipper tore his ACL during Spring Training of ’94. After missing the entire strike shortened season, he never regularly returned to SS again. He has only ended up playing 49 games over 5 different seasons at SS. It’s scary to think what his WAR totals might be if he played at least a couple of years at SS before moving over to the hot corner.
A sobering list worth taking into consideration as we get excited about our teams’ up-and-coming sluggers. James worked for years on predicting player performance (and probably still does, only he now only shares his findings with Theo Epstein) in the majors, from minors to majors and in the draft. Are there players who did not make the top 50 but who succeeded in the majors?
A – Chuck Carr, Mike Piazza, Kevin Stocker, Greg McMichael
K – Mike Piazza (2), Tim Salmon, Jason Bere, David Hulse
Q – Troy Neel, Armando Reynoso, Mike Lansing, Jeff Conine
J – Rich Amaral, Troy Neel (2), Al Martin, Pedro
10 – Carlos Garcia, David Hulse (2), Rene Arocha, J.T. Snow
9 – Brent Gates, Kirk Rueter, Jeromy Burnitz, Lou Frazier
8 – Rich Amaral (2), Bret Boone, Wayne Kirby, Aaron Sele
7 – Steve Cooke, Jeff Conine (2), Al Martin (2), Mike Lansing (2)
6 – Wil Cordero, Tim Salmon (2), Angel Miranda, Carlos Garcia (2)
5 – Al Martin (3), Craig Paquette, Tim Pugh, Carlos Garcia (3)
4 – Phil Hiatt, Ryan Thompson, Erik Pappas, Trevor Hoffman
3 – Steve Reed, Carlos Garcia (4), Wil Cordero (2), Joe Kmak
2 – Jeff McNeely, Paul Quantrill, Vinny Castilla, Alex Arias
Joker (ROY) – Piazza (3) and Salmon (3)
I have no idea how Carlos Garcia ended up with more cards than anyone.
What’s truly remarkable is how well James scouted players for the likelihood of joining the coming PED revolution. No one rose from C prospect to HoF through the miracle of modern pharmacy? Stop messing with my mirage!
Comment by Cuban X Senators — January 12, 2011 @ 9:27 am
Oh, the breeding insult; how creative. Besides the absurd notion that actually knowing more — like the definition of a word — would imply reduced odds of breeding, using two posts on a website to conclude “almost definitely nil” would flunk you from the most elementary of statistics classes. Now, if you’ll excuse me, I have to go continue breeding such that my genes sufficiently drown yours from the overall population.