FanGraphs Baseball


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  1. That was pretty great. Anything with a Chuck Carr reference. Anything with a Chuck Carr reference.

    Comment by John — January 10, 2011 @ 5:07 pm

  2. I had forgotten that John Jaha was fast — 10 SB against 0 CS in his first season (152 PA).

    Sadly, Braulio Castillo was not able to live up to the considerable pressure that accompanied being labeled the “Poor man’s Glenallen Hill”.

    Comment by 3rdPeriodPoints — January 10, 2011 @ 5:24 pm

  3. Interesting article, but next time use ‘probably’ instead of ‘almost definitely’.

    Comment by Marver — January 10, 2011 @ 5:29 pm

  4. Pretty impressive, even for Bill James. What’s the best minor league grading publication out there today?

    Comment by mother — January 10, 2011 @ 5:54 pm

  5. Thanks for the work.

    Comment by eric — January 10, 2011 @ 7:43 pm

  6. Also, I was curious do you still post weekly at USS Mariner?

    Comment by eric — January 10, 2011 @ 9:46 pm

  7. It’s Jimmy Two-Times!

    “I’ll get the papers, get the papers.”

    Comment by Jason B — January 10, 2011 @ 10:42 pm

  8. Really? Jesus damn.

    Comment by And I thought *I* was picky — January 10, 2011 @ 10:42 pm

  9. “Almost definitely” is almost definitely closer to “definitely” than “probably” is.

    “Probably” just means “very likely.”
    “Almost definitely” means “very, very, very likely.”

    There is almost definitely a difference, and so I can only hope that you were joking as much as I am.

    If, on the other hand, you were indeed serious in your criticism, than I certainly hope that you definitely do not breed.

    Comment by Joe D. — January 10, 2011 @ 11:20 pm

  10. What’s also interesting to note is Chipper Jones’ listed position when this list was produced in ’93, SS. Many people forget that after this write up was done that Chipper tore his ACL during Spring Training of ’94. After missing the entire strike shortened season, he never regularly returned to SS again. He has only ended up playing 49 games over 5 different seasons at SS. It’s scary to think what his WAR totals might be if he played at least a couple of years at SS before moving over to the hot corner.

    Comment by jj3bagger — January 11, 2011 @ 5:36 am

  11. Total number of Cubs (2) total WAR -1.9……….sort of sums it up.

    Comment by Joel — January 11, 2011 @ 8:03 am

  12. A sobering list worth taking into consideration as we get excited about our teams’ up-and-coming sluggers. James worked for years on predicting player performance (and probably still does, only he now only shares his findings with Theo Epstein) in the majors, from minors to majors and in the draft. Are there players who did not make the top 50 but who succeeded in the majors?

    Comment by DonM — January 11, 2011 @ 9:46 am

  13. Chuck Carr is the ace of diamonds in a deck of 1993 MLB rookie playing cards that I have.

    Comment by Brian — January 11, 2011 @ 1:53 pm

  14. “Probably: (adverb) Almost certainly; as far as one knows or can tell.”

    Probably is ‘almost definitely’ the exact word he should have used.

    Comment by Marver — January 11, 2011 @ 8:05 pm

  15. Sweet merciful god. If he’s an ace, I don’t wanna know who’s a six.

    (Seriously though, I love products like that; great way to look back and see who was thought of as a can’t miss prospect; at least by some guy in charge of player distribution through the deck.)

    Comment by Jason B — January 11, 2011 @ 9:46 pm

  16. Luckily, the odds of him reproducing (given all available evidence) is almost definitely nil.

    Comment by Jason B — January 11, 2011 @ 9:47 pm

  17. I thought Carson was being SILLY with his choice of words. I found “Almost definitely” to be superfluous and amusing.

    Correct? No, I guess not. Probably or “almost certainly” would be better. But it was funny!

    Comment by Patrick — January 11, 2011 @ 10:10 pm

  18. I love how the “note” for Raul Mondesi is “…he’s thin.” What happened there? Filled out quite well I’d say. Too well?

    Comment by Travis Reitsma — January 11, 2011 @ 10:37 pm

  19. A – Chuck Carr, Mike Piazza, Kevin Stocker, Greg McMichael
    K – Mike Piazza (2), Tim Salmon, Jason Bere, David Hulse
    Q – Troy Neel, Armando Reynoso, Mike Lansing, Jeff Conine
    J – Rich Amaral, Troy Neel (2), Al Martin, Pedro
    10 – Carlos Garcia, David Hulse (2), Rene Arocha, J.T. Snow
    9 – Brent Gates, Kirk Rueter, Jeromy Burnitz, Lou Frazier
    8 – Rich Amaral (2), Bret Boone, Wayne Kirby, Aaron Sele
    7 – Steve Cooke, Jeff Conine (2), Al Martin (2), Mike Lansing (2)
    6 – Wil Cordero, Tim Salmon (2), Angel Miranda, Carlos Garcia (2)
    5 – Al Martin (3), Craig Paquette, Tim Pugh, Carlos Garcia (3)
    4 – Phil Hiatt, Ryan Thompson, Erik Pappas, Trevor Hoffman
    3 – Steve Reed, Carlos Garcia (4), Wil Cordero (2), Joe Kmak
    2 – Jeff McNeely, Paul Quantrill, Vinny Castilla, Alex Arias
    Joker (ROY) – Piazza (3) and Salmon (3)

    I have no idea how Carlos Garcia ended up with more cards than anyone.

    Comment by Brian — January 12, 2011 @ 12:33 am

  20. What’s truly remarkable is how well James scouted players for the likelihood of joining the coming PED revolution. No one rose from C prospect to HoF through the miracle of modern pharmacy? Stop messing with my mirage!

    Comment by Cuban X Senators — January 12, 2011 @ 9:27 am

  21. Oh, the breeding insult; how creative. Besides the absurd notion that actually knowing more — like the definition of a word — would imply reduced odds of breeding, using two posts on a website to conclude “almost definitely nil” would flunk you from the most elementary of statistics classes. Now, if you’ll excuse me, I have to go continue breeding such that my genes sufficiently drown yours from the overall population.

    Comment by Marver — January 12, 2011 @ 6:18 pm

  22. you guys realize that “probably” adv and “probable” adj aren’t the same thing, right? “probable” is both less accurate and precise than “probably”.

    ah, the parlance of our times…and what a perfect place to discuss it…a forum inimical to calm debates.

    Comment by erich — January 17, 2011 @ 1:00 pm

  23. All this breeding talk is making me hungry. Long live Ozzie and the D prospects!

    Comment by MiltonsBAILmoney — January 19, 2011 @ 9:34 pm

  24. He never looked fast.

    Comment by AA — January 31, 2011 @ 12:01 am

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