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  1. Dave, as a met fan I should look at Capuano anyhow, but I’ve noticed several pitchers with similar phenomenon. For some, it seems the result of throwing the cutter, which has odd reverse splits quite frequently (

    Capuano does not, but he reminds me in this of two other pitchers I just did work on: Ubaldo Jimenez (Article coming up on Monday) and Mike Pelfrey (Amazin Avenue Annual).

    Jimenez is a particularly instructive case, in which the splits weren’t so extreme till this year. My theory from looking at Jimenez is that against same-handed batters, location doesn’t matter for two-seamers (or ordinary fastballs) in regards to getting ground balls as much…the pitch will be good sinkers vs. those batters.

    But against opposite-handed batters, we don’t see the same thing…In order to get ground balls, the pitches need be low. For Jimenez, he has shifted his location of fastballs to opposite-handed batters from low and middle in 08 to high and middle in 09 to high and away in 2010 (Similar in a way to Capuano this year from a quick look at texasleaguers). With this came the dramatic splits.

    Comment by garik16 — January 13, 2011 @ 3:15 pm

  2. As I read the article, the first thing that entered my mind was the cut of his fastball. I was going to offer some theoretical hypothesis as to how that works, but I much prefer garik’s research and data.

    Comment by Matt — January 13, 2011 @ 3:38 pm

  3. Thanks for the ideas guys.

    Comment by Dave Allen — January 14, 2011 @ 1:10 pm

  4. Where do you get batted ball type broken up by handedness?

    Comment by gnomez — September 29, 2011 @ 4:07 am

  5. If the Mets had a bull pen and a few guys that could stop a ground ball Chris Capuano would have won 17-20 games.
    Brian Cashman missed the boat on this kid, he could have been the 2011 Andy Pettite.

    Comment by laryoflenox — October 21, 2011 @ 4:01 pm

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