FanGraphs Baseball

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  1. It’s a measure of Delmon’s talent that he can find some success doing things the Vlad way, but the thing about the Vlad way is that it’s a really, really hard way to succeed. He’s still young enough to have some upside from 2010, but he’s probably never going to be the star that people thought he’d be as a prospect.

    Comment by Luke in MN — January 17, 2011 @ 10:03 am

  2. Luke’s right – plus, of course, Guerrero was known as a terrific RF, so Young couldn’t ever be considered a comparable player.

    Comment by Mr Punch — January 17, 2011 @ 10:27 am

  3. The one thing on his side is his age, which I was actually surprised to see, I forgot he was still so young…if he can build on his 2010 numbers or at least maintain them he could be a solid player in the 2-4 WAR range, but the BB/K rates are not very good, especially the BB%. Though his K% improvement last year was impressive, it would be great if he could do the same with his BB%. At the end of the day he only cost 2.6M last year, so he is a value in that sense. Top 10 MVP should get him a considerable raise, but he could/should still be a value for the Twins this year and next.

    Comment by bcp33bosox — January 17, 2011 @ 11:22 am

  4. I’m scared that given the Twins aversion to anything sabr, they’re going to look at his gaudy AR-BEE-EYEZ total and throw a completely ridiculous and unwarranted long-term deal at him.

    Comment by Not David — January 17, 2011 @ 1:03 pm

  5. you don’t have to follow the twins very closely to know that, aside from Mauer and Morneau, they rarely offer large (especially long-term) contracts. they didn’t even try it with Johan Santana coming off of his stellar years, they just traded him — which might be exactly they path they take with Delmon.

    Comment by jarrod — January 17, 2011 @ 5:19 pm

  6. Uh, yes they did try to sign Santana. The reason he didn’t sign was a combination that he wanted more money and he also wanted a bigger stage than Minnesota.

    Comment by Bryz — January 17, 2011 @ 6:13 pm

  7. Additionally, prior to the ’10 season, they signed Nick Blackburn and Scott Baker to 4-year contracts, and Denard Span to a 5-year contract. Joe Nathan got 4/47 for ’08-’11 with an option for 2012. Michael Cuddyer got a 3-year deal with an option for a 4th from ’08-’11, and that option was picked up before the 2010 season.

    There, 5 players that aren’t Mauer or Morneau that signed 4+ year contracts over the past few years.

    Comment by Bryz — January 17, 2011 @ 6:21 pm

  8. I wouldn’t mind a 3 year deal that would cover his arb years. Maybe 3 years at 12-14 million. They would probably pay that much in arbitration anyway.

    Comment by Nick — January 18, 2011 @ 12:23 am

  9. Um…Cuddyer and Kubel anybody?

    Comment by Josh — January 18, 2011 @ 10:18 am

  10. Ugh, this guy is the most over rated Twin ever. He’s an AWFUL defender, and didn’t hit all that well last year, gawdy RBI numbers withstanding. There is little in his approach that makes you think he’ll get better. Once the weight loss wore off (that is, once he recovered and gained weight again), he got worse. And, now his going to get some horribly large arbitration award for being at or below league average. Brutal.*

    *man, I hope I’m wrong about this guy….

    Comment by mike wants wins — January 18, 2011 @ 12:56 pm

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