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  1. And of course for those fans looking more at the Rhianna side of the Matt Kemp struggles can go here for Jon Weisman’s nice animated clip.

    Comment by Xeifrank — March 1, 2011 @ 11:31 am

  2. “GM Ned Colletti hasn’t been exactly given the complete freedom to make whatever transactions necessary for the good of the big league ballclub, being hand-strung by financial constraints and all.”

    The less freedom Ned Colletti is given the better.

    Comment by D4P — March 1, 2011 @ 11:49 am

  3. are the projections for ethier (high .270s, 25hr, 90ish rbi) looking right for someone that had triple-crown ability coming into last season?

    Comment by matt — March 1, 2011 @ 11:53 am

  4. Triple-crown ability is one thing, triple-crown performance over 162 games is quite another.

    Comment by Albert Lyu — March 1, 2011 @ 11:58 am

  5. Triple-Crown Ability != Triple Crown Production

    His numbers are what they are, which is nice but not Albert Pujols, so the predictions are what they are.

    Comment by mcrawford620 — March 1, 2011 @ 12:06 pm

  6. Dang, beat me.

    Comment by mcrawford620 — March 1, 2011 @ 12:06 pm

  7. I would expect Kemp to improve this year on the bases. Davey Lopes maximized the Phillies baserunning capabilities the last few years. If he can’t fix Kemp, no one can.

    Comment by Double D — March 1, 2011 @ 1:00 pm

  8. How long are we going to keep using the word “potential” when talking about Kemp, Loney and Ethier? They each have right around 2,500 AB’s so far in the major leagues; As a wise man once said: THEY IS WHAT THEY IS at this point in their careers. If you want to argue one (or all) of them is going to have a career year thats one thing, but to keep using the word “potential” or “upside” like they are 2nd or 3rd year guys with less than 1,000 major league AB’s under their belt is just asinine…

    Comment by DonCoburleone — March 1, 2011 @ 2:22 pm

  9. and to think last year’s second half performances for Kemp/Ethier/Loney will carry over to 2011 is short-sighted.

    Comment by Ray — March 1, 2011 @ 2:46 pm

  10. I know I grouped Kemp/Ethier/Loney in part of the preview, but I think that I at least did assess each of the three differently. I’ve mostly given up on Loney’s ‘upside,’ confident in Ethier’s ‘upside’ over full seasons, and uncertain/cautious/hopeful in Kemp’s ‘upside.’

    They are what they are at this point in their careers, but for Dodgers’ fans who have followed these guys since the DePodesta years and had to see the departure and/or falling out of Andy LaRoche, Joel Guzman, Carlos Santana, Josh Bell, we’re left thinking ‘what if’.

    Comment by Albert Lyu — March 1, 2011 @ 4:29 pm

  11. kemp’s platoon splits versus RHP took a dive last year because he started bailing his hips early. Someone on the Internets spotted it early last season. If he can remedy that, he should be back up, maybe as high as 305/360/510

    Comment by APE — March 1, 2011 @ 4:30 pm

  12. but, Bell, Laroche and Guzman never excelled in the big leagues like these 3 have. I will say that this year will be Loney’s last in LA…..

    Comment by ray — March 1, 2011 @ 9:54 pm

  13. Is the rulebook strike zone plotted above, ~ 1.5ft to 3.5ft, constant throughout all batters? If so, is this tendency for swinging at “higher” pitches simply a function of him being taller than the average batter (I assume 6’3″ is above average)?

    Comment by uclarob — March 2, 2011 @ 12:38 pm

  14. It’s constant, but it’s just as reference and not necessarily Kemp’s strike zone. Also, note that the plot is of swinging strikes per pitch, not of swings per pitch or swstrs per swing, which are very different.

    Comment by Albert Lyu — March 2, 2011 @ 12:59 pm

  15. There’s a good article on the possible effect of Davey Lopes on some of the Dodgers here:

    Comment by Jim — March 2, 2011 @ 1:31 pm

  16. 1) Why do you even look at RBI?
    2) Ethier clearly has the ability to hit over .300 if he starts hitting LHP again.
    3) He’s already proven to be a 30 HR guy.

    Comment by AA — March 4, 2011 @ 6:21 pm

  17. He broke the finger that braces the bat. That has a lot to do with it.

    Comment by AA — March 4, 2011 @ 6:21 pm

  18. Davey Lopes should have a huge, positive effect on Kemp. Kemp has already said he is quite excited to have Lopes mentoring him.

    Also, for someone covering the Dodgers, you seem awfully dismissive of Kuroda’s ability. While he is a GB heavy guy, he also has outstanding command and had a career high K/9 rate last year. Further, its pretty clear that he has adjusted to get more IFFB, which has also made him more effective. Indeed, he was probably the best FA starter after Lee from a talent and one year prospective. But he’s behind Lilly for you? Just some simple groundball innings eater comparable to Garland? Come on.

    Comment by AA — March 4, 2011 @ 6:26 pm

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