How long are we going to keep using the word “potential” when talking about Kemp, Loney and Ethier? They each have right around 2,500 AB’s so far in the major leagues; As a wise man once said: THEY IS WHAT THEY IS at this point in their careers. If you want to argue one (or all) of them is going to have a career year thats one thing, but to keep using the word “potential” or “upside” like they are 2nd or 3rd year guys with less than 1,000 major league AB’s under their belt is just asinine…
Comment by DonCoburleone — March 1, 2011 @ 2:22 pm
and to think last year’s second half performances for Kemp/Ethier/Loney will carry over to 2011 is short-sighted.
I know I grouped Kemp/Ethier/Loney in part of the preview, but I think that I at least did assess each of the three differently. I’ve mostly given up on Loney’s ‘upside,’ confident in Ethier’s ‘upside’ over full seasons, and uncertain/cautious/hopeful in Kemp’s ‘upside.’
They are what they are at this point in their careers, but for Dodgers’ fans who have followed these guys since the DePodesta years and had to see the departure and/or falling out of Andy LaRoche, Joel Guzman, Carlos Santana, Josh Bell, we’re left thinking ‘what if’.
kemp’s platoon splits versus RHP took a dive last year because he started bailing his hips early. Someone on the Internets spotted it early last season. If he can remedy that, he should be back up, maybe as high as 305/360/510
Is the rulebook strike zone plotted above, ~ 1.5ft to 3.5ft, constant throughout all batters? If so, is this tendency for swinging at “higher” pitches simply a function of him being taller than the average batter (I assume 6’3″ is above average)?
It’s constant, but it’s just as reference and not necessarily Kemp’s strike zone. Also, note that the plot is of swinging strikes per pitch, not of swings per pitch or swstrs per swing, which are very different.
Davey Lopes should have a huge, positive effect on Kemp. Kemp has already said he is quite excited to have Lopes mentoring him.
Also, for someone covering the Dodgers, you seem awfully dismissive of Kuroda’s ability. While he is a GB heavy guy, he also has outstanding command and had a career high K/9 rate last year. Further, its pretty clear that he has adjusted to get more IFFB, which has also made him more effective. Indeed, he was probably the best FA starter after Lee from a talent and one year prospective. But he’s behind Lilly for you? Just some simple groundball innings eater comparable to Garland? Come on.