Comment by Adrian Gonzalez — April 21, 2009 @ 4:31 pm
That conclusion seems hasty to me. Giles has been terrible, yeah, but almost everyone else (Hundley, Gonzalez, Eckstein, Rodriguez, Gerut) has been seriously overperforming, which seems to me to more than balance out. When things even out, you’ve got Giles playing much better, but all those guys playing considerably worse (or less great, in Adrian’s case), and I think they turn out basically the way we all thought they would.
I’m also not sure why it’s so utterly impossible that a 38 y.o. player could just suddenly lose it. Unlikely, certainly, but not unheard of. I’m certainly saying he’s toast, but I’m not sure why we exclude the possibility.
But in 2006 and 2007 Gonzalez had a higher wOBA, Giles is aging, Gonzalez coming into his prime, etc. That Giles abysmal season has continued and Gonzalez has been incredible gives me 20/20 hindsight, but I think this was true no matter what the 2008 stats say. Plus I am not sure uzr is the be all and end all. Plus Giles is a serious ass of a woman beater and all around moronic jock. OK, that was gratuitous.
Giles was a very good player for a long time, with petco masking his worth, although petco alone was not wholly responsible for his power decline. And his babip is really awful this year. I’d say even given the 2008 wars, the idea he was their best player was incorrect.
Also, replacement level rf ws evidently lower than replacement levl 1b in 2008. I still think Gonzalez’s 24 more home runs is worth more than Giles’s 8 more doubles, etc. The o has to come from somewhere. The idea that just because Giles is that much better than a replacement level player in 2008 makes him the better player seems way too forest for the trees.