FanGraphs Baseball


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  1. FWIW, the Royals/Angels game was played in mid 80s heat, with 25 MPH winds blowing out to CF/LF. Basically, it was more like August conditions at the K – except for windier. Definitely contributed to the 8 homer day yesterday…

    Comment by Mike Williams — April 4, 2011 @ 2:51 pm

  2. HA! It only took 1 post for Matt Klaassen’s first prediction to come true.

    “1. There will be blog entries written early in the season than begin by warning about small sample size, then go on to ignore sample size anyway.”

    I know you didn’t really ignore samople size and specifically said this is just for fun but it’s close enough.

    Comment by MikeS — April 4, 2011 @ 2:52 pm

  3. Yeah, we had a discussion about the weather playing a factor. That’s not my turf, though. Someone else might have something on it this week.

    Comment by Joe Pawlikowski — April 4, 2011 @ 2:57 pm

  4. Year of the homer?

    Comment by ritz — April 4, 2011 @ 2:59 pm

  5. And winds were gusting to 45 mph. 91degrees for the high in KC yesterday. Crazy. The record high for the date was 82.

    Comment by rbt — April 4, 2011 @ 3:04 pm

  6. David Ortiz also hit two home runs this weekend.

    Comment by KyleL — April 4, 2011 @ 3:05 pm

  7. It’s not a ridiculously small sample size: with about 50 games played through Sunday, there have been about 3,500 plate appearances. Is there a particular reason we’d expect higher variability in home runs than other statistics? And no one has yet had the pleasure of hitting anyone’s #5 starter.

    Comment by gabriel — April 4, 2011 @ 3:55 pm

  8. “in a full 4,860-game season”

    That’s quite a grind. Teams will really have to dig deep into their farm systems.

    Comment by TheMooseOfDeath — April 4, 2011 @ 3:59 pm

  9. Nicely written article and posted PDQ…..

    Don’t forget Rickie Weeks’ third already on Monday, although I guess that was after your article came out :-)

    Comment by Wes — April 4, 2011 @ 4:28 pm

  10. Bautista! All the doubters were officially wrong!

    Comment by Big Jgke — April 4, 2011 @ 4:45 pm

  11. “The Reds, Angels, Yankees, Rangers, and Blue Jays all hit seven or more homers this weekend. The Brewers and Royals added six each of their own”

    The Giants also hit six (in four games).

    Comment by RoyaleWithCheese — April 4, 2011 @ 5:28 pm

  12. Call it unofficially wrong. Three games is way too small a sample size to draw any major conclusions from, but it’s clear already that 2011 Jose Bautista has a lot more in common with 2010 Jose Bautista than 2008 Jose Bautista.

    Comment by Cam — April 4, 2011 @ 7:07 pm

  13. Assuming they play year round, I’ll tell the front office to get recruiters to elementary schools straight away! Otherwise, I’ll start pairing up parents based upon ideal genetic matches. We’ll be ready for the home-stretch of the season!

    Comment by James — April 4, 2011 @ 7:53 pm

  14. 2B is the new 3B, the power IF position that requires defense? *grin*

    None of them are named Utley, remembering the year he had ~30 by ASB.

    2B really seems to be a “difference making” position btw contenders and not.

    Comment by CircleChange11 — April 4, 2011 @ 9:14 pm

  15. Ryan Howard has started his MVP Season with a pair of 3-run homers. I can see it coming, and am powerless to stop it.

    40 HR 130 RBI on a 1st place team.

    Comment by CircleChange11 — April 4, 2011 @ 9:17 pm

  16. Buzz killer.

    Comment by Small Sample Goodness — April 4, 2011 @ 9:51 pm

  17. Officially wrong!

    Comment by AndrĂ© — April 4, 2011 @ 11:29 pm

  18. You realize that he’s referring to all games played by all teams, right?

    Comment by SeanP — April 5, 2011 @ 7:51 am

  19. And you realize it takes two teams to play a game so there are actually 2430 games.

    Comment by Hawkeye — April 5, 2011 @ 9:49 am

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