Britton’s chance of winning RoY ~ 20%
Orioles chance of winning AL East ~ 2%
Not quite equal.
Comment by DominicanRepublican — April 11, 2011 @ 2:47 pm
I think you are grossly underrating the Orioles infield. They have all looked spectacular so far this season.
Comment by Donny Andrews — April 11, 2011 @ 3:08 pm
Drabek struggled with command in his second start, we’ll see how he does in the upcoming games. Britton has looked great through two starts. However, I question how he’ll do against the East’s powerhouses. Pineda’s also only had one start, and held down a powerful Texas lineup pretty well, as did Britton. Britton, though, was at home, whereas Pineda pitched in one of the best hitter’s parks in baseball. Don’t forget about Hellickson either. He looks like he’ll live up to all of the hype after one start.
I think Drabek and Britton are pretty similar, but Drabek is a bit more polished. Brett Lawrie is a good prospect, but I can’t see putting him on the same level as Britton (or Drabek). Britton and Drabek can be #1 starters. I think Lawrie’s ceiling is a league average contributor.
“whereas Pineda pitched in one of the best hitter’s parks in baseball”
Camden Yards ain’t exactly PETCO either.
Comment by Chris in Hawaii — April 11, 2011 @ 3:17 pm
I’d take Lawrie… but only for my league of extraordinary douches.
Comment by Chris in Hawaii — April 11, 2011 @ 3:29 pm
Now that I look at it more closely, Camden is actually ranked 1st, followed by Chase (AZ), Citizens (Philly), and then Arlington for 2011 so far. The ranks for 2010 had Camden 5th and Arlington right behind at 6th.
ESPN boxscore has him with 16 groundball outs in his last start. Either way, that is some crazy stuff. And before you cry “wait until he faces the AL East” let’s remember this was against a Rangers lineup that can go toe-to-toe with the Beast’s hitters.
He obviously won’t keep this pace up, but he’s gonna be a fun guy to watch this year.
I really dont see any ACE possibilities out of Drabek and Britton, they do not really have an out pitch to put hitters away. They have really high floor, but limited upside. J.R. Arencibia on the other hand, is at least a good offensive catcher, and if he keeps up his habit(he dominated on the second try on all levels, but struggled initially), he will be better than Mauer. His defense isnt really bad
Too early to tell, but I think it’s close. It depends on how Mauer’s knees hold up and whether he can produce long into his career. If I were to bet on which player will have the highest career WAR, I’d put my money on Piazza, though.
At the Mets/Phillies game this past Tuesday, Hu was put into the game aftr the Mets had pulled comfortably into the lead. One over excited Phillies fan sitting behind me got very excited when he realized a player named Hu was up to bat and started yelling his support for Hu to get on first. When he hit a single the guy was incredibly happy and shouted: “Hu’s on first, Hu’s on first!” I can only imagine his disappointment if he had hit a double.
I’d say Britton over Pineda given the injury history in keeper leagues. Britton can take path like Brandon Webb, Pineda might have the higher upside in short term but injuries could jeopardize his future.
It’s interesting to read projections by folks who (likely) haven’t actually gotten a chance to watch Britton. For a while, I figured his upside was as a solid No. 2, but his secondaries are rapidly improving. He has a slider that flashes plus and a change that flashes solid-average, to go with legitimate plus 2-seam (sinker) and 4-seam fastballs. He gets astounding movement, and though he’s not had his “best” stuff early this season, he’s incredibly difficult to square up on.
I don’t think he’s particularly “underrated” – Law, BA and BP have each been high on him (top-25ish). He’s just not super-hyped.
I wouldn’t worry too much about the O’s defense, either. It’s been solid over the last half-season or so, and Reynolds is not the butcher he’s made out to be at 3d.
Don’t get me wrong, the O’s are the longest of long-shots to contend this year. But none of that has to do w/ Britton, or who’s backing him up.
Britton will end up being a better pitcher than Lester. Easy AL ROY winner. Love my Vols, but Arc is overrated and Brittons last start had a lot of weakly hit grounders and even a sac bunt for a hit. Every pitcher has those games. Get him if you’re a fantasy guy and he is cheap or available on the wire.