FanGraphs Baseball

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  1. No mention of the incorrect runner interference call that cost the Blue Jays the game? The Jays won the game in the 13th, and then lost it in the 14th.

    Comment by Matt Defalco — April 11, 2011 @ 10:26 am

  2. Why doesn’t WPA take defense into account? Not that Matt Thornton was good Friday night, but with one out he got a geound ball that Alexei Ramirez got to in plenty of time to make a throw and arblooper that Jaun Pierre had bounce out of his glove. If those plays get made, the game is over. According to the graph, those plays were worth about -0.120 WPA. Yeah, after that he still blew a lead in a winnable game but why don’t Ramirez and Pierre share in some of the -0.873 WPA?

    Comment by MikeS — April 11, 2011 @ 10:30 am

  3. Exactly. What’s Bob Davidson’s WPA?

    Comment by Damaso's Burnt Shirt — April 11, 2011 @ 10:35 am

  4. Hard to believe that a guy who doesn’t come within 5 feet of the fielder and doesn’t even change direction or speed still gets called out for fielder interference. If was the fielder who chose to avoid Escobar and wait for the ball.

    Comment by siggian — April 11, 2011 @ 10:56 am

  5. I would be interested in the WPA swing of this call. I will give it a try, but would like someone to confirm or correct.

    The play resulted in a -.138 WPA for the Blue Jays.

    The Blue Jays WE before the play was 51.4%. I am using Paul Konerko’s at bat during the 9th inning of the game against the Royals on Wednesday, April 6, 2011. I am assuming the 9th inning and 13th inning produce the same WE since both could be the last inning of the game. The result of Konerko’s at bat was a WE of 82.6%. So without a interference call the play would have resulted in a +.312 WPA.

    So I believe the call was worth -.450 WPA for the Blue Jays.

    Is there an easier way to do this? Is there a tool that allows you to create situations and see the resulting WPA? Would be interested in the impact of other controversial calls.

    Comment by Mike N — April 11, 2011 @ 11:14 am

  6. I like this line from the CWS-TBR game Saturday …

    “Mark Teahen flied out to left.”

    …. it was Sam Fuld’s running, diving catch on the warning track with 2-outs and the bases loaded. Not only did it surpass Wilson for defensive play of the year, but I can’t stop thinking “How many guys even attempt a dive like that at the track?”

    Seriously, who makes that dive attempt?

    That catch was friggin-awesome too.

    Comment by CircleChange11 — April 11, 2011 @ 11:18 am

  7. That hit, I believe, was off the bat of Juan Pierre, not Teahen. I thought the same thing about the dive, too. But think about it this way. Bases are jacked with two down. If the ball drops, three runs score anyway. Maybe Pierre rounds the bases and adds a fourth on the missed dive, but you’re talking about a massive swing here. After a little consideration, I thought the dive was well-advised.

    Comment by Joe Pawlikowski — April 11, 2011 @ 11:20 am

  8. Fuld’s pretty quick on his feet too, there’s actually a good chance that he can get back up and play the ball off the wall (which he probably would have had to do anyway if he let it go over his head) only giving up about 1 second. Admittedly that can be an eternity in baseball, but I don’t think its the difference in another run scoring in that situation.

    Comment by Deadpool — April 11, 2011 @ 11:40 am

  9. My take away from the Braves/Phillies series: Gonzalez is not a good manager. Why intentionally walk Howard with two out? Also why are they batting McLouth 2nd?

    Comment by DavidCEisen — April 11, 2011 @ 11:41 am

  10. It might have been well-advised in winning-the-game terms, but I believe (and correct me if I’m wrong) that he meant that people don’t attempt that because it’s an awfully good way to get injured for a long time. Most players not named Aaron Rowand don’t take those sort of risks with their face, neck, and arms by diving at metal fences.

    Comment by B N — April 11, 2011 @ 11:47 am

  11. “Also why are they batting McLouth 2nd?”

    It’s akin to the degenerate gambler thinking, “Sure I’ve lost my last eight bets…but I’m going to double my bet, again, and I’m SURE to win this ninth game!” So McLouth has been abjectly awful for months and months and months. Going forward though? Sure thing!!

    Comment by Jason B — April 11, 2011 @ 11:53 am

  12. What I meant was “who has the balls to attempt that dive?” He laid out, full extension at full speed and landed on the track.

    This was not an Aaron Rowand slams face first into the fence/wall or Rick Ankiel doesn’t know where he’s at situation. Full extension, at the track.

    As far as strategy goes, it’s a no-brainer. If he doesn’t make that catch it’s likely game over. IIRC they were trailing by 1-2 runs, and that would of put the Sox up 4-5 heading into the 8th.

    Comment by CircleChange11 — April 11, 2011 @ 12:05 pm

  13. Awesome catch, make a nice wallpaper:
    http://nbchardballtalk.files.wordpress.com/2011/04/sam-fuld1.jpg?w=320

    But, maybe I’m giving him too much credit. He’s been dumb enough to go “into the wall”, before. Maybe he just really needs this job. *grin*

    http://www.chicagonow.com/blogs/lowe-down/pics/SamFuldHitsTheWall.jpg

    Comment by CircleChange11 — April 11, 2011 @ 12:16 pm

  14. “Not that it took any special talent from Schneider”

    Is there where sabrmetric analysis actually leads us? The player swinging the bat no longer actually has any skill?

    Comment by bureaucratist — April 11, 2011 @ 12:46 pm

  15. What are you talking about? It’s now sabermetric to say all major league hitters can hit fastballs thrown over the middle of the plate?

    Comment by DavidCEisen — April 11, 2011 @ 4:10 pm

  16. Awesomely funny comment

    Comment by actiontal — April 11, 2011 @ 7:43 pm

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