That’s some solid research. Iannetta’s been put in a tough spot batting ahead of the pitcher every game this year. I’m wondering if his LD% is affected by opposing pitchers working around him (44.3 Zone %), not allowing any balls over the plate for him to drive.
You could prob do a quick google search for BABIP Line Drives and find good stuff. I just calc’d it in my database. I don’t have the exact numbers in front of me but the “rule of thumb” numbers are 72% LDs, 23% GB, 16% FBs.
Articles like these make me wonder if we will ever see managers who are sabermetrically savvy. Though I doubt there will ever be a manager who was not an ex-player, and therefore more given to traditional ideas, imagine how much a team like the mets would have benefitted from still having brad emaus.
Fantastic article Eric. It bugs me when people lazily assume a player will regress to the mean based on straight up BABIP, as that would require the player to have a swing plane conducive to league average LD/FB/GB rates….and not all do. Iannetta has a powerful flyball swing, and he always has. He’s just not going to have a good BABIP ever.
So he’ll continue to have a horrible batting average, elite OBP, and good slugging, making him a polarizing player. I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s traded this offseason. Wilin Rosario is having himself another solid season, and the organization still seems to pooh-pooh Iannetta’s batting average.
Thanks, Andrew. I meant to e-mail you to get your take since you follow him so closely, but ran out of time this week. What you described is a bugaboo of mine as well. Polarizing is the perfect word to describe him.
He’s in an interesting spot, with his manager basically criticizing him for being too patient and taking too many walks with runners on base and bringing up the pitcher next. So knowing he gets pitched around in the 8th spot (especially with men on base), he has to look to go after some bad pitches (possibly resulting in poor contact of high K numbers), or be patient and draw walks and know that, eventually, will wind him up on Tracy’s bench.
He is an a unique player and, I think, miscast in the 8th spot in the order. With his OPB skills and power I’d rather see him moved up a few spots, or even hit 2nd where he’s going to see more pitches to hit than he will at 8th.
I agree that with Rosario (AA) and Jordan Pacheo (AAA) both highly regarded and having good minor league seasons, Iannetta’s time as a Rockie may my limited. I’ve always been a defender of his and hope he finds a spot with Colorado or another organization where he can be comfortable and used in a way that suits his unique contributions.
I’ve looked at Chris’s BABIP numbers for 2010 pretty closely. Even if he put up his typical BABIP for each kind of ball in play, he should’ve ended up with a BABIP around .250. So, even with a low LD rate, his BABIP should be higher than it is. Personally, I can remember 5 or 6 times where he hit the ball well last year and someone robbed him of a hit.