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  1. The 15.4% of balls in play being popups can’t help his BABIP much.

    Comment by Ender — April 29, 2011 @ 9:23 am

  2. No but his IFFB rates in 2009-10 were average and he doesn’t have many BIP this year. The BABIP issues are a 2009-11 issue so far, while popups are only problematic in a small sample this year.

    Comment by Eric Seidman — April 29, 2011 @ 9:24 am

  3. Even though it’s early, I’m a little surprised there was no mention of the 40% K-rate.

    Comment by adam — April 29, 2011 @ 9:35 am

  4. That’s some solid research. Iannetta’s been put in a tough spot batting ahead of the pitcher every game this year. I’m wondering if his LD% is affected by opposing pitchers working around him (44.3 Zone %), not allowing any balls over the plate for him to drive.

    Comment by GTW — April 29, 2011 @ 9:37 am

  5. It’s indirectly mentioned early on. Even without this year, he still Ks a great deal.

    Comment by Eric Seidman — April 29, 2011 @ 9:41 am

  6. Yeah but looking at the past two years, would that explain the symptoms then?

    Comment by Eric Seidman — April 29, 2011 @ 9:41 am

  7. There are no gods, only luck dragons

    Comment by filihok — April 29, 2011 @ 10:11 am

  8. Would you be able to point me to where you got the BABIP for LDs? I would like to know for GB, FB and maybe even IFFB.

    Comment by Dan — April 29, 2011 @ 10:13 am

  9. You could prob do a quick google search for BABIP Line Drives and find good stuff. I just calc’d it in my database. I don’t have the exact numbers in front of me but the “rule of thumb” numbers are 72% LDs, 23% GB, 16% FBs.

    Comment by Eric Seidman — April 29, 2011 @ 10:15 am

  10. Rules of thumbs are great! I doubt I will ever do any meaningful analysis.

    Comment by Dan — April 29, 2011 @ 10:26 am

  11. I always heard .740/.240/.140 for the rule of thumb


    Comment by filihok — April 29, 2011 @ 10:28 am

  12. Ender, what kind of Game are you trying to play?

    Comment by Dan — April 29, 2011 @ 10:29 am

  13. Articles like these make me wonder if we will ever see managers who are sabermetrically savvy. Though I doubt there will ever be a manager who was not an ex-player, and therefore more given to traditional ideas, imagine how much a team like the mets would have benefitted from still having brad emaus.

    Comment by Tim — April 29, 2011 @ 10:33 am

  14. Fantastic article Eric. It bugs me when people lazily assume a player will regress to the mean based on straight up BABIP, as that would require the player to have a swing plane conducive to league average LD/FB/GB rates….and not all do. Iannetta has a powerful flyball swing, and he always has. He’s just not going to have a good BABIP ever.

    So he’ll continue to have a horrible batting average, elite OBP, and good slugging, making him a polarizing player. I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s traded this offseason. Wilin Rosario is having himself another solid season, and the organization still seems to pooh-pooh Iannetta’s batting average.

    Comment by Andrew T. Fisher — April 29, 2011 @ 10:40 am

  15. Thanks, Andrew. I meant to e-mail you to get your take since you follow him so closely, but ran out of time this week. What you described is a bugaboo of mine as well. Polarizing is the perfect word to describe him.

    Comment by Eric Seidman — April 29, 2011 @ 10:44 am

  16. check Baseball-Reference. You might have to do some quick spreadsheet work on your own, but at least I know the raw numbers are there.

    Comment by RockiesMagicNumber — April 29, 2011 @ 11:27 am

  17. He’s in an interesting spot, with his manager basically criticizing him for being too patient and taking too many walks with runners on base and bringing up the pitcher next. So knowing he gets pitched around in the 8th spot (especially with men on base), he has to look to go after some bad pitches (possibly resulting in poor contact of high K numbers), or be patient and draw walks and know that, eventually, will wind him up on Tracy’s bench.

    He is an a unique player and, I think, miscast in the 8th spot in the order. With his OPB skills and power I’d rather see him moved up a few spots, or even hit 2nd where he’s going to see more pitches to hit than he will at 8th.

    I agree that with Rosario (AA) and Jordan Pacheo (AAA) both highly regarded and having good minor league seasons, Iannetta’s time as a Rockie may my limited. I’ve always been a defender of his and hope he finds a spot with Colorado or another organization where he can be comfortable and used in a way that suits his unique contributions.

    Comment by Matt_in_CO — April 29, 2011 @ 11:42 am

  18. i see what you did there!

    Comment by phoenix2042 — April 29, 2011 @ 12:16 pm

  19. Tulo had really high iffb rate last year.

    Comment by Joe — April 29, 2011 @ 12:18 pm

  20. So, he should bat 7th instead. Problems delayed!

    Is the orrganization “pooh-pooh”-ing (dismissing) or “tut-tut”ing (disapproving) his batting average?

    Comment by SOB in TO — April 29, 2011 @ 6:45 pm

  21. The biggest question in my mind… With a high K rate and seeming inability to put good wood on the ball (i.e. low LD rate), why is anyone throwing him anything much off the plate?

    Comment by Brian — April 30, 2011 @ 10:47 am

  22. I’ve looked at Chris’s BABIP numbers for 2010 pretty closely. Even if he put up his typical BABIP for each kind of ball in play, he should’ve ended up with a BABIP around .250. So, even with a low LD rate, his BABIP should be higher than it is. Personally, I can remember 5 or 6 times where he hit the ball well last year and someone robbed him of a hit.

    Comment by Reif — April 30, 2011 @ 12:18 pm

  23. aww yeah. Good memories. Thank you.

    Comment by max — May 1, 2011 @ 4:37 am

  24. This whole article’s thrust is based on LD%, but LD/FB/GB recordings are tremendously flawed. Articles on this have been posted right here on fangraphs! What a joke.

    Comment by delv — May 1, 2011 @ 11:18 pm

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