If you want to talk about “raw stuff”, Wandy’s curveball is excellent — probably one of the top curves among all LHP. “Stuff” should not be considered a synonym for velocity.
I also don’t understand the point of comparing him to Buehrle, when you didn’t really offer any performance evidence to support your claim that there is “absolutely no comparison” between the two. Wandy will never have the career totals that Buehrle will amass, but I think Wandy will be more effective than Buehrle going forward.
ZiPS sees Wandy having the superior FIP, K/9 and ERA over the remainder of the season, Buehrle has even more favorable BABIP and LOB% rates than Wandy right now, and in terms of “raw stuff”, Wandy’s got 4 MPH of average fastball velocity on Buehrle.
The comparison statement comes from my post on Buehrle the other night where someone essentially said that Wandy would be just like Buehrle in terms of hitting 200 IP with +4 or more wins for several seasons.
And stuff is not a synonym for velocity… to me it’s a combo of velocity and movement, where Wandy is about average.
Is Wandy as good or as proven as Buehrle? No. Does he have average stuff? No. His fastball may be middling with only just above average movement, but his curve is insane and the fact that he is a lefty also helps.
You can’t say he has poor stuff based simply on his fastball.
People sell Wandy short. He has good skills. All his ratio numbers are trending in the right directions. For the most part walks allowed have steadily gone down while K”s per nine have gone up over the past few seasons. LAst year April-June he was sitting at 2.58 whip and an era of 1.15, currently he is at 1.83 and 1.00. His era will go up but a pitcher with a mid 3 Era and 170 k’s a year is still pretty damn good. Wandy has better skills than Buehrle does
It’s pretty simple. Wandy is taking a path similar to many pitchers in that he is only just now learning how to pitch at age 30. Sure, Buehrle has good stuff, but Wandy has shown an ability to improve every season. A pitcher may have a 100 mph fastball and a 12 to 6 curve but if he doesn’t know how to use them then he will get rocked by major league hitters. Wandy is learning how to become an elite pitcher with his limited velocity and continues improving every year.It is possible that he could continue this trend for a few more seasons. It is likely that Buehrle has topped out as far as his potential. He has become comfortable with his “stuff” and is unlikely to improve much more, whereas Wandy is constantly finding ways to improve. It is not ridiculous to believe that he could continue this trend and match Buehrle’s stats over the next few seasons if Buehrle doesnt start learning from his mistakes like Wandy has done.
according to HQ, Wandy’s expected ERA year to date is 3.90, Cueto’s is 4.07. Those ERA’s are not park adjusted, so Wandy’s xERA is about right, Cueto’s should be higher. That Cueto pitches in a band box and Rodriguez doesn’t, anyone suggesting he can’t be compared to Cueto need to look at the #’s a little closer and maybe watch Wandy pitch. It’s fun to be smug and cocky, but at least be accurate when you are.
Cueto throws a straight 91-92 FB with above average slider and so-so changeup, Wandy throws 88-91 straight FB with a wicked curve and a so-so change up. Cueto’s average FB velocity this year is 92.6, Wandy’s 89.7. Cueto’s issues 16BB’s in 60 IP, Wandy 18 BB’s in 63 IP. Cueto induced 1.02 groundballs for every flyout, Wandy 1.14 groundball for every flyout. Wandy has thrown his FB 52%, curve 33%, change 11%, slider 1.5%, Cueto is 64% FB, 29% slider, 6% change up, their stuff is comparable.
In terms of projected ERA/WHIP going forward, they’re about as comparable as two pitchers can be, though Wandy should be expected to post slightly better #’s given the park, as is projected by Ron Shandler. Now comparing Ubaldo Jiminez to Wandy, now that’s flat out ridiculous. Certainly Jiminez’s stuff is better than both, but he has to show control longer for a month before he can be in the conversation.