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  1. How much of UBR is included in WAR? Is it 0.1, or some other multiple?

    Comment by Russ — May 24, 2011 @ 8:34 am

  2. So it’s a better version of EQBRR by being less weighted?

    Also, this is awesome

    Comment by Dave Gershman — May 24, 2011 @ 8:38 am

  3. Very excited about this stat and the presentation. Thanks!

    Comment by BaseWinner — May 24, 2011 @ 8:48 am

  4. Me Gusta

    Comment by Ryan — May 24, 2011 @ 8:52 am

  5. FINALLY – we have a stat to track the TOOTBLAN’s and a way to prove Theriot’s ineffectiveness on the basepaths for us last year.

    Comment by hansman1982 — May 24, 2011 @ 9:09 am

  6. It would be additive, wouldn’t it. You add hitting WAR plus defensive WAR and now base-running WAR to get WAR. WAR is cumulative.

    Comment by bluejaysstatsgeek — May 24, 2011 @ 9:11 am

  7. Giddyup!

    Comment by chuckb — May 24, 2011 @ 9:12 am

  8. I’m curious about how this stat will compare with BP’s EQBRR. How small is a “small sample size” with this stat. I guess it will all be covered in the primer later today.

    Comment by chuckb — May 24, 2011 @ 9:15 am

  9. Can’t. Wait.

    Comment by Eric — May 24, 2011 @ 9:24 am

  10. I would be interested in hearing how different this is from Bill James work.

    Another great metric from Fangraphs, the hits just keep on coming!!! Thank you!!!

    Comment by Obsessivegiantscompulsive — May 24, 2011 @ 9:34 am

  11. Can’t wait to see how the Royals rate out this year…

    Comment by Metsox — May 24, 2011 @ 9:41 am

  12. Yes. This is awesome. Can’t wait to hear all of its details.

    Comment by RedSoxThoughts — May 24, 2011 @ 10:05 am

  13. Wow! I just found something else that James Loney and Miguel Tejada are really bad at — base running!

    Comment by chuckb — May 24, 2011 @ 10:07 am

  14. How can Aaron Rowand have the second most Bsr in the NL? He’s never on base!

    Comment by chuckb — May 24, 2011 @ 10:08 am

  15. Thanks for the update. David, any chance of xBabip coming in the near future?

    Comment by Young Gung — May 24, 2011 @ 10:15 am

  16. Jacoby Ellsbury 2009, 70 SB, 12 CS, EQBRR: 8.2, BSR: -1.5.

    Comment by Judy — May 24, 2011 @ 10:34 am

  17. Just to clarify: UBR does not include SB/CS at all? Those are instead included in batting/wOBA ?

    Comment by Yirmiyahu — May 24, 2011 @ 10:34 am

  18. That’s correct. SB/CS will continue to be part of batting/wOBA.

    Comment by David Appelman — May 24, 2011 @ 10:39 am

  19. So, just another thing Bautista is top 15 in this year huh?

    Comment by ddriver80 — May 24, 2011 @ 10:39 am

  20. So glad this is coming in. Been waiting for a stat like fWAR to include baserunning.

    Comment by Jonathan C. Mitchell — May 24, 2011 @ 10:39 am

  21. Also, I’ve been hoping for a baserunning stat to be included here. It was reinforced after Arencibia ran to 3rd when Encarnacion was standing on third thus running into an out.

    Comment by ddriver80 — May 24, 2011 @ 10:43 am

  22. Stolen Bases Aren’t included…

    Comment by ddriver80 — May 24, 2011 @ 10:43 am

  23. And how was replacement modified?

    Comment by Barkey Walker — May 24, 2011 @ 10:45 am

  24. :/ They rank 4th in team BSR

    Comment by ddriver80 — May 24, 2011 @ 10:49 am

  25. So funny. Most of that is due to his on base percentage (he’s 30th in MLB if you look at UBR/TOB) but awesome nonetheless.

    Comment by Nick — May 24, 2011 @ 10:49 am

  26. Hell, even 30th ain’t bad.

    UBR is really going to help show baseball IQ. If you look at those at the top of the leaderboards, its the intelligent players up top.

    Comment by ddriver80 — May 24, 2011 @ 10:58 am

  27. I would think it’d be a rating of smart baserunners as well.

    But if you sort by all-time (2002-2011) UBR, and look at the bottom and the top of the leaderboard, it looks more like pure speed.

    http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=100&type=8&season=2011&month=0&season1=2002&ind=0

    Comment by Yirmiyahu — May 24, 2011 @ 11:02 am

  28. Why would replacement get modified?

    WAR = batting runs above average (based on park adjusted wOBA) + baserunning runs above average (based on UBR) + defensive runs above average (based on UZR) + positional adjustment + replacement level adjustment (20 runs per 600 PA’s).

    Comment by Yirmiyahu — May 24, 2011 @ 11:07 am

  29. pedroia tripping over himself last night -10

    Comment by m123 — May 24, 2011 @ 11:08 am

  30. Regardless of how smart you are it’s easier to score from first on a double if you’ve got serious wheels.

    Smart baserunning helps, though. I’m pretty sure Luis Castillo won’t beat Crawford, Reyes, or Victorino in a footrace, even 5 years ago.

    Comment by don — May 24, 2011 @ 11:12 am

  31. I remember an article a while back on how we say stats. UBR is definitely Über in my books.

    Comment by NateH — May 24, 2011 @ 11:21 am

  32. Is this park adjusted at all? It seems to me that players who play most of their games in more spacious parks will be able to take extra bases more often.

    Comment by Wraithpk — May 24, 2011 @ 12:23 pm

  33. Thanks, that makes a lot more sense.

    Comment by Judy — May 24, 2011 @ 12:35 pm

  34. Wow, UBR is about half of Chone Figgins’ 2010 WAR.

    Comment by Ted Williams Head — May 24, 2011 @ 12:42 pm

  35. Check out Figgins’ 2006. ALL of his WAR comes from baserunning.

    Comment by Yirmiyahu — May 24, 2011 @ 1:07 pm

  36. I’d also be interested in knowing how it resembles or differs from EqBRR (or whatever the Baseball Prospectus parallel statistic is called).

    Comment by Detroit Michael — May 24, 2011 @ 1:43 pm

  37. I think this a serious concern. I looked up the Team-Leaderboards since `02 and as I expected the Red Sox ranked dead last in Bsr.

    So a park-adjustement seems intuitive to me.

    Comment by AC_Butcha_AC — May 24, 2011 @ 2:08 pm

  38. I wonder how this will affect Ruben Rivera’s overall WAR.

    Comment by SFSUGatorAlum — May 24, 2011 @ 2:08 pm

  39. Very cool. Is it possible to turn this into a rate state, like UZR/150?

    UBR/150 opportunities, or something?

    Comment by Ted — May 24, 2011 @ 3:43 pm

  40. Dave,

    How does UBR differ from (EQBRR-EQSBR)? Or is it identical?

    Comment by Jeffrey Gross — May 24, 2011 @ 4:39 pm

  41. *David. Oops. :)

    Comment by Jeffrey Gross — May 24, 2011 @ 4:40 pm

  42. Some of the questions answered on the other UBT thread…

    Comment by MGL — May 25, 2011 @ 2:03 am

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