FanGraphs Baseball


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  1. It seemed physical at first, but now it seems both physical–and with the struggling–mental as well. Although he did hit show some good patience last night, and hit two balls deep to center that happened to be tracked down by Denard Span. The night before, he ripped a double into the gap, although not much lift on it, just a typical line drive base hit put in the right place.

    Comment by Joe — May 28, 2009 @ 7:21 am

  2. I tend to agree with Joe on this one. If there’s one thing the numbers will never tell us, it’s mental make up. Statistics become so useless in tiny little chunks, it’s hard to point to any given at-bat and say, “THIS is where the pressure got to Big Papi.”

    I looked at Ortiz’s numbers a couple weeks ago and thought he was coping fairly well, considering the situation. Making assumptions about how a player’s handling the pressure is generally unsubstantial but at some point it’s gotta happen, right? A players gotta succumb, right?

    At some point during the season, Ortiz had issues clearing his hips and gettin’ around on pitches without cheating — It doesn’t even matter if the ailment’s still there, because Papi’s stepping up to the plate as if it were..

    Comment by kris — May 28, 2009 @ 7:53 am

  3. No buy out clause? WTF?

    Comment by Steve C — May 28, 2009 @ 8:21 am

  4. Good article, but is this really true?

    “Of course, I also never thought I’d write that about David Ortiz.”

    Maybe you didn’t think you’d be writing it this soon (he’s only 33) but you had to think a fat, unathletic DH was going to hit the wall sometime in his mid-30’s. Ortiz’s type has never aged well, in the history of baseball.

    Comment by snapper — May 28, 2009 @ 9:44 am

  5. Should’ve put “this season”. You’re right.

    Comment by R.J. Anderson — May 28, 2009 @ 9:49 am

  6. “If Ortiz continues hitting like he’s hitting – not at all – the contract can quickly become an albatross.”

    Really? You think $12.5M this year and next is going to prevent the Red Sox from spending money? You think Theo Epstein and John Henry are going to think “Well, sure, I’d like to pick up a Matt Holliday or re-sign Jason Bay, but since we’re paying Ortiz $12.5M to sit on the bench we just can’t afford it.” Seems unlikely to me.

    Comment by mattymatty — May 28, 2009 @ 10:32 am

  7. I don’t believe I said that. I’m pretty sure they’d rather not have 12.5 million of dead weight sitting around though.

    Comment by R.J. Anderson — May 28, 2009 @ 10:39 am

  8. Well, still rather have that contract than Hafner’s :)

    Comment by Joe — May 28, 2009 @ 10:42 am

  9. I just looked at Hafner’s contract. Yikes.

    11.5+11.5+13+13+2.75 = 51.75MM

    Over the remainder of this season plus the next three years. I suppose this makes up for the deal they are getting with Sizemore.

    Comment by Steve C — May 28, 2009 @ 11:30 am

  10. Reading comprehension, you lack – yoda

    Comment by Harry — May 28, 2009 @ 11:31 am

  11. Mi amigos, I accidentally taking PEZ instead of PEDs this year. Lo siento, perdoname por favor!

    Comment by Big Pop Up — May 28, 2009 @ 1:45 pm

  12. I can’t decide if this is hilarious, racist, or both.

    Comment by Kevin S. — May 28, 2009 @ 2:03 pm

  13. Both.

    Comment by Matt H. — May 28, 2009 @ 3:18 pm

  14. A question, perhaps a dumb one: David Ortiz’s player page indicates that his replacement adjustment thus far is 6.6 runs. Now, I understand the rationale for the replacement adjustment: you want to recognize players who stay in the lineup and keep you from needing to use replacement-level players.

    This year’s David Ortiz, however, is not a replacement-level player. He has already dropped to -1.0 WAR based solely on his hitting and his DH position. A replacement-level DH would be an improvement over ’09 Big Papi. So why do we continue to credit him for accumulating plate appearances which honestly could be better used by a replacement-level DH? Should we consider his continued presence in the lineup as a negative for him? It certainly is for the Red Sox.

    Comment by Greg — May 30, 2009 @ 4:47 pm

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